Ripple

Price analysis 7/1: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE, DOT, LEO, SHIB

Traders expect Bitcoin to swoop below its swing low before the price flattens out and altcoins begin to recover.

Bitcoin dropped 56.2% in the second quarter of 2022, according to crypto analytics platform Coinglass. That makes it Bitcoin’s worst quarter since the third quarter of 2011 when BTC price fell by 67%. A large part of the damage was done in the month of June when Bitcoin plunged 37%, the worst monthly drawdown since September 2011.

It is not all gloom and doom for crypto investors. On June 29, JPMorgan strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou said that the “Net Leverage metric” suggests that crypto’s deleveraging may be on its last legs. The eagerness of crypto companies with stronger balance sheets to bail out crypto firms in distress is also a positive sign.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Another positive view on Bitcoin came from Deutsche Bank analysts. In a recent report, the strategists said that the S&P 500 could recover lost ground and rally to the levels seen in January. This could benefit Bitcoin due to its close correlation with the S&P 500.

Could the downtrend resume or will lower levels attract buyers? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin plummeted below the immediate support at $19,637 on June 30 but the long tail on the candlestick indicates strong buying at lower levels. The bulls tried to build upon the momentum on July 1 and push the price toward the overhead resistance at $22,000 but the long wick on the candlestick shows that bears are active at higher levels.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price sustains below $19,637, the likelihood of a retest of the critical support at $17,622 increases. The downsloping moving averages and the relative strength index in the oversold zone indicate that bears are in control.

A break and close below $17,622 could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The next support is at $15,000.

This negative view could invalidate in the short term if the price rises above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($21,907). Such a move could clear the path for a possible rally to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($26,361).

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) dipped below the immediate support of $1,050 on June 30 but the bulls purchased the dip. The buyers tried to extend the recovery on July 1 but the long wick on the candlestick shows that bears are selling on minor rallies.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to pull the price below the psychological level of $1,000. If they succeed, the selling could pick up momentum and the ETH/USDT pair could drop to the important support at $881. If this level gives way, the pair could resume the downtrend. The next support is at $681.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off the current level or $1,000, the bulls will attempt to push the pair above the 20-day EMA. If they can pull it off, it will suggest that bears may be losing their grip. The bullish momentum could pick up on a break above $1,280.

BNB/USDT

BNB dipped below the strong support at $211 on June 30 but the lower levels attracted strong buying as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buyers tried to extend the recovery on July 1 but the long wick on the candlestick shows that bears are defending the 20-day EMA ($234) aggressively. The downsloping 20-day EMA and the RSI in the negative territory indicate advantage to sellers.

If the price sustains below $211, the BNB/USDT pair could retest the crucial support at $183. If this support cracks, the downtrend could resume. The next support is at $150.

This negative view could invalidate in the short term if the price turns up and breaks above the 20-day EMA. That could clear the path for a possible rally to the 50-day SMA ($271).

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) attempted a recovery on June 30 but the bulls could not push the price above the overhead resistance at $0.35. This suggests that bears are not willing to let go of their advantage.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The XRP/USDT pair could drop to the strong support at $0.28 where the bulls are likely to mount a strong defense. If the price rebounds off $0.28, it will suggest that bulls continue to buy at lower levels. The bulls will then make one more attempt to push the price above the 50-day SMA ($0.37).

Conversely, if bears sink the price below $0.28, the next leg of the downtrend could begin. The pair could then decline to $0.23.

ADA/USDT

Cardano (ADA) bounced off $0.44 on June 30 but the bulls could not clear the 20-day EMA ($0.49) on July 1. This suggests that bears continue to defend the moving averages with vigor.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping 20-day EMA and the RSI in the negative zone indicate that the path of least resistance is to the downside. If the price slips below $0.44, the ADA/USDT pair could drop to the critical support of $0.40.

The bulls are expected to defend this level with all their might because if the support cracks, the pair could resume its downtrend. The next support is at $0.33.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off $0.44 or $0.40, the buyers will again try to clear the overhead resistance at the moving averages. If they succeed, the pair could start a relief rally toward $0.70.

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) dipped below the immediate support at $33 on June 30 but the long tail on the candlestick shows strong buying at lower levels. The buyers tried to push the price above the 20-day EMA ($36) on July 1 but the bears did not relent.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The sellers will try to gain the upper hand by pulling the price below $30. If they manage to do that, the SOL/USDT pair could drop to $27 and later to the crucial support at $25.86. A break and close below this level could signal the resumption of the downtrend.

Another possibility is that the price rebounds off $30. That will indicate accumulation at lower levels. The bulls will then try to clear the overhead hurdle at the moving averages and push the price to $50.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) is witnessing a tough battle between the bulls and the bears near the 20-day EMA ($0.07). The RSI is just below the midpoint and the 20-day EMA has flattened out, indicating a minor advantage to sellers.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price slips below $0.06, it will suggest that bears are back in the driver’s seat. The sellers will then attempt to sink the DOGE/USDT pair below the important support at $0.05 and resume the downtrend. The next support is at $0.04.

On the contrary, if the price rises from the current level, the buyers will again attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at the 50-day SMA ($0.08). If they succeed, it will suggest that the bears may be losing their grip. The pair could then rally to the strong overhead resistance at $0.10.

Related: What bear market? This token is quietly making new highs, up 300% against Bitcoin in 2022

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) broke and closed below the strong support at $7.30 on June 29. The buyers tried to push the price back above the level on June 30 but failed. This suggests that bears are selling on every minor rally.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($7.74) has started to turn down and the RSI is in the negative territory, indicating that bears are in command. If the price breaks below $6.36, the DOT/USDT pair could start the next leg of the downtrend. The next support is at $5.00.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off the current level, the bulls will again attempt to clear the overhead resistance at the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the pair could rally to the 50-day SMA ($8.89).

LEO/USD

UNUS SED LEO (LEO) turned down on June 30 but the bulls did not allow the price to slip back into the descending channel. This indicates that buyers are trying to flip the resistance line into support.

LEO/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

The breakout from the channel indicates the start of a new up-move. The buyers pushed the price to $6.50 on July 1 but the long wick on the candlestick shows that bears are selling on rallies. If bulls sustain the price above $6.00, the LEO/USD pair may again rise to $6.50. If this level is cleared, the rally could extend to the pattern target of $6.90.

To invalidate this bullish view, the bears will have to pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($5.63). If that happens, the pair may drop to the 50-day SMA ($5.27).

SHIB/USDT

Shiba Inu (SHIB) closed below $0.000010 on June 28 but the bears could sustain the lower levels. The bulls bought the dip but are struggling to push the price above the 50-day SMA ($0.000010)

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages have flattened out and the RSI is just below the midpoint. This suggests a status of equilibrium between the buyers and sellers. If the price breaks below $0.000009, it will suggest an advantage to bears. The SHIB/USDT pair could then decline to the crucial support of $0.000007.

Alternatively, if bulls drive the price above the 50-day SMA, the pair could rise to $0.000012. This level may again act as a resistance but if crossed, the rally may reach $0.000014.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Price analysis 6/29: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE, DOT, SHIB, LEO

Bitcoin and altcoins gave up the gains of last week’s relief rally and June 29’s dip below $20,000 suggests bears are intent on pushing the market back to its yearly lows.

The United States equities markets have given back some of the gains made last week and that has pulled Bitcoin to the psychological support at $20,000. This suggests that investors are nervous to buy risky assets at higher levels.

Meanwhile, while speaking to the hosts of the Bankless podcast on June 23, Mark Cuban said that the crypto bear market could end after the price gets so cheap that investors go and start buying or an application with utility is launched that attracts users.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Several analysts expect Bitcoin to continue falling and eventually bottom out between $10,000 and $12,000. However, John Bollinger, the creator of the popular Bollinger Bands trading indicator, said that the monthly charts suggest that Bitcoin’s price has reached “a logical place to put in a bottom.”

Could bears maintain the selling pressure and pull cryptocurrency prices lower? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin turned down from $22,000 on June 26 and has gradually slipped to the immediate support at $19,637. This suggests that the bears remain in command and every rally is being sold into.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price breaks below $19,637, the BTC/USDT pair could be at risk of dropping to the crucial support at $17,622. This is an important level to watch out for because a break and close below it could start the next leg of the downtrend. The pair could then decline to $15,000.

On the other hand, if the price rebounds off $19,637, it will suggest demand at lower levels. The buyers will then try to push the price above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($22,393). If they succeed, the pair could rally to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($26,735).

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) turned down from the 20-day EMA ($1,268) on June 26, suggesting that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping moving averages and the RSI in the negative zone indicate that bears are in control. The sellers will attempt to pull the price below the immediate support at $1,050. If they succeed, the ETH/USDT pair could plunge to the June 18 intraday low of $881.

A break below this support could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The next support on the downside is at $681.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off $1,050, it will suggest demand at lower levels. The buyers will then make another attempt to push the price above the 20-day EMA and start the journey toward $1,500 and later $1,700.

BNB/USDT

The buyers failed to push and sustain BNB above the 20-day EMA ($238) between June 24 to 28. This resulted in profit-booking, which has pulled the price to the strong support of $211.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA has started to turn down once again and the RSI has dipped into the negative territory. This suggests that bears have the upper hand. If the price slides below $211, the BNB/USDT pair could drop to the critical support of $183. If this support collapses, the pair could resume its downtrend and plummet toward $150.

Conversely, if the price rebounds off $211, it will suggest that bulls are attempting to form a higher low. A strong bounce could increase the prospects of a break above $250. The pair could then rally to the 50-day SMA ($273).

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) slipped below the breakout level of $0.35 on June 28, which suggests that bears continue to sell aggressively at higher levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($0.35) is flattish but the RSI has dropped below 40, suggesting that the bears have a slight edge. The sellers will attempt to pull the price to the vital support at $0.28. This is an important level to keep an eye on because if it gives way, the XRP/USDT pair could start the next leg of the downtrend.

On the contrary, if the price turns up from the current level or $0.28, it will suggest that bulls are buying at lower levels. That could keep the pair range-bound between $0.28 and the 50-day SMA ($0.38) for a few days.

ADA/USDT

The bears thwarted repeated attempts by the bulls to push Cardano (ADA) above the 20-day EMA ($0.50) in the past few days. This suggests that the bears are defending the level aggressively.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price could drop to the strong support zone at $0.44 to $0.40. If the price rebounds off this zone with strength, it will suggest that bulls are accumulating on dips. The buyers will then again try to propel the price above the moving averages. If they can pull it off, the ADA/USDT pair could start an up-move toward $0.70.

This positive view could invalidate in the short term if bears sink the pair below the support zone. If that happens, the pair could indicate the resumption of the downtrend. The next support is at $0.33.

SOL/USDT

The tight range trading in Solana (SOL) resolved to the downside with a break below the 20-day EMA ($37). The bears are attempting to pull the price below the immediate support at $33.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they succeed, the SOL/USDT pair could decline to $27 and then retest the June 14 intraday low of $25.86.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off $33, it will suggest that the bulls are attempting to form a higher low. The buyers will then try to clear the overhead hurdle at $43. If that happens, the pair could signal a potential change in trend. The pair may then rise to $60 where the bears may again mount a strong defense.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) turned down from the 50-day SMA ($0.08) on June 27 and broke below the 20-day EMA ($0.07) on June 28. This suggests that bears have not given up and they continue to sell on rallies.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to sink the price to $0.06. If this level cracks, the next stop could be a retest of the critical level at $0.05.

Alternatively, if the price turns up from the current level or the support at $0.06 and rises back above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bulls are attempting to form a higher low. The bullish momentum could pick up on a break above $0.08. The DOGE/USDT pair could then attempt a rally to the psychological level of $0.10.

Related: Double bubble? Terra’s defunct ‘unstablecoin’ suddenly climbs 800% in one week

DOT/USDT

Repeated failures to push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($7.93) may have tempted short-term traders to book profits in Polkadot (DOT). The price turned down from the 20-day EMA and slipped to $7.30 on June 28.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both the bulls and the bears are battling it out for supremacy near the $7.30 level. If the bears come out on top, the DOT/USDT pair could drop to the crucial level of $6.36. The bulls are expected to defend this level aggressively because a break below it could signal the resumption of the downtrend.

Conversely, if the price rebounds off the current level, the buyers will again try to achieve a close above the 20-day EMA. If they manage to do that, the pair could rise to the 50-day SMA ($8.97).

SHIB/USDT

Shiba Inu (SHIB) slipped back below the 50-day SMA ($0.000011) on June 28, suggesting that the bears are active at higher levels. Although the price dipped below $0.000010, the bears have not been able to build upon this advantage.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This suggests that selling dries up at lower levels. The bulls will again try to push the price above the 50-day SMA and challenge the resistance at $0.000012. A break and close above this level could open the doors for a possible rally to $0.000014.

The 20-day EMA ($0.000010) has flattened out and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. If the price slips below $0.000009, the advantage could tilt in favor of the sellers. The pair may then drop to $0.000007.

LEO/USD

UNUS SED LEO (LEO) broke and closed above the resistance line of the descending channel on June 25 but the bulls could not push the price above $6. That may have attracted profit-booking from short-term traders, which pulled the price back into the channel on June 27.

LEO/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($5.57) is sloping up and the RSI is in the positive territory, suggesting that bulls have the upper hand. The buyers are again attempting to clear the overhead hurdle at $6. If they succeed, the LEO/USD pair could rally to $6.50 and then to the pattern target at $6.90.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price once again turns down from $6, it will suggest that bears are defending this level with vigor. The sellers will then attempt to sink the price below the 20-day EMA and challenge the 50-day SMA ($5.24).

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Price analysis 6/15: BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, XRP, SOL, DOGE, DOT, LEO, SHIB

BTC and select altcoins notched small gains after the Federal Reserve rolled out a 75 basis point rate hike, but technical analysis suggests that further downside is the most realistic outcome.

Bitcoin (BTC) plummeted close to the crucial support of $20,000 as traders panicked and dumped their holdings, fearing an aggressive rate hike by the United States Federal Reserve on June 15. Another reason for the sell-off could be fears of possible contagion if lending platform Celsius and crypto venture capital firm Three Arrows Capital (3AC) go belly up.

Data from on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant showed 24-hour exchange inflows of 59,376 Bitcoin on June 14, the highest inflows since November 30, 2018. The Bitcoin miners also joined other investors in sending Bitcoin to the exchanges. The Bitcoin Miners to Exchange flow metric reached a seven-month high of 9,476, indicating that the miners may be anticipating a further fall in the near term.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Prominent investors are divided on whether a bottom has been made in Bitcoin or not. Galaxy Digital Holdings chairman and CEO Mike Novogratz believes that Bitcoin could hold $20,000 and Ether (ETH) may bottom out at $1,000. These levels were also referred to by Arthur Hayes, co-founder and former chief of BitMEX, who cautioned that if the levels crack, it may lead to “massive sell pressure in spot markets.”

What are the important levels to watch out for on Bitcoin and major altcoins? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin remains in a firm bear grip. The bulls tried to start a recovery on June 14, as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick, but the bears were in no mood to relent. They sold aggressively and pulled the price to $20,111 on June 15.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The sharp selling in the past few days has pulled the relative strength index (RSI) near 21. This suggests that a rebound is possible in the short term. The BTC/USDT pair could rise to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $24,562 and then to the 50% retracement level at $25,938. The bears are expected to mount a strong defense in this zone.

If the price turns down from this overhead zone, the bears will attempt to resume the downtrend by pulling the pair below $20,000. If they succeed, the pair could drop to the next support at $17,500 and later $16,000.

The buyers will have to push and sustain the price above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA)($27,748) to indicate a potential trend change.

ETH/USDT

Ether is in a strong downtrend. The buyers tried to stall the decline on June 14 but they could not sustain the higher levels. The bears renewed their selling on June 15 but the bulls are defending the psychological level of $1,000 with all their might.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The incessant selling of the past few days has pulled the RSI into deeply oversold territory. This suggests that the selling may have been overdone in the short term. This could result in a strong bear market rally that may pick up momentum above $1,268. The ETH/USDT pair could then rally to the 20-day EMA ($1,636).

Alternatively, if the price continues lower and breaks below $1,000, it will suggest the resumption of the downtrend. The pair could then drop to $900 where the bulls will again try to arrest the decline.

BNB/USDT

BNB is witnessing a tough battle between the bulls and the bears near the crucial level of $211. The bulls tried to start a rebound on June 14 but they could not sustain the higher levels.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears took advantage of this and pulled the price below $211 on June 15. Although the downsloping moving averages indicate an advantage to bears, the deeply oversold level on the RSI suggests a relief rally in the short term.

If bulls sustain the price above $211, the BNB/USDT pair could attempt a rally to the 20-day EMA ($275). A break and close above this resistance could suggest that the pair may remain stuck in a large range between $211 and $350 for some more days.

On the contrary, if the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA, the bears will try to resume the downtrend. The next support on the downside is at $186.

ADA/USDT

The bears tried to pull Cardano (ADA) below the support at $0.44 on June 13 and 14 but failed to sustain the lower levels. This suggests that the bulls are defending the support zone between $0.44 and $0.40 aggressively.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls will attempt to push the price above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA)($0.60). If they manage to do that, the ADA/USDT pair could rise to $0.69 and then to $0.74. The bears are likely to defend this overhead zone with vigor.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA ($0.54), it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on minor rallies.

The bears will then make one more attempt to sink the price below the support zone. If they succeed, the pair could signal the start of the next leg of the downtrend. The next support on the downside is $0.30.

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) dropped to $0.30 on June 13, which is the pattern target of the break below the descending triangle. The bears pulled the price below the support on June 14 but the bulls purchased the dip as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buyers are attempting to start a recovery that could reach the breakdown level of $0.38. If bears flip this level into resistance, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative. The sellers will then try to resume the downtrend and sink the XRP/USDT pair to the next strong support at $0.24.

On the contrary, if bulls drive and sustain the price above $0.38, it will suggest strong buying at lower levels. The buyers will then try to push the pair to the 50-day SMA ($0.45). The bears are likely to pose a strong challenge in the zone between $0.46 and $0.50.

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) is trying to sustain above the $26 level. The bulls tried to push the price back above the breakdown level of $35 on June 14 but the bears held their ground. This suggests that the bears are trying to flip the $35 level into resistance.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down and breaks below $26, it will suggest the resumption of the downtrend. The SOL/USDT pair could then decline to $22 and later to the psychological level at $20.

This bearish view could invalidate in the short term if buyers push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($38). If that happens, the aggressive bears who may have entered short positions below $35 may rush to the exit. That could result in a short squeeze and push the pair toward the overhead resistance at $60.

DOGE/USDT

The buyers are trying to sustain Dogecoin (DOGE) above the psychological level of $0.05. The deeply oversold levels on the RSI indicate that a relief rally is possible in the short term.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price rebounds off the current level, the bulls will try to push the DOGE/USDT pair to the 20-day EMA ($0.07). If the price turns down from this level, the bears will again try to resume the downtrend and sink the pair to $0.04.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price breaks above the 20-day EMA, the bullish momentum could pick up and the pair could rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.09). Such a move will suggest that the pair may have bottomed out in the near term.

Related: NEXO price drops 40% in three days on contagion fears from ‘insolvent’ crypto fund

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) has been trading near the crucial support of $7.30 for the past two days. Although bears pulled the price below $7.30, they could not sustain the lower levels. This indicates strong buying on dips.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If buyers sustain the price above $7.30, the DOT/USDT pair could rise to the 20-day EMA ($8.80). This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break and close above it will suggest that the pair may consolidate between $6.36 and $12.44 for some time.

Conversely, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears are active at higher levels. A break and close below $6.36 could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The pair could then decline to $5 and later to $4.23.

LEO/USD

UNUS SED LEO (LEO) dipped below the moving averages on June 13 but the long tail on the day’s candlestick shows aggressive buying at lower levels. That was followed by an inside-day candlestick pattern on June 14, indicating indecision among the buyers and sellers.

LEO/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls tried to push the price toward the resistance line of the descending channel on June 15 but the bears had other plans. They have pulled the price back below the moving averages, increasing the possibility of a drop to the support line of the channel.

If the price rebounds off the support line with strength, it will indicate that the LEO/USD pair may extend its stay inside the channel for a few more days. The next trending move could begin if bears sink the pair below the channel or bulls thrust the price above the resistance line.

SHIB/USDT

The bulls are attempting to defend the $0.000007 level aggressively. Shiba Inu (SHIB) formed a Doji candlestick pattern on June 14, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the uncertainty resolves to the upside and bulls push the price above $0.000009, the SHIB/USDT pair could rise to the breakdown level of $0.000010. If the price turns down from this level, it will suggest that the trend remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The bears will then attempt to resume the downtrend and sink the pair to $0.000006.

Alternatively, if bulls drive the price above the downtrend line, it could open the doors for a possible rally to $0.000014. Such a move could suggest that the pair may have bottomed out.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Price analysis 6/13: BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, XRP, SOL, DOGE, DOT, LEO, AVAX

Bitcoin and altcoins are seeing heavy selling as June 13’s massive unwinding could be the final capitulation-level event before the market finally hits a bottom.

The United States equities markets extended their decline to start the week on June 13. The S&P 500 hit a new year-to-date low and dipped into bear market territory, falling more than 20% from its all-time high made on Jan. 4. 

The cryptocurrency markets are tracking the equities markets lower and the selling pressure further intensified due to the rumored liquidity crisis of major lending platform Celsius and traders possibly selling positions to meet margin calls. This pulled the total crypto market capitalization below $1 trillion.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

The sharp declines have led some analysts to project extremely bearish targets. While anything is possible in the markets and it is difficult to call a bottom, capitulations usually tend to start a bottoming formation. Traders may get their buy list ready and consider accumulating in phases after the price stops falling.

What are the important levels that may arrest the decline in Bitcoin (BTC) and major altcoins? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin broke below the immediate support at $28,630 on June 11. This accelerated selling and the bears pulled the price below the critical support at $26,700 on June 12. This indicated the resumption of the downtrend.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears maintained their selling pressure on June 13 and sent the BTC/USDT pair tumbling to an intraday low of $22,600. The sharp fall of the past few days has pulled the relative strength index (RSI) into the oversold zone. This suggests that a relief rally or consolidation is likely in the next few days.

Any recovery is likely to face selling in the zone between $26,700 and $28,630. If bears flip this zone into resistance, it will suggest that sentiment remains negative. Traders could then make one more attempt to resume the downtrend. A break below $22,600 could sink the pair to the psychological level at $20,000.

The bulls will have to push and sustain the price above $28,630 to suggest that the bears may be losing their grip.

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) plummeted below the vital support of $1,700 on June 10, indicating that bears are in control. This signaled the start of the next leg of the downtrend.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The selling picked up momentum on June 11 and bears have pulled the price below the strong support at $1,300. This suggests that traders are gripped with fear and are dumping their positions.

The aggressive selling of the past three days has pulled the RSI below 22. Historically, the ETH/USDT pair starts a relief rally when the RSI falls close to 21. This suggests that the pair could attempt a rally to the breakdown level of $1,700.

Alternatively, if bears sustain their selling pressure, the pair could drop to psychological support at $1,000.

BNB/USDT

The failure of the bulls to push BNB back into the triangle may have attracted strong selling by the bears on June 11. The selling picked up momentum and the price has dropped near the strong support at $211.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price rebounds off $211, it will suggest accumulation at lower levels. The buyers will then make an attempt to push the price above the 20-day exponential moving average ($289). If they succeed, it will indicate that the BNB/USDT pair may remain range-bound between $211 and $350 for a few days.

Conversely, if bears sink the price below $211, it will signal the start of the next leg of the downtrend. The psychological level of $200 may offer a minor support but if the level gives way, the next support could be at $186.

ADA/USDT

Cardano (ADA) broke below the 20-day EMA ($0.56) on June 10 and attempts by the bulls to push the price back above the level on June 11 met with strong selling at higher levels.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears have pulled the price to the strong support zone between $0.44 and $0.40. This zone is likely to attract strong buying by the bulls because a break below it could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The ADA/USDT pair could then start its southward journey toward the next major support at $0.30.

Alternatively, if the price rises from the current level, the bulls will attempt to push the pair above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA($0.61). If that happens, the pair may consolidate between $0.74 and $0.40 for a few days.

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) broke and closed below the support at $0.38 on June 11. This completed a bearish descending triangle pattern, signaling that sellers have the upper hand.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The selling picked up momentum and bears pulled the price below the crucial support at $0.33 on June 13. This indicates the start of the next leg of the downtrend. The short-term bears may book profits near the pattern target of $0.30.

If they do that, the XRP/USDT pair could start a relief rally that may reach the breakdown level of $0.33 and then $0.38. Alternatively, if bears sink the price below $0.30, the pair could drop to the next strong support at $0.24.

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) had been stuck between the 20-day EMA ($40) and $35 for a few days. This uncertainty resolved to the downside on June 11 as bears pulled the price below the support.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This accelerated the selling and the bears pulled the price below the immediate support at $30. The next support on the downside is $22 and later $20.

The sharp selling of the past few days has sent the RSI into the oversold territory. This suggests a relief rally or consolidation is likely in the near term. The bulls will attempt to push the price above the breakdown level of $35 and the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, it will suggest that the current breakdown may have been a bear trap.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin’s (DOGE) tight range trading expanded to the downside on June 10. The bears pulled the price below the May 12 intraday low of $0.07 on June 11, indicating the resumption of the downtrend.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The selling further picked up momentum and the bears pulled the DOGE/USDT pair to the psychological support of $0.05. This level could act as a short-term support because the deeply oversold levels on the RSI suggest a relief rally is possible.

On the upside, the bears will attempt to stall the recovery at the breakdown level of $0.07. If the price turns down from this resistance, the bears will attempt to resume the downtrend and sink the pair to $0.04. The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the 20-day EMA ($0.08).

Related: How to survive in a bear market? Tips for beginners

DOT/USDT

The failure of the bulls to push Polkadot (DOT) back into the symmetrical triangle attracted aggressive selling by the bears on June 10. That started a downward move that pulled the price below the critical support of $7.30.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are attempting to push the price back above the breakdown level of $7.30. If they manage to do that, it will suggest that the break below $7.30 may have been a bear trap. The DOT/USDT pair could then rise to the 20-day EMA ($9.17).

Alternatively, if the price fails to rise above $7.30, it will suggest that the bears have flipped the level into resistance. That could resume the downtrend with the next stop being the psychological level of $5 and then the pattern target of $4.23.

LEO/USD

UNUS SED LEO (LEO) has been trading inside a descending channel for the past several weeks. The bears are posing a challenge near $5.60 but are finding it difficult to pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($5.24).

LEO/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price bounces off the current level and rises above $5.60, the LEO/USD pair could gradually move up to the resistance line of the channel. The bears are likely to defend this level aggressively.

If the price turns down from the resistance line, the bears will attempt to sink the pair below the 20-day EMA. If that happens, the pair may gradually dip toward the support line. Such a move will suggest that the pair may extend its stay inside the channel for some more time.

The next trending move could begin after the bulls push the price above the resistance line or bears sink the pair below the support line.

AVAX/USDT

Avalanche’s (AVAX) tight range trading between the 20-day EMA ($24) and the critical support of $21 resolved to the downside on June 11. This indicated the resumption of the downtrend.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The selling picked up momentum and sliced through the support at $18 on June 12. There is a minor support at $15 but if this level breaks down, the AVAX/USDT pair could plummet to the next strong support of $13.

Although the downsloping moving averages indicate advantage to sellers, the oversold levels on the RSI suggest that the selling may have been overdone in the near term. That could result in a relief rally to the breakdown level of $21. The bulls will have to push the price above the 20-day EMA to indicate that the bears may be losing their grip.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Price analysis 6/10: BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, XRP, SOL, DOGE, DOT, AVAX, SHIB

BTC and altcoins are on the verge of falling below critical support levels, and June 10’s higher-than-expected CPI report isn’t helping.

The United States equities markets tumbled on June 10 after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed inflation soaring 8.6% from a year ago, the highest increase since 1981. The latest figures show that talks of inflation having peaked were premature and according to Bloomberg, investors are pricing in the key interest rate of 3% by the end of the year.

Continuing its tight correlation with the S&P 500, Bitcoin (BTC) dipped below $30,000 on June 10. Analysts are still divided about the near-term price action but Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee said in an interview with CNBC that Bitcoin may have already bottomed. However, Lee seems to have toned down his expectations as he said that Bitcoin could “remain flat for the year, possibly up.”

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Among the constant flow of negative news, there was a ray of hope from news that Bloomberg expanded coverage of cryptocurrency data on its Bloomberg Terminal to 50 crypto assets. Bloomberg cryptocurrency product manager Alex Wenham, gave positive vibes as he said that institutional interest in digital assets continues to grow.

Now that Bitcoin is trading near swing lows again, is a capitulation-level crisis a threat? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

The bulls tried to push the price above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($30,365) on June 9 but the bears did not relent. The selling continued on June 10 and the bears have pulled the price below the trendline of the ascending triangle.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA has started to turn down gradually and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the negative territory, indicating advantage to sellers.

If the price sustains below the trendline, it will invalidate the bullish setup. That could pull the BTC/USDT pair down to $28,630, which may act as strong support but if this level cracks, the decline could extend to $26,700.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off $28,630 and rises above the 20-day EMA, the up-move could reach $32,659.

ETH/USDT

Strong selling on June 10 has pulled Ether (ETH) below the critical support at $1,700. If the price sustains below this support, the pair could resume its downtrend.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The ETH/USDT pair could first decline to $1,500 and if this level also gives way, the next stop could be the vital support at $1,300. The bulls are expected to defend this level with all their might.

Contrary to this assumption, if bears fail to sustain the price below $1,700, it will suggest accumulation at lower levels. The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the 20-day EMA. That could open the doors for a possible rally to $2,159.

The indicators are giving a mixed signal because the downsloping moving averages favor the sellers but the positive divergence on the RSI suggests that a relief rally may be around the corner.

BNB/USDT

BNB has been trading below the support line of the symmetrical triangle for the past three days but the bears have not been able to build upon the breakdown. This suggests that selling dries up at lower levels.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buyers will try to push the price back into the triangle. If that happens, the aggressive bears who may have gone short on the break below the support line may get trapped. That could result in a short-covering, which could push the price above the resistance line of the triangle. Such a move will suggest that the bears may be losing their grip.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price continues lower from the current level and plummets below $273, it will increase the possibility of a break below the critical support of $260. The pair could then start a decline toward the vital support of $211.

ADA/USDT

The bulls pushed Cardano (ADA) above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($0.64) on June 8 and 9 but could not sustain the higher levels. That may have tempted short-term traders to book profits.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are attempting to sustain the price below the 20-day EMA ($0.58). If they manage to do that, the ADA/USDT pair could plummet to the next support at $0.53. If this level also gives way, the decline could extend to $0.44.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off the current level, it will suggest that the sentiment has turned positive and the bulls are buying on dips. The bulls will then make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at the 50-day SMA. If they succeed, the pair could rally to the breakdown level of $0.74, which may again act as a resistance.

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) had been trading close to the downtrend line for the past two days. The failure to push the price above the overhead resistance may have attracted profit-booking from the short-term traders.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The XRP/USDT pair has dipped to the strong support of $0.38 where the buyers may attempt to stall the decline. If the price rebounds off the support and rises above the downtrend line, the pair could rally to $0.46.

On the contrary, if bears sink and sustain the price below $0.38, it will complete a bearish descending triangle pattern. That could intensify the selling and pull the price down to $0.33. A break below this support could signal the resumption of the downtrend.

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) is trading between the 20-day EMA ($44) and $37 for the past few days. The buyers tried to push the price above the 20-day EMA on June 9 but the bears held their ground.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The positive divergence on the RSI indicates a minor advantage to buyers while the downsloping moving averages suggest that bears have the upper hand. This uncertainty is unlikely to continue for long. If bears sink the price below $35, the SOL/USDT pair may resume the downtrend The next stop on the downside could be $30.

Contrary to this assumption, if bulls propel the price above the 20-day EMA, the pair could rally to $50 and then to the overhead resistance at $60.

DOGE/USDT

The bulls struggled to sustain Dogecoin (DOGE) above $0.08 on June 8 and 9. This may have attracted further selling and the support collapsed on June 10.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to build upon their advantage and attempt to sink the price to the vital support of $0.07. A break and close below this level could signal the start of the next leg of the downtrend.

This negative view could invalidate in the short term if the price turns up and breaks above the 20-day EMA ($0.08). That could attract buying from the aggressive bulls, which could push the DOGE/USDT pair to $0.10.

Related: Ethereum eyes fresh yearly lows vs. Bitcoin as bulls snub successful ‘Merge’ rehearsal

DOT/USDT

The bulls tried to push Polkadot (DOT) back into the symmetrical triangle on June 9 but the bears defended the level aggressively. This suggests that the bears have flipped the support line into resistance.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will attempt to sink the price below the immediate support of $8.56. If they succeed, the DOT/USDT pair could drop to the critical level at $7.30. The bears will have to pull the price below this support to indicate the resumption of the downtrend.

This bearish view could invalidate if the price rebounds off $8.56 and rises above the resistance line. If that happens, the pair could attract buyers who may then attempt to push the price to $11 and later to $12.50.

AVAX/USDT

Avalanche (AVAX) formed a Doji candlestick pattern for the past two days indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears. This uncertainty resolved to the downside on June 10 and bears are trying to pull the price to the strong support at $21.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price is stuck between the 20-day EMA ($27) and $21. This tight-range trading is likely to resolve with a range expansion in the next few days. Although the positive divergence on the RSI indicates a minor advantage to buyers, the downsloping moving averages suggest that bears have the upper hand.

If the range expands to the downside and the price drops below $21, it will suggest the resumption of the downtrend. The AVAX/USDT pair could then decline to $18. Alternatively, if the price explodes above the 20-day EMA, it may clear the path for a possible rally to $33 and then $37.

SHIB/USDT

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has been trading close to the strong support at $0.000010 since June 7. Although bulls have defended the support, they have failed to achieve a strong rebound.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This increases the possibility of a break below the strong support at $0.000010. If that happens, the SHIB/USDT pair will complete a bearish descending triangle pattern. The pair could then decline to the May 12 intraday low of $0.000009. If this support also cracks, the next stop could be $0.000006.

To invalidate this bearish view, the buyers will have to push the price above the downtrend line. That could clear the path for a possible rally to $0.000014.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Price analysis 6/8: BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, XRP, SOL, DOGE, DOT, AVAX, SHIB

Bitcoin and altcoins are losing bullish momentum and persistent selling at overhead resistance suggests that the current consolidation is far from over.

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade in a range with the local tops and bottoms coinciding with increased whale activity in the region, according to on-chain analytics resource Whalemap.

The range-bound action in Bitcoin has kept the analysts guessing and a few expect the consolidation to continue for some more time, while others anticipate another leg lower.

A June 6 Glassnode report said that the aggregated realized losses from long-term holders reflected more than 0.006% of the market capitalization on May 29. This is in comparison to the peak of 0.015% of the market capitalization reached during the 2018 to 2019 bear market.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Along with the quantum of losses, investors may also have to be prepared for a longer duration of subdued prices. The duration of the current loss for long-term investors is only one month old, while the previous losses remained roughly for a year.

Could the lackluster trading action in Bitcoin and other major altcoins continue? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin plunged below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($30,565) on June 7 but a positive sign is that the bulls aggressively purchased the dip to the trendline of the ascending triangle pattern. This resulted in a strong recovery as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick. The ascending triangle pattern remains intact favoring the buyers.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, a minor negative is that the bulls could not build upon the momentum on June 8. This gave an opportunity to the bears who have again pulled the price back below the 20-day EMA. This suggests that bears continue to sell in the zone between the 20-day EMA and $32,659.

If bears sink the price below the trendline, the BTC/USDT pair could drop to $28,630 where buying may emerge. If that happens, it will suggest that the pair may remain range-bound between $32,659 and $28,630 for a few more days.

The next directional move is likely to begin on a break above $32,659 or below $28,630. Until then, volatile range-bound action is likely to continue.

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) turned down from the 20-day EMA ($1,908) on June 6, indicating that bears are not willing to cede ground to the bulls. The sellers then tried to sink the price below the critical support of $1,700 on June 7 but the long tail on the candlestick shows aggressive buying by the bulls near the support.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price is currently coiling between the downsloping 20-day EMA and $1,700. This is likely to result in a range expansion that could set the stage for the next directional move.

If buyers drive the price above the 20-day EMA, the ETH/USDT pair could rally to $2,159. The bears may again mount a strong defense at this level. If the price turns down from it, the pair may spend some time inside the $2,159 to $1,700 range.

A break above $2,159 will be the first sign that the pair may have bottomed out while a break below $1,700 could signal the resumption of the downtrend.

BNB/USDT

BNB turned down from the resistance line of the symmetrical triangle pattern on June 6 and plunged below the support line. This suggests that the bears continue to sell aggressively at higher levels.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears pulled the price below the immediate support at $286 on June 7 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows strong buying at lower levels. The bulls are attempting to push the price back above the support line on June 8.

If they manage to do that, the BNB/USDT pair could try to rise above the resistance line and trap the aggressive bears. Conversely, if the price turns down from the current level, it will suggest that the bears have flipped the support line into resistance. That could increase the possibility of a drop to $265.

ADA/USDT

The long wick on Cardano’s (ADA) June 6 and 7 candlestick shows that bears are selling the rallies to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($0.65). Although bears tried to pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($0.58) on June 7, the bulls held their ground.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buyers are again attempting to push the price above the 50-day SMA. If they succeed, the ADA/USDT pair could rally to the breakdown level of $0.74. This is an important level for the bears to defend because a break and close above it could suggest a potential change in trend. The pair could then rally toward the psychological level of $1.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the 50-day SMA or $0.74, the bears will attempt to pull the pair below the 20-day EMA and gain the upper hand.

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) formed an outside-day candlestick pattern on June 7, with the price rebounding off the strong support at $0.38 and closing near the overhead resistance at the downtrend line.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, buyers could not build upon this move and push the price above the downtrend line on June 8. This suggests that bears continue to sell near resistance levels. The bears will again attempt to sink the price below $0.38.

If they succeed, the XRP/USDT pair will complete a descending triangle pattern. That could result in a decline to the May 12 intraday low of $0.33. If this support cracks, the next stop could be the pattern target of $0.30.

This negative view could be invalidated in the short term if bulls propel the price above the 20-day EMA. The pair could then rally to $0.46.

SOL/USDT

Solana’s (SOL) attempt to start a recovery met with stiff resistance at the 20-day EMA ($45), which suggests that the trend remains negative and traders are selling on rallies.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to pull the price below the crucial support zone between $37 and $35. If they manage to do that, the SOL/USDT pair could resume its downtrend. The pair could then decline to $30.

On the contrary, if the price rebounds off the support zone, it will suggest that bulls are accumulating at lower levels. A break above the 20-day EMA will be the first sign that the selling pressure may be reducing. The pair could then rise to $50 and later to $60.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) once again turned down from the 20-day EMA ($0.08) on June 6, indicating that bears are selling on rallies. A minor positive is that the bulls purchased the dip on June 7, indicating buying at lower levels.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The DOGE/USDT pair has been stuck in a tight range between the 20-day EMA and $0.07, indicating uncertainty among the bulls and the bears. Usually, tight ranges resolve with an expansion but it is difficult to predict the direction of the breakout.

If the price rises above the 20-day EMA, buyers who may be waiting on the sidelines could enter and push the pair toward the psychological level of $0.10. On the contrary, if the price slips below $0.07, the pair may resume the downtrend.

Related: Ethereum ‘double Doji’ pattern hints at a 50% ETH price rally by September

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) attempted to rise above the 20-day EMA ($10) on June 6 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows strong selling by the bears.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The DOT/USDT pair dipped below the support line on June 7, indicating that the symmetrical triangle resolved in favor of the sellers. The pair could next drop to the strong support at $8.50 where the buyers will try to stall the decline.

This negative view could invalidate in the short term if the price turns up from the current level and rises above the resistance line of the triangle. Such a move will suggest that the break below the support line may have been a bear trap. The pair could then rise to the 50-day SMA ($12.35).

AVAX/USDT

The buyers tried to push Avalanche (AVAX) above the 20-day EMA ($28) on June 6 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows that the bears are defending the level aggressively.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price is getting squeezed between the 20-day EMA and the strong support at $21 but this tight range trading is unlikely to continue for long.

If bulls drive the AVAX/USDT pair above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest the start of a recovery that may reach $37. The positive divergence on the relative strength index (RSI) also supports a relief rally in the near term.

Alternatively, if the range expands to the downside and the price plummets below $21, the pair could resume its downtrend and drop to $18.

SHIB/USDT

The bears tried to sink Shiba Inu (SHIB) below the strong support of $0.000010 on June 7 but the bulls successfully defended the level as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The longer the price trades below the 20-day EMA ($0.000012), the greater the possibility of a break below $0.000010. If that happens, the SHIB/USDT pair could drop to $0.000009 where the bulls may attempt to stall the decline.

To invalidate the bearish view, the bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA. If they manage to do that, the pair could rally to $0.000014 where the bears are likely to mount a strong defense.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Price analysis 6/6: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE, DOT, AVAX, SHIB

BTC and altcoins flashed green at the weekly open, but overhead resistance levels will continue to pose a challenge in the short-term.

After nine successive weeks of red weekly candles, Bitcoin (BTC) printed a green weekly candle on June 5. Leading into this week, buyers kept up their momentum with a strong weekly open that boosted BTC price to $31,800.

Going forward, traders might keep a close eye on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May, which is due on June 10. Depending on the figures, this could keep the volatility elevated as investors digest the report and speculate on the next possible move of the United States Federal Reserve.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Analysts are divided about the next directional move for Bitcoin. While some believe a bottom has been made, others anticipate another leg down. For analyst Bob Loukas, the price action in the summer could remain uninteresting and he expects the new cycle to begin late in the year.

Could bulls sustain higher levels or will bears sell aggressively and pull the price down? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

After two small range days on June 4 and 5, the range expanded on June 6 and Bitcoin soared above the 20-day exponential moving average (E($30,510). The bulls are attempting to push the price to the overhead resistance at $32,659.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price action of the past few days has formed an ascending triangle pattern, which will complete on a break and close above $32,659. If that happens, the BTC/USDT pair could start a new up-move. The pattern target of the breakout from the triangle is $38,618.

The 20-day EMA has flattened out and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the midpoint, suggesting that the selling pressure is reducing.

This positive view could invalidate if the price turns down sharply and plunges below the trendline of the triangle. The pair could then drop to the strong support at $28,630 where the bulls may try to arrest the decline. A break and close below this support could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) bounced off $1,737 on June 3, indicating that bulls are attempting to defend the crucial support of $1,700. The buyers are attempting to push the price above the overhead resistance at the 20-day EMA ($1,930) on June 6.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they succeed, the ETH/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to $2,016. Above this level, the pair could reach the stiff overhead resistance at $2,159. The bears are likely to defend this level aggressively. If the price turns down from this resistance, the pair could consolidate between $2,159 and $1,700 for a few more days.

The long wick on the June 6 candlestick suggests that bears continue to defend the 20-day EMA. This indicates that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The bears will now try to pull the pair below $1,700 and resume the downtrend.

BNB/USDT

BNB has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears. The bulls are attempting to push the price above the resistance line but the bears are not willing to cede ground.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down from the overhead resistance, the bears will again try to pull the BNB/USDT pair below the support line. If they manage to do that, the pair could decline to $265 where buying may emerge.

Alternatively, if bulls push and sustain the price above the resistance line, it will suggest that the sellers are losing their grip. The pair could then rally to the breakdown level of $350. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break and close above it could signal that the downtrend may be over.

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) has been trading inside a bearish descending triangle pattern. The bulls are attempting to push the price above the downtrend line but the bears are posing a strong challenge as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bulls propel the price above the downtrend line, it will negate the bearish pattern. That could cause a short squeeze, pushing the XRP/USDT pair to $0.46 and later to the psychological level at $0.50.

Conversely, if the price turns down from the downtrend line, the pair could drop to the $0.38 support. If bears pull the price below $0.38, the descending triangle pattern will complete. The pair could then decline to the important support at $0.33. A break and close below this support could resume the downtrend.

ADA/USDT

Cardano (ADA) had been sustaining above the 20-day EMA ($0.56) for the past few days suggesting accumulation by the bulls. Buying picked up on June 6 and the bulls are trying to push the price above the 50-day SMA ($0.66).

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they succeed, the ADA/USDT pair could rally to the breakdown level of $0.74. This level may again act as a major hurdle but if the bulls overcome it, the recovery could pick up momentum. The pair could then rally to $0.90.

The 20-day EMA has flattened out and the RSI is just above the midpoint, suggesting a slight edge to buyers.

This bullish view could invalidate in the short term if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA. If that happens, the pair could gradually slide toward the strong support at $0.44.

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) plunged below the critical support of $37 on June 4 but a minor positive is that the bulls purchased at lower levels. This may have caught the aggressive bears off-guard, which resulted in a strong recovery as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The RSI has formed a positive divergence, indicating that the bearish momentum may be reducing. The bulls are attempting to push the price above the 20-day EMA ($46). If they succeed, the SOL/USDT pair could rally to $55 and thereafter to $60.

On the contrary, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the trend remains negative and bears are selling on rallies. The bears will then make one more attempt to resume the downtrend by pulling the pair below $35.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) is stuck between the 20-day EMA ($0.08) and $0.08 for the past few days but this tight range trading is unlikely to continue for long.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If buyers push the price above the 20-day EMA, the DOGE/USDT pair could rally toward the psychological resistance at $0.10. This level may again act as a hurdle but if bulls overcome it, the pair could rally to $0.12.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears continue to sell on minor rallies. If bears sink the price below $0.08, the pair could drop to $0.07. A break and close below this support will suggest the resumption of the downtrend.

Related: Is Cardano ready for a go at $1? June’s hard fork FOMO lifts ADA price to weekly highs

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) has formed a symmetrical triangle, which usually acts as a continuation pattern. The buyers are attempting to push the price above the 20-day EMA ($10) and challenge the resistance line of the triangle.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A break and close above the triangle will be the first indication of a potential trend change. The DOT/USDT pair could rise to $12 and then attempt a rally to the breakdown level of $14. The bears are likely to defend this level aggressively.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from the overhead resistance and breaks below the triangle, it will suggest that bears are in control. The pair could then decline to $8 and later retest the May 12 intraday low of $7.30.

AVAX/USDT

Avalanche (AVAX) bounced off $22.14 on June 4, indicating that bulls are defending the $21.35 support with vigor. The buyers have pushed the price above the downtrend line and are attempting to clear the overhead hurdle at the 20-day EMA ($28).

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they manage to do that, the AVAX/USDT pair could pick up momentum and start its northward journey toward $33 and then $37. Such a move will suggest that the bulls are back in the game.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears remain active at higher levels. The pair could then slide toward $21.35. A break and close below this support could start the next leg of the downtrend.

SHIB/USDT

The buyers have successfully defended the $0.000010 support for the past several days but they have not been able to push Shiba Inu (SHIB) above the 20-day EMA ($0.000012). This suggests that buying dries up at higher levels.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The tight range trading between $0.000010 and the 20-day EMA is unlikely to continue for long. If bears sink the price below $0.000010, the SHIB/USDT pair could retest the May 12 intraday low at $0.000009. A break and close below this level could signal the resumption of the downtrend.

Alternatively, if buyers propel the price above the 20-day EMA, the pair could rally to the overhead resistance at $0.000014. The bears are expected to mount a strong defense at this level.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Price analysis 6/1: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE, DOT, AVAX, SHIB

BTC and altcoins met resistance at a key moving average, leading traders to wonder whether the current pullback is a lower support test, or proof that bears are still in control.

Bitcoin (BTC) has made a tentative start to the month of June, suggesting that bears have not gone into hibernation just yet. Although Bitcoin is trading nearly 55% off its all-time high of $69,000, whales and institutions remain cautious and have not jumped into the market with gusto, according to BlockTrends analyst Caue Oliveira.

According to CryptoQuant contributor Venturefounder, if Bitcoin repeats the historical patterns seen after the previous halving cycles, then a bottom may be formed between $14,000 and $21,000 in the next six months. Thereafter, Bitcoin may chop around the $28,000 to $40,000 range for a large part of the next year and be around $40,000 during the halving.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Crypto’s bear market has not stopped Goldman Sachs from exploring the possibility of integrating its derivatives products into FTX.US derivatives offerings. This suggests that the investment bank expects derivatives demand to pick up in the future.

Has Bitcoin started a bottoming formation? Is the short-term downtrend in altcoins over? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin reached the overhead resistance at $32,659 on May 31 but the bulls could not clear this hurdle. The Doji candlestick pattern on May 31 indicates uncertainty among the buyers and sellers.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This uncertainty resolved in favor of the bears on June 1 and they pulled the price below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($30,741). If the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the next stop could be $28,630. The buyers are expected to defend this level with all their might.

If the price rebounds off $28,600, the BTC/USDT pair could again attempt a rally to $32,659. If that happens, the pair may consolidate between these two levels for a few days.

The next trending move could begin if the price breaks above or below the range. If the price soars above $32,659, the rally could reach the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($34,629). The downtrend could resume on a break below the $28,630 to $26,700 support zone.

ETH/USDT

The bears stalled Ether’s (ETH) relief rally at the 20-day EMA ($2,009) on May 31, indicating that they are not allowing the bulls to get a foothold.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to pull the price to the vital support at $1,700. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if it cracks, the ETH/USDT pair could witness panic selling. The pair could then resume its downtrend and plummet to $1,300.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off $1,700, it will suggest that the bulls are buying proactively at these levels. The bulls will then again try to push the price above the 20-day EMA and challenge the stiff resistance at $2,159.

BNB/USDT

BNB rose above the immediate resistance of $320 on May 30 but the bulls have not been able to build upon this move. This indicates that bears are posing a strong challenge at $325.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The sellers have pulled the price to the uptrend line. This is an important level to keep an eye on in the near term. If the price rebounds off this level, it will suggest that bulls are accumulating on dips. That could enhance the prospects of a break above $325.

Contrary to this assumption, if bears sink the price below the uptrend line, the BNB/USDT pair could drop to the strong support zone between $286 and $265. A break below $265 could send the pair tumbling to the vital support at $211.

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) rose above the downtrend line on May 30 but the bulls could not clear the overhead hurdle at the 20-day EMA ($0.43). This suggests that bears are not willing to surrender their advantage.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to sink the price below the downtrend line. If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair could decline to $0.38. The buyers are likely to defend this level and a bounce off it will point to a possible consolidation in the near term.

On the contrary, if the price rebounds off the downtrend line, it will suggest that bulls are attempting to flip this level to support. If that happens, the possibility of a break above the 20-day EMA increases. The pair could then rally to the psychological resistance at $0.50.

ADA/USDT

Cardano (ADA) broke above the 20-day EMA ($0.56) on May 30 and followed it up with another sharp up-move on May 31. This pushed the price to the 50-day SMA ($0.70) but the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears are selling near this level.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to pull the price back below the 20-day EMA and trap the aggressive bulls. If that happens, the ADA/USDT pair could drop to $0.44 where buying may emerge.

That could suggest a consolidation inside the large range between $0.44 and $0.74. The flattening 20-day EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) just below the midpoint also indicate a range-bound action in the near term.

The bulls may gain the upper hand if the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA and breaks above $0.74. Such a move will suggest that the downtrend may be over.

SOL/USDT

Solana’s (SOL) relief rally is facing stiff resistance from the bears near the psychological level at $50. This suggests that bears have not yet given up and they continue to sell on rallies.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to pull the price to the strong support at $40. The bulls are expected to buy the dips to this level. If the price rebounds off this support, the buyers will again try to push the SOL/USDT pair above the 20-day EMA ($51). If they succeed, the pair could rally to $60 and thereafter attempt an up-move to the breakdown level of $75.

On the other hand, if bears sink the price below $40, the pair could drop to the May 12 intraday low of $37. The pair could resume its downtrend if bears pull the price below this crucial support.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin’s (DOGE) price has been trading near the 20-day EMA ($0.09) for the past two days but the bulls have failed to achieve a breakout. This suggests that bears are defending the 20-day EMA with vigor.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to sink the price to the strong support at $0.07. This level has held on two previous occasions; hence, the bulls will again try to defend it. If the price rebounds off this support, the DOGE/USDT pair may remain stuck inside a range between $0.10 and $0.07 for some time.

If bulls drive the price above $0.10, it will suggest that the downtrend could be weakening. The pair could then rally to $0.12. Conversely, the downtrend could resume on a break below $0.07.

Related: Axie Infinity V-shape recovery fizzles as AXS price drops 20% from three-week high

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) is facing resistance at the 20-day EMA ($10.55) but the bulls have not allowed the price to sustain below $10. This suggests strong demand at lower levels.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bulls push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA, the DOT/USDT pair could rally to $12. This level may act as a minor hurdle but if crossed, the recovery could reach the strong overhead resistance at $14.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and sustains below $10, the decline could extend to the strong support at $8. A strong bounce off this support will suggest that the pair may remain range-bound between $8 and $12 for some time.

AVAX/USDT

Avalanche (AVAX) turned down from the downtrend line on May 31, suggesting that bears continue to defend the level with vigor. The bears will now try to pull the price below the strong support zone of $23.51 to $21.35.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they succeed, the AVAX/USDT pair will complete a descending triangle pattern, indicating the start of the next leg of the downtrend. The pair could then decline to $20.

Although the downsloping 20-day EMA ($31.33) favors the bears, the positive divergence on the RSI suggests that the bearish momentum may be weakening. If the price turns up from the current level and breaks above the 20-day EMA, buying could resume. The bulls will then try to propel the pair to $38.

SHIB/USDT

Shiba Inu’s (SHIB) recovery is facing stiff resistance at the 20-day EMA ($0.000012), suggesting that the sentiment remains negative and bears are selling on rallies.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to pull the price to the strong support at $0.000010. This level is likely to attract aggressive buying by the bulls. If the price rebounds off $0.000010, the SHIB/USDT pair could rally toward the 20-day EMA.

If buyers push the price above the 20-day EMA, the pair could rise to $0.000014 and later to the breakdown level of $0.000017. On the downside, the bears will have to sink the price below $0.000009 to signal the resumption of the downtrend.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.