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Why is Cardano (ADA) price up this week?

ADA price had gained nearly 80% in a month and data suggests the rally could continue.

Cardano (ADA) recorded an impressive 43% gain in the seven days leading up to Dec. 14, reaching its highest level since May 2022. The rapid increase to $0.64 has pushed Cardano’s market capitalization to $22.7 billion, an interesting point to note, as it matches the valuation of Danske Bank (DANSKE.CO), Denmark’s largest bank, which serves over 5 million retail customers.

While ADA’s market cap is quite impressive, it’s essential to recognize that decentralized protocol valuations differ significantly from traditional financial assets. Traditional assets rely on generating revenue to cover expenses, including financing costs and operational overhead. On the other hand, Cardano is a decentralized protocol, so its market capitalization does not depend on sales and earnings. Nevertheless, it’s important to analyze the potential reasons behind ADA’s price increase to determine if further gains are possible.

Constructing a narrative for Cardano’s recent success is relatively straightforward, but pinpointing the specific events responsible for the 70% gain in December is more challenging. For instance, a post on the social network X by user @matiwinnetou brilliantly highlights the driving factors behind this bullish momentum.

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Why is Cardano price up today?

Cardano price continues its rebound move in December, with ADA price up 75% already as altcoins catch up to Bitcoin’s rally.

The price of Cardano (ADA) jumped over 19% to $0.64 on Dec. 9, its highest level in 18 months. It’s up 75% in December alone. 

Cardano’s recent gains did not accompany any groundbreaking fundamentals. Instead, they appeared on the cryptocurrency market catching up to Bitcoin (BTC) this month.

Notably, Bitcoin’s crypto market dominance has declined 3.5% from its Dec. 6 local peak, indicating that many traders have been rotating capital out of the Bitcoin market to seek profit opportunities in altcoins. That has benefited Cardano, whose market share has jumped over 46% since Dec. 6.

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US needs to regulate stablecoins to keep a strong dollar: Stellar CEO

The United States and the greenback will suffer if stablecoin regulations are not rolled out this year, Stellar Development Foundation’s chief has claimed.

United States financial regulators are tightening their grip on the crypto industry and the U.S. dollar has also been under pressure with countries distancing themselves from dollar hegemony, but the chief of Stellar says stablecoin regulation may solve that.

In an April 11 Bloomberg interview, Denelle Dixon, the CEO and executive director of the Stellar Development Foundation, spoke about the prospects of regulating dollar-pegged digital assets in the United States.

Dixon said she was very optimistic that there would be some form of stablecoin regulation in the U.S. by the end of the year because “they want to set the standard.”

“If we want a strong U.S. dollar globally, a USD stablecoin is the way to see that happen.”

President Joe Biden’s administration has already highlighted the need for a stablecoin regulatory framework, but Dixon said that needs to be pushed through Congress.

“If we don’t do something in the U.S., we’re going to be in this bifurcated world where we have legislation outside the U.S. that’s friendlier to crypto,” Dixon said, adding:

“There will be companies outside the U.S. and there will still be the issue that U.S. consumers will want to leverage this technology.”

Dixon was optimistic about stablecoin regulation “only because we don’t have a choice,” saying the focus should be more on the utility and value to users than on the tech stack.

“Stop talking about the technology and start demonstrating the utility,” she added.

Stellar is a decentralized cross-border payments network powered by the Lumens (XLM) token. It was created as a modified fork from Ripple’s codebase in 2014.

Related: Stablecoins are solution to crypto’s banking problem, exec says

Stablecoins currently represent around 10.5% of the entire crypto market capitalization with $133 billion in circulation. Dixon hinted that it was paramount that stablecoins are regulated and accepted in America as the vast majority of them are pegged to the U.S. dollar.

Market leader Tether (USDT) has issued $14 billion in USDT so far this year, strengthening its market share to 60% with its circulation of $80 billion.

The gains come at the expense of Circle’s USD Coin (USDC) and Binance’s Binance USD (BUSD) stablecoins, both of which have seen considerable declines in supply this year.

Magazine: Unstablecoins: Depegging, bank runs and other risks loom

Malaysia enlists China to help end USD dependence for trade

More proposals and currency concepts are emerging as Asia ramps up its efforts to distance itself from U.S. dollar hegemony.

China and Malaysia are considering moving forward on discussions regarding an Asian Monetary Fund, with a distancing from the  U.S. dollar hegemony becoming a greater priority in the region.

On April 4, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim reportedly said China was open to a proposal to set up an Asian Monetary Fund.

The concept of the Asian-focused fund was floated at a forum on the Chinese island province of Hainan last week, according to Bloomberg.

According to Ibrahim, China’s President Xi Jinping welcomed discussions on a proposed agency to help the two nations — and others in the region — distance themselves from the U.S. dollar and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Malaysia is among several Asian nations trying to detach itself from dollar dependence. Its central bank is working with the People’s Bank of China to conduct trade in their own currencies.

In late March, China and Brazil agreed to transact solely in their national currencies, cutting out the greenback completely.

An Asian Monetary Fund was initially considered in the 1990s, but Ibrahim thinks that now is the time, stating:

“Now with the strength of the economies in China, Japan, and others, I think we should discuss this — at least consider an Asian Monetary Fund, and, secondly, the use of our respective currencies.”

Also, in late March, a Russian state official spoke of a new currency for the BRICS alliance, as reported by Cointelegraph. It would be another effort to distance itself from the dollar, incorporating the burgeoning economies of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa.

In October 2022, Chinese government researchers proposed a digital currency based on a basket of Asian currencies.

On April 4, South China Morning Post Columnist Alex Lo opined additional reasons for dollar distancing could exist.

Related: ‘Surgical removal’ of crypto will only weaken USD dominance, commentators say

Lo said more countries want to move away from the U.S. dollar, not just for economic reasons, but to “escape the clutches of the gangsterism of U.S. foreign policy, which in the past two decades has weaponized its global dollar dominance with increasing abandon.”

The end of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency could severely impact its value compared to other currencies and crypto assets. It could have a knock-on effect on the $133 billion stablecoin market, which is dominated by dollar-pegged stablecoins.

Magazine: Unstablecoins: Depegging, bank runs and other risks loom

Warning sign for ETH price? Ethereum volume profile is down 90% since March 2020

Ether’s 78% price recovery since July 2022 is at risk of exhaustion due to an unconvincing volume profile.

The price of Ethereum’s native token, Ether (ETH), has recovered 78% since June 2022. But this doesn’t guarantee further upside, particularly with declining trading volumes suggesting that the risk of a major correction is high. 

Ether volume profile drops 90% since March 2020

A “volume profile” indicator displays trading activity across prices, with the blue indicating buying volume and the yellow indicating sell volume. 

Illustration of a volume profile bar. Source: TradingView

In March 2020, when the market bottomed, Ether’s volume profile on a weekly chart showed about 160 million ETH trades across the $85–$270 price range. At the time, the selling volume was greater than the buying volume by around 4 million ETH.

But Ether buying volume regained momentum after ETH price rallied above $270 in July 2020.

Notably, between July 2020 and November 2020, the Ether volume profile displayed about 64.25 million ETH trades across the $270–$450 range, with buying volume exceeding selling volume by almost 1 million ETH.

ETH/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

The price-volume trend remained largely synchronous with one another until November 2021, when ETH/USD reached its record high at around $4,950. 

In other words, most traders purchased Ether as its price climbed, illustrating their confidence in the longevity of the bullish reversal that followed the March 2020 crash.

However, that confidence is missing in the 2023 Ether market rebound.

2022 ETH price bottom differs from two years ago

At first, the Ether volume profile at the beginning of it price recovery in June 2022 from $900 shows 12.50 million ETH trades, down more than 90% from March 2020.

But despite a 75% price recovery, fewer traders have been participating in Ether’s potential bottom this time around when compared with the beginning of the 2020 bull market.

What’s further concerning is the rising sell-volumes during the current ETH price rebound.

For instance, the red horizontal line in the daily chart below, dubbed the “point of control,” or POC — which represents the area with the most open trading positions — shows a net 8.21 million ETH volume of around $1,550, with sellers exceeding buyers by 170,000 ETH trades.

ETH/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

In other words, ETH’s ongoing price recovery might not have the legs it did in March 2020, especially when coupled with the overall volume profile decline over the past two years.

Most Ether investors are still in profit

More downside cues for Ether come from one of Ethereum’s widely monitored on-chain metrics that tracks the percentage of ETH’s circulating supply in profit.

Related: Ethereum eyes 25% correction in March, but ETH price bulls have a silver lining

As of March 6, about 65% of ETH was bought at a lower price. In other words, investors’ probability of securing profits remains high in the event of a significant price drop.

Ether circulating supply in profit. Source: Glassnode

Therefore, Ether price could see the real bottom if the supply in profit falls below 30% (green zone), which would reflect previous market cycles and the March 2020 bottom, as shown in the chart above.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Ethereum vs. Bitcoin: ETH price risks 20% drop if key support level breaks

ETH’s price has repeatedly failed to break above key trendline resistance, and now Ethereum risks losing strong technical support as well.

Ether’s (ETH) rally versus Bitcoin (BTC) is not only showing signs of exhaustion but is also in danger of breaking below a key technical support level. 

ETH slides vs. BTC in the second half of January

The ETH/BTC pair declined nearly 9.25% on Jan. 24 from its local top of 0.0779 BTC established on Jan. 11. Since the start of the year, Bitcoin has been slightly outpacing Ether in terms of United States dollars, rising 38% versus 35%, respectively.

ETH/BTC daily candle price chart. Source: TradingView

Interestingly, Ether’s pullback versus Bitcoin has landed its price at the bottom of its EMA ribbon range, as shown below.

ETH/BTC weekly candle price chart. Source: TradingView

The EMA ribbon indicator shows numerous exponential moving averages of increasing timeframe on the same price chart. Dropping below the ribbon range increases an asset’s likelihood of seeing an extended down-move.

In other words, breaking lower would increase its possibility of declining by more than 20% from its current price levels.

Conversely, rising above the ribbon range raises the asset’s chances of a broader rally.

Ether’s price capped by key descending trendline

This week, ETH/BTC dropped to the 55-week exponential moving average (the red wave) — a bottom wave — of its EMA ribbon indicator, as shown below. Buyers took control near the 55-week EMA, prompting Ether to recover a mere 0.35% versus Bitcoin to 0.0708 BTC on Jan. 24.

Related: This $25K BTC price target would spell misery for Bitcoin shorters

But now, the likelihood of retesting the EMA ribbon bottom is high due to a multi-month descending trendline resistance (black trendline in the chart below), where sellers have been more active as of late.

ETH/BTC weekly price chart focusing on descending trendline resistance. Source: TradingView

Therefore, one cannot rule out the possibility of ETH/BTC breaking below the EMA ribbon range, similar to how the pair did in May 2022 in the wake of the Terra collapse.

Back then, Ether fell by over 25% versus Bitcoin to 0.0490, a level coinciding with its 200-week EMA (the blue wave). 

Therefore, if a similar breakdown occurs in the coming weeks, the ETH/BTC pair may test the 200-week EMA near 0.0550 BTC as its primary downside target, or roughly a 20% price drop from current levels. 

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Robert Kiyosaki calls Bitcoin a ‘buying opportunity’ as US dollar surges

The best-selling author of Rich Dad Poor Dad has tipped Bitcoin and two other commodities as buying opportunities, noting a U.S. dollar crash could occur by January.

Robert Kiyosaki, businessman and best-selling author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, has called Bitcoin (BTC), silver and gold a “buying opportunity” amid the strengthening United States dollar and continued interest rate hikes. 

In an Oct. 2 Twitter post to his 2.1 million followers, the author noted the prices of the three commodities — sometimes referred to as “safe haven” assets — would continue getting lower as the United States dollar strengthens, proving its worth once the “FED pivots” and drops interest rates.

In a post the day before, Kiyosaki predicted this “pivot” could happen as soon as January 2023, which would see the U.S. dollar “crash” in the same way as the recently collapsed British pound.

“Will the US dollar follow English Pound Sterling? I believe it will. I believe US dollar will crash by January 2023 after Fed pivots,” said Kiyosaki, adding he “will not be a victim of the F*CKed FED.”

Since as early as May. 2020, Kiyosaki has been a proponent for asset classes that the Fed cannot directly manipulate, having once warned investors to “Get Bitcoin and save yourself” following the Fed’s immediate mass money printing episodes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Interestingly, Kiyosaki’s liking for Bitcoin stands despite not believing there’s any value to it, he said in a recent interview on Rich Dad. The author appears to be standing behind Bitcoin again in his most recent tweet, noting: 

“When FED pivots and drops interest rates as England just did you will smile while others cry.”

In a September letter to his mailed subscribers, Kiyosaki stressed the need to invest in digital assets now in order to score outsized returns over the long term:

“It’s not enough to WANT to get into crypto […] Now is the time you NEED to get into crypto, before the biggest economic crash in history.”

The U.S. dollar has been gradually gaining strength over other major global currencies over the last year, with the GBP/USD, euro/USD, and Japanese yen/USD falling 18.24%, 15.54%, and 23.33% respectively, according to Trading Economics.

At the same time, the Fed’s interest rate hike, along with a strengthening USD has coincided with a 55% drop in the crypto market cap over the last 12 months.

Related: The British pound collapse and its impact on cryptocurrency: Watch the Market Report

Last month, hedge fund co-founder CK Zheng said he expected October to be a “very volatile” month for BTC.

“October is a pretty volatile period of time, especially when combined with high inflation, with a lot of debate in terms of the Fed and policy change. The concern is that if the Fed tightens too much, the U.S. economy may actually go into a severe recession.”

Fed conference hears stablecoins may boost USD as global reserve currency

The underlying tech of a central bank digital currency wasn’t enough to convince some panelists at a Fed conference that it could change the international currency system.

A note published by the United States Federal Reserve at a recently held conference found a majority of exports believe a U.S. dollar central bank digital currency (CBDC) would not drastically change the global currency ecosystem.

Panelists at the conference also agreed that CBDC development outside of the U.S. doesn’t threaten the status of the dollar, but the development of cryptocurrencies could alter the role of the dollar globally, with some saying stablecoins could even boost the U.S. dollar’s role as the global dominant reserve currency.

The assessments came from expert panelists at a June 16 and 17 conference hosted by the Federal Reserve on the “International Roles of the U.S. dollar” collated into a note and published by The Fed on Tuesday. The conference was used to gain insight from policymakers, researchers and market experts to understand “potential factors that may alter the dominance of the U.S. dollar in the future,” including new technologies and payment systems.

A discussion on a panel addressing digital assets and if CBDCs would provide advantages for the dollar had panelists agree that the underpinning technology alone wouldn’t “lead to drastic changes in the global currency ecosystem”.

Speakers on the panel included digital currency initiative director at MIT Neha Narula, head of research at the Bank of International Settlements Hyun Song Shin, chief investment strategist at asset management firm Bridgewater Rebecca Patterson and HSBC bank’s head of FX research Paul Mackel.

The panelists agreed that factors such as market and political stability, along with market depth, are more crucial for dominant reserve currencies like the U.S. dollar than the development of a Fed-issued digital dollar.

The development of CBDCs by other countries was also generally agreed by the panel to have a tendency to focus more heavily on that country’s own domestic retail market and, therefore, was considered “not a threat to the U.S. dollar’s international status.”

The Federal Reserve noted the amount and scope of CBDCs for making cross-border payments are “still quite limited,” suggesting that these systems don’t yet pose a threat to the dollar, which accounts for a majority of international financial transactions, according to an October 2021 note.

Focusing on cryptocurrencies, panelists said further development of digital assets could change the international role of the dollar, but adoption by institutional investors was throttled by a lacking regulatory framework, leaving the current crypto market to be dominated by speculative retail investors.

Another panel including Fed financial research adviser Asani Sarkar and finance professor Jiakai Chen concluded that part of the demand for crypto, especially Bitcoin (BTC), was driven by a desire to evade domestic capital controls, citing BTC prices in China trading at a premium in comparison to other countries.

Despite this, the Fed says panelists didn’t see crypto as a threat to the global role of the dollar in the short term. Some even suggested in the “medium run” that crypto could reinforce the dollar’s role if “new sets of services structured around these assets are linked to the dollar,” a likely reference to stablecoins, cryptocurrencies pegged to the value of a fiat currency (usually USD).

Related: US lawmaker lays out case for a digital dollar

The advice by panelists may help put a new spin on things for members of the Federal Reserve.

Previously, the Federal Reserve Board of governors said in June that stablecoins not sufficiently backed by liquid assets and proper regulatory standards “create risks to investors and potentially to the financial system” likely referencing the collapse of TerraUSD Classic (USTC).

The comment by the Board came before Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell stated a CBDC could “potentially help maintain the dollar’s international standing.”

USD stablecoin premiums surge in Argentina following economy minister’s resignation

Argentina has been in a long-standing battle against rising inflation and a continued decline of the peso against the U.S. dollar.

Argentina, a country with one of the highest crypto adoption rates in the world, saw the price of United States dollar-pegged stablecoins surge across exchanges on Saturday after the abrupt resignation of its Economy Minister, Martin Guzman. 

The minister’s shock exit, confirmed on his Twitter account on Sunday via a seven-page letter, threatens to further destabilize a struggling economy battling high inflation and a depreciating national currency.

According to data from Criptoya, the cost of buying Tether (USDT) using Argentinian pesos (ARS) is currently 271.4 ARS through the Binance exchange, which is around a 12% premium from before the resignation announcement, and a 116.25% premium compared to the current fiat exchange rate of USD/ARS.

The local crypto price tracking website has also revealed a similar jump in other USD-pegged stablecoins, including Dai (DAI), Binance USD (BUSD), Pax Dollar (USDP) and Dollar on Chain (DOC).

Argentineans have been piling into crypto as a means to hedge against the country’s rising inflation and a continued fall of the Argentinean peso against the USD.

In 2016, before inflation really took its toll, one USD was only able to buy around 14.72 Argentinean pesos. However, six years later, one USD is able to buy as many as 125.5 ARS.

The extra premium on U.S.-dollar pegged stablecoins is the result of a law passed on September 1, 2019, called Decree No. 609/2019, and has made it virtually impossible for Argentinians to exchange more than $200 in greenbacks per month at the official exchange rate.

It was imposed as a means to prevent the Argentinean peso from free-falling amid a struggling economy. In May, the Argentinean annual inflation rate accelerated for the fourth straight month, hitting 60.7%, according to Trading Economics.

Related: Argentina carries out crypto wallet seizures linked to tax delinquents

The South American nation has the sixth-highest adoption rate globally, with around 21% of Argentineans estimated to have used or owned crypto by 2021, according to Statista.

In May, Cointelegraph reported that “crypto penetration” in Argentina had reached 12%, double that of Peru, Mexico, and other countries in the region, primarily driven by citizens seeking safe haven against rising inflation.

In addition to Bitcoin, Argentineans have been turning to stablecoins increasingly as a means of storing value in the United States dollar.

Tether deploys new USDT token on the Tezos blockchain

The asset will also be available on 12 other networks, including Ethereum, Solana and Polkadot, among others.

Leading cryptocurrency stablecoin Tether has announced the launch of a new asset, Tether (USDT) tokens, built on the Tezos blockchain, and with the ambition of expanding its digital footprint across the digital payments and decentralized finance (DeFi) sector.

According to the press release, “USDT on Tezos will power revolutionary applications across payments, DeFi, and more.” In conversation with a Tether representative, greater context was provided as to the intended utility of Tether tokens:

“Tether tokens are not an investment but a utility for engaging in internet commerce, combating volatility, and providing a safe haven for remittances. Tether tokens can be securely stored, sent, and received across the blockchain and are redeemable for the underlying asset, subject to the terms of service and fee schedule.”

The representative continued on to reveal the names of the 12 blockchains, including Tezos, on which the asset will become accessible.

Related: Tether’s reported bank partner Capital Union shares its crypto strategy

“Tether currently supports transfers on a diverse and growing list of blockchains including Solana, Ethereum, Kusama, Avalanche, Polkadot, Algorand, EOS, Liquid Network, Omni, Tron and Bitcoin Cash’s Standard Ledger Protocol.”

Tether chief technology officer Paolo Ardoino spoke highly of the launch, anticipating that it will support Tether’s growth across the coming years.

“Tezos is coming fast onto the scene and we believe that this integration will be essential to its long-term growth.”