Central Bank

US ethics advisory on federal employee’s crypto has basis in legislation

The Office of Government Ethics reminded federal agency ethics officers of current law and extended its interpretation of the law to mutual funds.

When the United States Office of Government Ethics (OGE) released its Legal Advisory 22-04 on July 5, most attention was given to its conclusion that federal employees who own any amount of cryptocurrency or stablecoins whatsoever may not participate in regulation and policymaking that concerns crypto. The legal advisory (LA) raised some eyebrows, as de minimis exemptions, threshold amounts below which assets holdings are permissible, are common in the government. The LA is more comprehensible when seen in a larger context.

What they were thinking

The OGE does not grant interviews, so it was fortunate that a video of OGE Senior Associate Counsel Christopher Swartz discussing the LA appeared on the office’s YouTube channel the day after Cointelegraph made an inquiry. Swartz discussed several points in detail, emphasized that the LA is an interpretation of current law to aid in its application to federal employees and “understand the law as it exists.” The OGE has no position on digital assets in general.

The OGE issued an advisory in 2018 on federal employees’ disclosure of crypto assets. In light of the growing adoption of cryptocurrency by the public and federal employees, Swartz explained:

“We realized it was now ripe for us to revisit this area, make sure we have established ground rules particularly as it relates to the conflicts of interest law, which is a criminal law.”

The law Swartz was referring to dates to 1962 and “prevents federal employees from participating in any particular matter in which they have a financial interest,” according to Swartz. It is intentionally broad and “agnostic” in regard to the details. There is no substantiality element in the law, that is, a de minimis exemption, to allow federal employees to hold small amounts of anything.

Related: US Congressional hearing on digital asset regulation focuses on disclosure

Under the law, the OGE has the authority to waive the conflict of interest laws for all employees or classes of employees when the financial interest is too remote to affect the expected services of the employees. Agencies can provide exemptions on a case-by-case basis in consultation with the OGE.

The OGE created some exemptions in 1996. Publicly traded equity in a company that engages in crypto services is already covered by an exemption, for example. The LA specifies that a registered mutual fund with exposure to crypto derivatives, such as futures, might have one of two exemptions: a per se exemption for diversified mutual funds or a de minimis exemption of $50,000 for sectoral funds.

No OGE exemption covers crypto, the LA states, because crypto does not qualify as a publicly traded security. “This is true even if individual cryptocurrencies or stablecoins constitute securities for purposes of the Federal or state securities laws,” the LA states.

Cryptocurrency is not a publicly traded security

The definition of “publicly traded security” is narrower than that of “security,” the LA notes. The LA does not relate to the larger question of which cryptocurrencies or stablecoins are securities, nor does it address reasons for the lack of an exemption. 

Nonetheless, Aitan Goelman, partner at Zuckerman Spaeder and former director of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) enforcement division, told Cointelegraph:

“If I were a lawyer representing Ripple, I think I would bring the OGE’s opinion up, even though the OGE take pains to distinguish its definition of publicly traded securities from the definition of securities under [the] Howey [test].”

“The OGE’s opinions are very influential at the agencies,” Goelman continued. 

All the experts consulted by Cointelegraph agreed on the agency’s high moral authority and absence of political agenda.

Philip Moustakis, counsel in the Seward & Kissel blockchain and cryptocurrency practice groups and a former member of the SEC asset management unit, told Cointelegraph in an email, “I don’t think there is any subtext to be read at all.”

The experts also agreed that the LA would be observed throughout the government, even though the OGE has no enforcement powers to go with its regulatory authority. As a matter of fact, it seems that ethical standards are already widely observed. The LA’s interpretation and detailed commentary on how disclosure requirements apply to mutual funds may be new, but ethics requirements are not.

“Employees of the Securities and Exchange Commission are already required to report their securities holdings,” Moustakis said.

Elizabeth Boison, partner at Hogan Lovells and former Department of Justice (DOJ) prosecutor and member of the department’s National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team, told Cointelegraph:

“Before the regulators provided clarity on this rules, this is what the regulators were doing any way. […] Even absent guidance, we would talk about this issue [at the DOJ] and we were generally not holding it.”

Goelman observed that the perception of corruption has been a political issue recently, and the LA contributes to a reduction in the perception of financial impropriety in government.

The downside of the OGE LA

When asked what it would take for the OGE to publish a regulation to create an exemption to allow de minimis cryptocurrency holding, Goelman replied simply “motivation.” Swartz dismissed the argument that the prohibition on owning crypto would discourage people from pursuing government careers, saying the OGE had developed ways to help “remove the financial entanglement” of new federal employees. Nonetheless, there are arguments in favor of policymakers holding crypto. 

One of the things a regulator has to understand is how these things work,” Boison said. She named Know Your Customer procedures and setting up wallets as examples of activities where real-life experience is valuable to regulators. She suggested the creation of a “sterile, sanitized lab” setting where regulators could go through the motions of the procedures.

Related: Know thy customer: The future of KYC in crypto

LA 22-04 was followed 10 days later by another crypto-related advisory, this time on disclosure of nonfungible token (NFT) holdings. Fractionalized and collectible NFTs worth $1,000 or more must be reported if “held for investment or production of income,” as well as NFT investments that produce over $200 in profits during a reporting period.

European Central Bank bets on CBDCs over BTC for cross-border payments

ECB’s interest in identifying the best cross-border payment solution stems from the fact that it serves as the central bank of the 19 European Union countries which have adopted the euro.

A recent study conducted by the European Central Bank (ECB) on identifying the ultimate cross-border payment medium crowned central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) as the winner against competitors, including banking, Bitcoin (BTC) and stablecoins, among others.

ECB’s interest in identifying the best cross-border payment solution stems from the fact that it serves as the central bank of the 19 European Union countries which have adopted the euro. The study, “Towards The Holy Grail of Cross-border Payments,” referred to Bitcoin as the most prominent unbacked crypto asset.

EBC’s opinion of Bitcoin as a bad cross-border payment system boils down to the settlement mechanism of the highly volatile asset, adding that:

“Since the settlement in the Bitcoin network occurs only around every ten minutes, valuation effects are already materializing at the moment of settlement, making Bitcoin payments actually more complicated.”

While the study highlighted Bitcoin’s inherent scaling and speed issues, it failed to consider the timely upgrades — Taproot and Lightning Network — that improve the network performance, concluding that “The underlying technology (and in particular its ‘proof-of-work’ layer) is inherently expensive and wasteful.”

On the other hand, the ECB recognized CBDCs as a better fit for cross-border payments owing to greater compatibility with forex exchange (FX) conversions. Two major advantages highlighted in this regard are the preservation of monetary sovereignty and the ease of instant payments via intermediaries such as central banks.

Related: Australian central bank governor favors private sector crypto technology

Contradicting the ECB’s reliance on CBDCs, Australian central bank Governor Phillip Lowe believed that a private solution “is going to be better” for cryptocurrency as long as risks are mitigated through regulation.

Mitigating risks related to crypto adoption can be fended off by strong regulations and state backing, stated Lowe, adding:

“If these tokens are going to be used widely by the community, they are going to need to be backed by the state or regulated just as we regulate bank deposits.”

In Lowe’s view, private companies are “better than the central bank at innovating” the best features for cryptocurrency.

Official explains why China CBDC should not be as anonymous as cash

While cash is associated with more anonymity, it’s still less mobile and easy to use in large amounts than a digital currency, China’s CBDC project lead Mu Changchun said.

China’s central bank digital currency (CBDC) should not be as anonymous as cash, the head of the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) digital currency institute declared.

Digital yuan project lead Mu Changchun spoke of China’s CBDC project at the 5th Digital China Construction Summit on Monday, local financial publication Sina Finance reported.

Since debuting the digital yuan in 2020, the Chinese central bank has never targeted complete anonymity for the project, Mu said at the event. Instead, PBoC has been working to enable only limited anonymity in compliance with global Anti-Money Laundering (AML) regulations, the official stated.

The Chinese authorities should be able to access CBDC data on people suspected of crimes, Mu noted. According to the official, partial anonymity is an important feature of the digital yuan project though, as it guarantees transaction privacy and personal information protection.

However, a completely anonymous CBDC would interfere with the prevention of crimes like money laundering, terrorism financing, tax evasion and others, he added.

While cash is associated with more anonymity, it’s less mobile and easy to use in large amounts than a digital currency, Mu emphasized. “The inconvenient nature of carrying cash increases friction for money laundering and terrorism financing. Therefore, the tolerance for the anonymity of cash is relatively low,” the official stated, adding:

“The central bank’s digital currency is more portable. If it provides the same anonymity as cash, it will greatly facilitate illegal transactions such as money laundering. Therefore, the central bank’s digital currency should not have the same anonymity as cash.”

Mu went on to say that regulators risk encountering “serious consequences” if they choose to only focus on privacy protection and ignore the risks associated with financial crimes. “Freedom without constraints is not true freedom,” he added.

Despite rejecting anonymous online financial transactions, PBoC has still been working to ensure the privacy of the digital yuan. According to PBoC governor Yi Gang, the digital yuan has ambitions to be more privacy-enhanced than payment apps.

Related: China’s BSN chair calls Bitcoin Ponzi, stablecoins ‘fine if regulated’

The problem of user privacy has emerged as one of the biggest issues associated with CBDC projects worldwide. Regulators became puzzled about how to preserve digital privacy while also tracking transactions to prevent illicit financial activity.

In May, the European Central Bank (ECB) suggested that “CBDC with anonymity” was preferable to traditional digital payments like bank deposits in another working paper related to the digital euro. The proposal came shortly after the ECB admitted that digital euro designs lacked privacy options.

SEC Philippines to investigate Binance over alleged illegal operations

A think tank in the Philippines doesn’t give up on efforts to ban Binance, now claiming that the crypto exchange has been operating illegally in the country.

Philippines’ think tank Infrawatch PH continues efforts to ban Binance in the country by asking more regulators to investigate the cryptocurrency exchange over alleged illegal operations.

Infrawatch PH on Monday filed a twelve-page complaint calling on the Philippines’ Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to crack down on Binance’s activities in the Philippines.

According to the think tank, Binance has been operating in the Philippines for several years without approval by appropriate authorities.

Terry Ridon, the convenor for Infrawatch PH, claimed that Binance has no office in Manila and only uses “third-party companies that employ Filipinos for its technical and customer support services.” He also referred to former finance secretary Carlos Dominguez who publicly declared last month that Binance had no records with either the SEC or the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP).

“The SEC has served the public well by banning unscrupulous online lending services. It should similarly do the same for unregistered and unregulated cryptocurrency exchanges in the country,” Ridon said. He added that Binance has been offering many types of crypto products, including spot trading, margin trading, futures contracts, options, crypto loans and peer-to-peer (P2P) trading, despite being unregistered with the SEC, adding:

“We believe these products are in the nature of securities, which under SEC rules, may not be sold or offered for or distribution within the Philippines without a registration statement duly filed with and approved by the SEC.”

A spokesperson for Binance told Cointelegraph that the firm is closely working with local regulators and is looking to secure virtual asset service provider and electronic money issuer licenses in the Philippines.

“We are continuously engaging in discussions with regulators and stakeholders within the country. Our goal is to contribute to the Philippines’ increasingly vibrant Web3 and blockchain ecosystem,” the representative said. The spokesperson also mentioned that Binance introduced mandatory Know Your Customer procedures for all users on the platform last year.

The news comes shortly after the Philippines’ Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) waved off a Binance ban proposal in early July, citing a lack of regulatory clarity from the BSP. The DTI was the first destination for Binance complaints by ​​Infrawatch PH, with the think tank asking the authority to probe the exchange over illegal promotions.

Related: Philippines’ digital transformation could make it a new crypto hub

The news comes amid a major spike in crypto trading activity in the Philippines. In July, weekly Bitcoin (BTC) trading volumes in the Philippines peso hit a historic high on the major P2P crypto exchange Paxful. The overall crypto adoption has also been rising in the country in recent years, with companies like PayMaya launching crypto trading features.

BSP did not return Cointelegraph’s request to comment on the status of crypto regulation in the country. Binance did not immediately respond to Cointelegraph’s request for comment.

Philippines’ digital transformation could make it a new crypto hub

The archipelagic country of the the Philippines is exploring blockchain use cases across different industry verticals.

Binance, the cryptocurrency exchange, has recently acquired a virtual asset service provider (VASP) license from the Bank of Spain in order to operate in the country. In its ambitious expansion plans that the cryptocurrency exchange is persisting despite the global jump and market slump in the cryptoverse, there is another country that Binance is looking toward — the Philippines.

In June, the CEO of Binance, Changpeng Zhao, stated in a press briefing in Manila that the exchange is looking to obtain a VASP license in the Philippines. In addition to the VASP, Binance wants to get an e-money issuer license from the central bank of the country, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). While the former license would allow the platform to offer trading services for crypto assets and the conversion of these assets to the Philippines, the latter will allow it to issue electronic money.

The Philippines is the world’s 36th largest economy in the world by nominal GDP and the third-largest in Asia, according to data from the World Bank. Despite its small size, the country is considered to be one of the fastest-growing economies in the world due to it being newly industrialized, thus marking a distinctive shift from agriculture to services and manufacturing.

Philippines gross domestic product in U.S. dollars 1997–2001. Source: Trading Economics

Cryptocurrencies are extremely popular in the Philippines due to the economic shift that the country went through when digital assets began to gain popularity. A recent survey has revealed that the Philippines ranks 10th in cryptocurrency adoption, with over 11.6 million Filipinos owning digital assets.

This is also evidenced in the fact that according to data from ActivePlayer.io, 40% of all the players of the popular play-to-earn (P2E) game Axie Infinity were from the Philippines. In fact, the game has also been a financial game-changer for many citizens in the country.

Related: How blockchain games create entire economies on top of their gameplay: Report

Cointelegraph spoke with Omar Moscosco, co-founder of AAG Ventures — a P2E guild based in the Philippines — about the potential the Philippines holds for the mass adoption of digital assets. He said, “The Philippines is home to a large unbanked and underbanked population with some 66 percent of this total population having no access to traditional banking services or similar financial organizations.”

He added that COVID-19 sparked a digital transformation in the country, saying:

“The Philippines registered the highest number of first-time users of digital payment methods at 37 percent. The regional average was 15 percent. As such, digital payments made up 20 percent of total financial transactions in the country in 2020, an increase from 14 percent in 2019. Also, in 2020, e-money transactions totaled 2.39 trillion PHP (US$46.5 million), an increase of 61 percent compared to 2019.”

Jin Gonzalez, chief architect of Oz Finance — a decentralized finance (DeFi) service provider based in the Philippines — told Cointelegraph about the impact the entry of Binance in the country would entail for the market. He said, “Binance already receives a large amount of Philippine peso volume for its peer-to-peer (PHP/USDT) service. It is also the exchange of choice for Filipinos due to the favorable rates it charges versus local service providers. Getting a BSP license will only legitimize its operation and strengthen its position in the market.”

However, global concerns have begun to emerge around the Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Combating the Financing of Terrorism (CFT) frameworks that companies with VASP licenses use. The central bank of Ireland has published a bulletin for VASPs that is aimed at assisting applicant firms to strengthen their VASP registration application and their AML/CFT frameworks accordingly. 

This development was good for the growing ecosystem, as it addresses concerns that would inevitably arise when considering the integration of digital assets into the existing financial ecosystem and the economy. At the same time, Hong Kong introduced a licensing regime for VASPs in June this year, which imposes statutory AML/CTF requirements for companies that wish to operate in the nation.

Central government keen to push use cases

The regulatory landscape of the Philippines is still in a fairly nascent stage as there is no strict restrictive regulation for both businesses and individuals at the moment. In fact, the government of the country, in tandem with its central bank, seems keen to adopt blockchain technology and implement its use cases in various sectors of the economy. Gonzalez said:

“At the current moment, BSP regulation is in place, but SEC regulation has yet to pass. Regardless, the Philippines has an open position on digital assets, and its intent to regulate is intended to balance investor protection with promoting the advancement of the technology. PH regulators, especially the Central Bank, maintain a progressive stand on the adoption of digital assets.”

Earlier this year, in May, the Philippines government’s Department of Science and Technology started a blockchain training program for researchers in the department. Through the training program, the government is looking to adopt blockchain in areas such as healthcare, financial support, emergency aid, issuance of passports and visas, trademark registration and government records, among others.

Cliffs at El Nido in the Philippines. Source: Tuderna

The Philippines-based UnionBank has also launched a payments-focused stablecoin pegged to the Philippine peso that aims to drive financial inclusion in the country. It attempts to link the main banks of the country to rural banks and bring financial access to previously unbanked parts of the country. Gonzalez said:

For the time being, it seems content to observe how bank-issued stablecoins (such as PHX by UnionBank) will bring forward financial inclusion.

However, even with the openness of the government, there are entities keeping a keen eye out for irregularities in the way digital asset companies are operating. The local policy thinktank Infrawatch PH has sent a letter to the Philippines’ Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) asking them to conduct an investigation against Binance for promotions in the country without having a proper permit for the same.

The DTI responded to this letter, putting the ban out of the question by stating that it has set no clear guidelines for the promotion of digital assets.

CBDC launch could be a gamechanger for the country

Since a majority of the citizens in the Philippines are unbanked and thus operate in a fairly unregulated manner in matters like taxation, the introduction of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) into the economy could be a major step in the digital transformation that the country is currently undergoing.

Moscoso said, “CBDCs can take advantage of mobile technologies to provide increased access to financial services to rural households and other segments that are underserved by the current banking system. The central bank expects that at least half of the payments would eventually be made digitally by 2023.”

Related: Crypto in the Philippines: Necessity is the mother of adoption

He added that around 70% of adults would be using a digital account for transactions by this time, which allows consumers to have additional options that can make them steer away from loan sharks.

Despite the current bear market, the Philippines still has a forward-thinking perspective about the adoption of digital assets and blockchain-based business models. This outlook puts the country in a good spot, with the potential to become a cryptocurrency hub.

Sri Lanka central bank reiterates crypto warning following protestors seizing president’s residence

Thousands of Sri Lankans took to the streets of Colombo in protest of the government’s response to the economic situation in the country.

Amid economic and political turmoil, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, or CBSL, has warned the public against crypto purchases due to the lack of regulatory oversight.

In a Tuesday notice, the CBSL said it has not authorized or licensed any company in Sri Lanka to offer crypto-related services, including exchanges, initial coin offerings and mining. The central bank said the warning was in response to “recent developments in relation to virtual currency usage,” likely referring to the market downturn and significant volatility in the prices of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC).

Virtual currencies “… are considered as unregulated financial instruments and have no regulatory oversight or safeguards relating to their usage in Sri Lanka,” said the CBSL. “The public is therefore warned of the possible exposure to significant financial, operational, legal and security related risks as well as customer protection concerns posed to the users by investments in VCs.”

The announcement came amid inflation in Sri Lanka reaching more than 54% in June as the SBSL bank raised interest rates to 15.5%. According to data from the central bank, inflation is roughly 45% at the time of publication, affecting the cost of living for the 22 million people living in Sri Lanka.

On Saturday, hundreds of protestors stormed Sri Lankan President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s residence in Colombo, reportedly finding 17.8 million rupees — roughly $50,000 at the time of publication — as well as taking control of the building, using the facilities and eating food in storage. Thousands of Sri Lankans have also taken to the streets of the capital city in protest of the government’s response to the economic situation. Parliament speaker Mahinda Yapa Abeywardena said that Rajapaksa will be resigning on Wednesday.

Related: Sri Lanka appoints committee to implement crypto mining and blockchain

Though publicly expressing warnings on crypto, Sri Lanka’s central bank previously helped develop a Know Your Customer proof-of-concept project as part of a government initiative aimed at exploring using blockchain and crypto mining. Some social media users claiming to be in Sri Lanka have also said they will hold stablecoins like USD Coin (USDC) as a hedge against the country’s high inflation and bankruptcy.

Crypto market volatility shows need for ‘enhanced regulatory and law enforcement frameworks’ — BoE

The central bank said the growth of the crypto market did not pose an “immediate threat” to the United Kingdom’s financial system, but had the potential to do so in the future.

The Bank of England has called for “enhanced” regulations of crypto to address potential risk to the country’s financial stability amid the market capitalization dropping more than $2 billion.

In the BoE’s Financial Policy Committee “Financial Stability Report — July 2022,” the central bank said factors including the growth of the crypto market and climate change did not pose an “immediate threat” to the United Kingdom’s financial system but had the potential to do so in the future. The committee noted that recent events in the space including extreme price volatility among cryptocurrencies, “liquidity mismatches,” weakening investor confidence in stablecoins and “leveraged positions being unwound” could threaten financial stability if left unchecked.

“Unless addressed, systemic risks would emerge if cryptoasset activity, and its interconnectedness with the wider financial system, continued to develop,” said the BoE report. “This underscores the need for enhanced regulatory and law enforcement frameworks to address developments in these markets and activities.”

According to the report, a “number of vulnerabilities” within the crypto space were similar to those that had previously been a part of instances of instability in traditional finance, leading to the market capitalization dropping from roughly $3 trillion in 2021 to less than $900 billion at the time of publication. Since its last report in December 2021, the committee said it had supported the Financial Stability Board coordinating its approach to “unbacked crypto-assets” with international authorities and accepted authorities considering crypto as a possible means for Russia to evade sanctions.

In a Tuesday press conference on the committee’s report, BoE governor Andrew Bailey reiterated that recent market forces had not changed his views on “unbacked” crypto not posing an imminent threat to the financial system. The central bank’s deputy governor for financial stability Jon Cunliffe added the recent price drop of cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) hadn’t had a noticeable impact on the country’s financial system, suggesting the crypto market isn’t at a size to significantly affect traditional ones.

“Technology doesn’t change the laws of economics and finance and risks,” said Cunliffe. “If an asset is speculative and has no intrinsic value — it’s only worth what somebody pays for it — it can go down very quickly when confidence is lost […] If people lose confidence in that because they don’t see how it’s going to maintain its value — think Terra, think Luna — then you’ll see stress across the system.”

The deputy governor added:

“We need now to bring in the regulatory system that will manage those risks in the crypto world in the same way that we manage them in the conventional world.”

Related: Bank of England and regulators assess crypto regulation in raft of new reports

Across the pond, United States Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen seemed to agree with BoE’s conclusions. Following TerraUSD (UST) depegging from the U.S. dollar in May and Tether (USDT) briefly dipping below $1, Yellen said the stablecoin market was not at the scale at which a price drop would present a threat to the country’s financial stability, but still presented risks similar to bank runs.

Peter Schiff’s bank closure strengthens Bitcoin case for financial freedom

Puerto Rico regulators closed down Schiff’s bank for not maintaining the net minimum capital requirements. As a result, customers lost access to their accounts following a subsequent freeze.

Prominent economist Peter Schiff, who is well-known in the community for his anti-crypto sentiments, had his bank shut down by Puerto Rico regulators. The revelation, however, led to Crypto Twitter pointing out the “irony” as Schiff’s prediction for Bitcoin (BTC) came true for his own traditional bank.

Puerto Rico regulators closed down Schiff’s bank for not maintaining the net minimum capital requirements, which further impacted the customers as they lost access to their accounts following a subsequent freeze.

While acknowledging that “customers may lose money,” Schiff stated that he was unaware of the regulatory minimums and was not presented with any form of legal notice prior to the abrupt closure. He added:

“It costs a fortune to run a small bank. That’s why I never really made any money. The compliance costs are outrageous.”

As a witness to what many consider an epic plot twist, the crypto community took the opportunity to explain the importance of Bitcoin in reinventing the core of traditional finance.

Bitcoin podcaster Stephan Livera, too, chimed in on the development as he said, “He’s [Schiff] been a #bitcoin skeptic since $17.50.” The sudden closure of Schiff’s bank in Puerto Rico reignited the discussions around Bitcoin’s resistance to judicial supremacy. 

“The irony here is priceless,” added @HodlMagoo, while others rhetorically helped Schiff find a promising alternative to traditional finance, asking “Do you understand why you need bitcoin now?”

On the other end of the spectrum, Puerto Rico has been receptive to crypto acceptance in the region. On April 20, Puerto Rico authorities became the fourth jurisdiction in America to award a money transmitter license to Binance.US, a United States-based subsidiary of crypto exchange Binance.

While the crypto community empathizes with Schiff and the bank’s customers for their losses, the episode further cements Bitcoin’s position as the ultimate replacement of traditional finance.

Related: Deutsche Bank analysts see Bitcoin recovering to $28K by December

Analysts from Deutsche Bank forecasted BTC prices to rebound back to $28,000 by the end of the year despite an ongoing bear market.

Analysts Marion Laboure and Galina Pozdnyakova envisioned the Standard and Poor (S&P) to rebound back to its January levels, which in turn, could result in a 30% increase in Bitcoin’s value from current levels midway through 2022 — bringing up its price to the $28,000 mark.

Bitcoin holds $20K as ECB warns inflation may never return to pre-COVID lows

Markets beyond the euro slow to react as Europe acknowledges higher inflation may be permanent.

Bitcoin (BTC) held steady at just above $20,000 after the June 29 Wall Street open as Europe’s chief banker admitted the world would “never” return to low inflation.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Lagarde on inflation: “I don’t think we’re ever going back”

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD looking nonvolatile but precarious as it stuck in a narrow range on the day.

United States equities markets were likewise calm after Asian trading had seen fresh losses. In Europe, meanwhile, comments from central bankers set the macro tone.

In particular, Christine Lagarde, head of the European Central Bank (ECB), appeared to state that inflation would remain high indefinitely.

“I don’t think we’re going back to that period of low inflation,” she said during a press conference at the ongoing ECB Forum event in Sintra, Portugal.

Joining her was Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, who sounded similarly downbeat on the prognosis while promising to not rest until inflation matched the bank’s 2% target.

“That is our aim, that is our intention; we think there are various pathways to achieve that, to achieve the path back to 2% inflation while sustaining a strong labor market. We believe we can do that, that’s our aim; there’s no guarantee that we can do that,” he said.

Bitcoin bulls defend 2017 top

Bitcoin was unresponsive to the comments, which preceded fresh U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data by around two weeks.

For Bitcoin analysts, meanwhile, the focus was on the June monthly close.

On-chain analytics resource Material Indicators eyed a breakout now due “very soon” as the monthly candle was all but doomed to disappoint.

“Bulls are defending the 2017 Top, but with one day to go, it’s going to be almost impossible to print a green Monthly candle,” it told Twitter followers.

“Still a chance for green on the Weekly. Expecting volatility. One way or another, Bitcoin is going to breakout or breakdown very soon.”

An accompanying chart showing the order book of major exchange Binance confirmed the buy and sell interest on BTC/USD focusing right at current prices.

BTC/USD order book data (Binance). Source: Material Indicators/ Twitter

As Cointelegraph reported, June 2022 was already on track to be the worst month since 2018.

Prices continues to roast corporate investors

Elsewhere, MicroStrategy upped its Bitcoin corporate treasury with a fresh 480 BTC purchase, a move lauded by commentators.

Related: No flexing for Bitcoin Cash users as BCH loses 98% against Bitcoin

Smaller compared to some buy-ins, MicroStrategy and CEO Michael Saylor was running conspicuously against claims that the company might be liquidated on a $205 million loan taken out for BTC acquisition.

“Although this recent buy of 480 BTC from Saylor may be relatively small, I think it sends a message more than anything,” William Clemente, lead insights analyst at Blockware, reacted.

“Despite all the criticism and claims he’s “getting liquidated” from bears, he’s not going anywhere and is sticking to his long-term allocation strategy.”

A look at monitoring resource Bitcoin Treasuries nonetheless showed MicroStrategy down a combined $1.4 billion on its inventory, with number two Tesla down almost 50%.

Payment network Square also remained down $60 million on its $220 million allocation.

Major publicly traded companies’ BTC treasury data (screenshot). Source: Bitcoin Treasuries

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin and banking’s differing energy narratives are a matter of perspective

Bitcoin mining’s climate impact has been heavily criticized, but the emissions of corporate cash and investments have often flown under the radar.

The Carbon Bankroll Report was released on May 17 as a collaboration among the Climate Safe Lending Network, The Outdoor Policy Outfit and Bank FWD. The collaboration made it possible to calculate the emissions generated due to a company’s cash and investments, such as cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities.

The report revealed that for several large companies, such as Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft and Salesforce, the cash and investments are their largest source of emissions.

The energy consumption of the flagship proof-of-work (PoW) blockchain network, Bitcoin, has been a matter of debate in which the network and its participants, especially miners, are criticized for contributing to an ecosystem that might be worsening climate change. However, recent findings have also brought the carbon impact of traditional investments under the radar.

Bitcoin is often vilified due to “imagery”

The Carbon Bankroll Report was drafted by James Vaccaro, executive director at the Climate Safe Lending Network, and Paul Moinester, executive director and founder of the Outdoor Policy Outfit. Regarding the impact of the report, Jamie Beck Alexander, director of Drawdown Labs, stated:

“Until now, the role that corporate banking practices play in fueling the climate crisis has been murky at its best. This landmark report shines a floodlight. The research and findings contained in this report offer companies a new, massively important opportunity to help shift our financial system away from fossil fuels and deforestation toward climate solutions on a global scale. Companies that are serious about their climate pledges will welcome this breakthrough and move urgently toward tapping this lever for systematic change.”

A few metrics that the report highlighted regarding the climatic impact of the banking industry include:

  • Since the signing of the Paris Agreement in 2015, 60 of the world’s largest commercial and investment banks have invested $4.6 trillion in the fossil fuel industry.
  • Banks such as Citi, Wells Fargo and Bank of America have invested $1.2 billion in said industry.
  • The largest banks and asset managers in the United States have been responsible for financing the equivalent of 1.968 billion tons of carbon dioxide. If the U.S. financial sector were a country, it would be the fifth-largest emitter in the world, just after Russia.
  • When compared to the direct operational emissions of global financial firms, the emissions generated through investing, lending and underwriting activities are 700 times higher.

Cointelegraph spoke with Cameron Collins, an investment analyst at Viridi Funds — a crypto investment fund manager — about the reasons behind the excessive vilification of the Bitcoin network. He said: 

“It’s easy to picture a warehouse of high-performance computers sucking down power, but it’s not so easy to picture the downstream effects of cash in circulation financing carbon-intensive activities. More often than not, it’s this imagery that demonizes Bitcoin mining. In reality, the entire banking system uses more electricity in operations than that of the Bitcoin mining industry.”

In addition to the portrayed “imagery,” there have been various efforts to track the exact energy consumption of operating the Bitcoin network. One of the most widely accepted metrics for this complex variable is calculated by the Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance and is known as the Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index (CBECI).

At the time of writing, the index estimates that the annualized consumption of energy by the Bitcoin network is 117.71 terawatt-hours (TWh). The CBECI model uses various parameters such as network hash rate, miner fees, mining difficulty, mining equipment efficiency, electricity cost and power usage effectiveness to compute the annualized consumption for the network.

The growth in the number of participants and related activity on the Bitcoin network is evident in the monthly electricity consumption of the network. From January 2017 to May 2022, the monthly electricity consumption has multiplied over 17 times from 0.62 TWh to currently standing at 10.67 TWh. In comparison, companies such as PayPal, Alphabet and Netflix have witnessed their carbon emissions multiplied by 55, 38 and 10 times, respectively.

Collins spoke further about the perception of the Bitcoin network that could be changed in the future. He added that if more people approached Bitcoin (BTC) mining as a financial service as opposed to mining, sentiment surrounding PoW networks might begin to change, and the public may appreciate it more as an essential service as opposed to a reckless gold rush. He also highlighted the role of thought leaders in the community in conveying the true nature of Bitcoin mining to policymakers and the public at large.

Working together to solve the energy problem

Recently, there have been several examples of the Bitcoin mining community collaborating with the energy industry — and vice-versa — to work on methodologies beneficial for both parties. The American Energy company, Crusoe Energy, is repurposing wasted fuel energy to power Bitcoin mining, starting in Oman. The country exports 23% of its total gas production and aims to reduce gas flaring to an absolute zero by 2030.

Even the United States energy giant ExxonMobil couldn’t help but get in on the action. In March this year, it was revealed that Crusoe Energy had inked a deal with ExxonMobil to use excess gas from oil wells in North Dakota to run Bitcoin miners. Traditionally, energy companies resort to a process known as gas flaring to get rid of the excess gas from oil wells.

Related: Stranded no more? Bitcoin miners could help solve Big Oil’s gas problem

A report released by the Bitcoin Mining Council in January revealed that the Bitcoin mining industry increased the sustainable energy mix of its consumption by nearly 59% between 2020 and 2021. The Bitcoin Mining Council is a group of 44 Bitcoin mining companies that represent over 50% of the entire network’s mining power.

Cointelegraph spoke to Bryan Routledge, associate professor of finance at Carnegie Mellon University’s Tepper School of Business, about the comparison between the carbon emissions from Bitcoin and traditional banking.

He stated, “Bitcoin (blockchain) is a record-keeping technology. Is there another protocol that would be comparably secure but not as energy costly as PoW? There are certainly lots of people working on that. Similarly, we can compare Bitcoin to record-keeping financial transactions in regular banks.”

The block reward for mining a block of Bitcoin currently stands at 6.25 BTC, over $190,000 as per current prices, and the current average number of transactions per block stands around 1,620 as per data from Blockchain.com. This entails that the average reward of one transaction could be estimated to be over $117, a reasonable reward for a single transaction.

Routledge further added, “Traditional banks are a far larger size and so, in aggregate, have a large impact on the environment. But for many transactions, there is a much lower per-transaction cost — e.g., an ATM fee. BTC has lots of benefits, arguably. But surely becoming more efficient seems an important step.”

Since gauging the true impact of Bitcoin is not really a quantifiable effort due to the significant change that the technology and the currency represent, it is important to remember that the energy consumption of Bitcoin can’t be vilified in an isolated manner. The global financial community often tends to forget the high impact of the current banking system that is not offset by corporate social responsibility and other incentives alone.