Terra Classic

Terra back from the dead? LUNA price rises 300% in September

The incredible LUNA rally took place amid a flurry of positive and negative events while technicals suggest a correction is coming.

Terra has become a controversial blockchain project after the collapse of its native token Terra (LUNA) and stablecoin TerraUSD (UST) in May. But, its recent gains are hard to ignore for cryptocurrency traders. 

LUNA rising from the dead?

 LUNA’s performance in September is particularly interesting, given it has rallied by more than 300% month-to-date after a long period of sideways consolidation.

LUNA/USDT daily price chart. Source: TradingView

It is vital to note that LUNA also trades with the ticker LUNA2 across multiple exchanges.

In detail, Terraform Labs, the firm behind the Terra project, divided the old chain into Terra Classic (LUNC) and Terra LUNA 2.0 (LUNA/LUNA2).

Related: Do Kwon reportedly hires lawyers in S. Korea to prepare for Terra investigation

Terra Classic is the original version of the Terra blockchain, while LUNA 2.0 was created as a part of a regeneration strategy by Terraform Labs founder Do Kwon. In doing so, Kwon and his team periodically airdrop the LUNA2 tokens to users affected by Terra’s collapse.

LUNA/LUNA2 started pumping on Sept. 9, the day on which many things happened inside the Terra ecosystem.

First, Luna Classic (LUNC) passed governance proposals to add a 1.2% tax on all its on-chain transactions on the day. In other words, the proposals will permanently remove 1.2% of the LUNC supply from each on-chain transaction, as Cointelegraph covered.

Second, a self-proclaimed Terra whistleblower, FatMan, reported a suspicious transaction worth 435,000 LUNA2 tokens to Binance, alleging that the sender is TerraForm Labs:

“Was eating lunch [and] saw LUNA2 pump. Checked the TFL Dawn wallet. Sure enough, after months of farming rewards with the airdrop they claim they never received, they sent all 435K available LUNA 2 to Binance just days ago. That’s just one address.”

However, Do Kwon dismissed the allegations.

The Sept. 9 pump also occurred a week after Terra passed the proposal to conduct its second airdrop of over 19 million LUNA tokens until Oct. 4.

LUNA price technicals lean bearish

From a technical perspective, LUNA’s price risks undergoing a massive correction in the coming days.

Firstly, on the four-hour chart, the token’s relative strength index (RSI) has jumped above 70, which is considered overbought territory where a correction becomes more likely. Secondly, the price has been forming a rising wedge, or a bearish reversal pattern, since Sept. 9.

LUNA/USDT daily price chart featuring rising wedge breakdown setup. Source: TradingView

Notably, a rising wedge forms when the price trends higher inside an ascending range whose upper and lower trendlines converge toward one another. It resolves after the price breaks below the lower trendline together with a rise in trading volume.

As of Sept. 11, LUNA was testing its wedge’s lower trendline for a potential breakdown move. In this case, the price will risk falling by as much as the wedge’s maximum height.

In other words, LUNA could drop to $4.5, down 30% from the price on Sept. 11.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Here’s why Terra Classic price has soared by 250% in September

The hype around Terra Classic’s staking service and new token-burning feature is helping fuel the LUNC rally.

Terra Classic (LUNC) has outperformed all top-ranking cryptocurrencies so far in September gaining nearly 100% in the past seven days alone.

Terra Classic outperforms crypto market

The token surged more than 250% month-to-date to reach $0.000594 on Sept. 8, its best level on record. Whereas Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 4% and Ether (ETH) gained only 3.5% in the same period.

The profits in the Terra Classic market appeared despite its association with the defunct Terra (LUNA) token, a $40 billion project that collapsed in May. Terra Classic is a rebranded version of the same Terra project and thus has been the subject of skepticism from analysts and investors since its debut.

But, traders have ignored such warnings in recent weeks, with a flurry of fundamental catalysts influencing them to purchase LUNC.

Staking service

A new staking service went live on the Terra Classic chain on Aug. 27, serving as the first major cue behind the ongoing LUNC price rally. 

According to LuncStaking_Bot, users have staked more than 610 billion LUNC with Terra Classic against its net supply of 6.9 trillion units. In other words, nearly 9% of the total LUNC supply has been removed from circulation.

Data from StakingRewards show that staking Terra Classic is returning users with an annualized yield of 37.8%, among the highest payout in the crypto industry.

The higher returns could have played a key role in boosting LUNC demand, prompting the token’s price to rise by more than 450% since the staking service launch, as shown in the chart below.

LUNC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

LUNC token burn

In addition to staking, Terra Classic developers have also introduced a token-burning mechanism to boost LUNC’s scarcity.

Terra Classic’s community member Edward Kim proposed to impose a 1.2% transaction tax on LUNC on-chain transactions at the beginning of September. The proceedings made from this tax would eventually end up in a dead address, thereby permanently removing a portion of LUNC’s supply from circulation.

Interestingly, there’s already a LUNC burning mechanism in place that has permanently removed over 3.6 billion tokens out of circulation, according to LUNC Burner.

Massive crash risk ahead

Nonetheless, certain technical indicators show that LUNC’s price rally is at risk of correcting in the near term. These include its daily relative strength index (RSI), which crossed 90 on Sept. 8, an extremely overbought level that’s typically followed by a price correction. 

LUNC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Also, the recent LUNC gains are accompanied by lower volumes, suggesting traders are unconvinced about the price rally’s longevity.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.