Market Capitalization

Bitcoin and liquid staking protocols lead crypto resurgence in Q1 2023

The first quarter of 2023 saw Bitcoin outperform traditional assets after a 72% quarterly gain in market capitalization.

The cryptocurrency ecosystem has enjoyed a buoyant start to the year as Bitcoin (BTC) and decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols surge in market capitalization through the first quarter of 2023.

These are the key takeaways from the “2023 Q1 Crypto Industry Report” published by CoinGecko on April 18. BTC emerged as the best-performing asset of Q1 2023, with gains of 72.4%, outperforming the likes of the Nasdaq index and gold, which marked 15.7% and 8.4% gains, respectively.

The report highlights that all major asset classes saw gains through the first quarter of the year, barring crude oil, which dropped by 6.1%. This decline was attributed to United States inflation data, which cited a reduction in oil demand and the ill effects of the U.S. banking crisis.

Bitcoin has been the best-performing asset through the first three months of 2023. Source: CoinGecko

The wider cryptocurrency markets have enjoyed a quarter of resurgence, with the overall market capitalization reaching $1.2 trillion at the end of Q1. CoinGecko highlights a 48.9%, $406 billion gain from the cryptocurrency market cap of $829 billion at the end of 2022.

The DeFi space was another standout performer, rising by $29.6 billion in value through the first quarter. The report cites the impressive performance of liquid staking governance tokens, which saw a 210% increase in market cap since the start of 2023.

Ethereum’s Shapella upgrade played a major role in driving the increase of capital flows into liquid staking pools, with the network’s upgrade finally unlocking ETH staking reward withdrawals. The report notes that liquid staking is now the third-largest category in the DeFi sector.

Related: Ether hits 11-month high as post-Shapella withdrawals pass 1M ETH

While Bitcoin and DeFi have been major movers thus far this year, the top 15 stablecoins saw their market cap drop by $6.2 billion. CoinGecko attributes this 4.5% drop in market cap to the shutdown of Binance USD (BUSD) by Paxos and the temporary depeg of USD Coin (USDC) during the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March 2023.

Tether (USDT) strengthened its position as the largest stablecoin by market cap in 2023, adding $13.6 billion since the start of the year, while USDC and BUSD recorded market cap losses of 26.9% and 54.5%, respectively.

Nonfungible token trading volume has also surged again in 2023, marking a 68% rise from Q4 2022 to $4.5 billion during the first quarter of 2023. NFT marketplace newcomer Blur accounted for the majority of NFT trading volume since its launch in October 2022, accounting for 71.8% of the market share in March 2023.

Magazine: Bitcoin in Senegal: Why is this African country using BTC?

Number of devs increased during crypto winter: Electric Capital report

Ethereum continues to be the dominant blockchain for developer activity, however, a few other chains continued to gain ground.

The notion that bear markets are good for builders appears to be true, with the total number of monthly active Web3 developers increasing 5.4% to more than 23,300 over the last 12 months despite a near 70% drop in crypto prices.

According to a Jan. 16 report from Electric Capital, “full-time” developers — categorized as those who contribute to 76% of GitHub commits — also increased 15.2% to over 7,000, while “one-time” builders fell 6.2% to over 3,500 during the same time period, between December 2021 and December 2022.

Despite the crypto market capitalization beginning its long plunge from its all-time high (ATH) of $2.9 trillion in November 2021, monthly developer activity only began to fall this past June, after the metric reached its record high of nearly 26,500 active developers.

This fall was partly attributed to the fall in developer activity in the Terra ecosystem following its catastrophic collapse in May.

Monthly active developer count over time compared to crypto’s market capitalization. Source: Electric Capital.

The next three months from June to September saw a 26% fall in weekly active Web3 developers.

Last year did however see 61,127 new Web3 developers come into the industry — the most ever recorded and a 25.8% increase from 2021.

In fact, more new Web3 developers deployed their first line of open-source crypto code in the past year (109,723) than between 2014 and 2020 (101,054).

Monthly active developer count since Bitcoin was launched compared to when Ethereum and its smart contract functionalities were introduced. Source: Electric Capital.

Ethereum continues to dominate developer activity, having increased its full-time developer count by 9% to 1,873 — which is more than the next three highest ecosystems combined: Polkadot (752), Cosmos (511) and Solana (383).

Developer counts on non-Ethereum chains are catching up though. The Cosmos and Solana networks increased 34% and 36%, respectively, while Starknet is among one of the mid-sized ecosystems to have made a solid run In 2022 with a 214% increase in developer count.

Related: Inside the blockchain developers’ mind: Building truly free-to-use DApps

The report also found that following Terra’s collapse only 28 (9%) of the original Terra developers stuck around for Terra 2.0 while 143 developers (42%) called it quits and migrated to other ecosystems.

Many of the former Terra developers migrated to Cosmos, 42 of 143, the most of any other ecosystem.

The number of full-time developers from each ecosystem since their launch date. Source: Electric Capital.

Electric Capital explained there are many more Web3 developers than accounted for in the report, as some projects are close-sourced.

Bitcoin scarcity rises as bad exchanges take 1.2M BTC out of circulation

Historical data around crypto crashes revealed that 14 crypto exchanges, together, were responsible for the loss of at least 1,195,000 BTC, representing 6.3% of the 19.2 Bitcoin currently in circulation.

One of the biggest factors differentiating Bitcoin (BTC) from fiat currency and most cryptocurrencies is the hard limit of 21 million on its total circulating supply. However, the demise of numerous crypto exchanges over the last decade has permanently taken out at least 5.7% (1.2 million BTC) of the total issuable Bitcoin from circulation.

The lack of clarity around a crypto exchange’s proof of reserves came out as the primary reason for their sudden collapses, as seen recently with FTX. Historical data around crypto crashes revealed that 14 crypto exchanges, together, were responsible for the loss of 1,195,000 BTC, which represents 6.3% of the 19.2 Bitcoin currently in circulation.

Bitcoin lost due to defunct crypto exchanges. Source: Casa Blog

An investigation conducted by Jameson Lopp, co-founder and chief technology officer of Bitcoin storage platform CasaHODL, revealed that Mt. Gox maintains the top position when it comes to exchanges losing BTC holdings.

While the scarcity of Bitcoin is directly related to its value as an asset, Lopp pointed out that fake Bitcoin offerings currently threaten the ecosystem, adding that “Bitcoin will not be a great store of value if most people are buying fake bitcoin.” Investigations confirm that at least 80 crypto assets have “Bitcoin” in their names, aimed purely to mislead BTC investors.

As a result, investors purchasing fake Bitcoin assets negatively impact the price appreciation of the original Bitcoin.

To ensure Bitcoin’s position as sound money, self-custody comes out as the most effective way to reduce reliance on crypto exchanges and corporate “paper Bitcoin” contracts.

Related: Blockstream CEO Adam Back talks Bitcoin over a game of Jenga

Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele announced plans to acquire 1 BTC every day starting from Nov. 17, 2022.

Public records show that El Salvador currently holds 2,381 BTC at an average buying price of $43,357. However, stagnant Bitcoin performance opened up a window of opportunity for the country to substantially bring down its average price of Bitcoin acquisition.

Crypto token supplies explained: Circulating, maximum and total supply

Circulating, maximum and total supply are all essential metrics for an investor’s price discovery. Find out here what they are and how they can be used.

Total supply vs. maximum and circulating supply

Circulating and maximum supply are equally important in their own use, and understanding their implication vs. the total supply can help assess their impact on the cryptocurrency’s price.

How a price may change in the future is a crucial assessment for an investor who could plan a different strategy depending on how each metric performs against the total supply. Total and circulating supply can change over time, so it’s essential to keep up to date with the latest developments of a project.

A summary of differences between total supply, maximum and circulating supply can be found in the below table:

Total supply vs. maximum supply vs. circulating supply

Cryptocurrency coins or tokens can be easily compared to publicly traded shares in the stock market, as their price reflects supply and demand conditions. The more coins are in existence, the more demand there needs to be for a price to increase.

A low supply means that the token (a share) is scarce and if in high demand, its price will likely rise. On the other hand, if the demand for a cryptocurrency is low but has a large supply, its price may drop.

What is a total supply?

A token’s total supply is calculated by adding the circulating supply to the number of coins that have been mined but not yet distributed in the market.

In the case of coins reserved for staking rewards, for instance, they have already been minted. Still, they are locked up in the project’s protocol and are only distributed when the staker meets a particular condition.

Another instance occurs when a new cryptocurrency project is launched, and the number of tokens issued is not equal to the one being distributed. These types of measures are usually taken to follow demand and not oversupply a cryptocurrency that could, as a result, affect the price negatively.

It could also be the case of tokens created by developers at a blockchain’s launch as premine to use as development funds but have not been circulated yet. Moreover, burned coins or tokens are not calculated in the total supply, as they are tokens sent and permanently locked up in a burned address that nobody will ever be able to access and are therefore eliminated forever.

It is possible to increase the total token supply, depending on the crypto protocol’s rules. With Bitcoin, for instance, unless there is maximum consensus to change the protocol, its total supply of 21 million coins can’t ever be changed. With other tokens, developers could potentially change a protocol’s supply rule by planning in advance a variable in the smart contract.

What is the maximum supply?

A cryptocurrency’s maximum supply is the total number of tokens that will ever be mined, and it is usually defined when the genesis block is created.

Bitcoin’s maximum supply is capped at 21 million, and although anything is possible, its strict protocol and code are built so that no more BTC can ever be mined. Other cryptocurrencies do not have a maximum supply but may have a cap on the number of new coins that can be minted with a specific cadence, like in the case of Ether.

Stablecoins, on the other hand, tend to keep the maximum supply constant at all times to avoid a supply shock that could affect and fluctuate the price too much. Their stability is guaranteed by collateral reserve assets or algorithms created to control supply through the burning process.

Algorithmically-backed coins are designed to maintain a stable price, but they have drawbacks as they are vulnerable to de-pegging risks. Also, non-algorithmic stablecoins like Tether may risk de-pegging, as happened in June 2022, showing that even coins that should provide more certainty may be at risk.

The other two metrics — circulating and total supply — also affect a token’s price, but to a lesser extent than the maximum supply. When a cryptocurrency hits maximum supply, no more new coins can ever be created. When that happens, two main results are produced:

  • The cryptocurrency becomes more scarce and as a result, its price may increase if demand exceeds supply;
  • Miners have to rely on fees to get rewards for their contributions.

In the case of Bitcoin, the total supply gets cut in half through a process called the halving, so it is calculated that it will reach its maximum supply of 21 million coins in the year 2140. Although Bitcoin’s issuance increases over time through mining and is therefore inflationary, block rewards are cut in half every four years, making it a deflationary cryptocurrency.

What is a circulating supply?

A cryptocurrency circulating supply refers to the number of tokens in circulation in the market at any given time that are available for trade.

The circulation supply metric is used to define the market capitalization of a given cryptocurrency and accounts for the size of its economy. A cryptocurrency’s market cap is obtained by multiplying the price per unit by the number of all the existing coins in a blockchain, even the ones that have been lost or confiscated.

Somewhat emblematic is the example of Bitcoin and its creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, who mined millions of BTC in the early years but never moved them. Whatever the reason behind such a decision, all those Bitcoin are still included in the total circulating supply of the cryptocurrency.

There is a sub-metric of market cap, denominated realized market cap, which calculates the price of a coin when it was last moved as opposed to the current value. Realized market cap does not include coins that have been lost or are dormant in a blockchain, reducing their impact on the price.

Some cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin, have a finite supply, and their circulation is only increased through mining. On the other hand, developers of some more centralized tokens can increase their circulation supply through instantaneous minting, a bit like central banks.

Circulation supply can also decrease by a process called burning, which means destroying the coins by sending them to a wallet whose keys are not available to anyone. For this reason, the circulation supply metric should be considered somehow approximate.

What is the crypto token supply?

The crypto token supply establishes how many cryptocurrency coins will exist at any particular time and could be the circulating, maximum or total supply.

The total supply of a cryptocurrency refers to the sum of the circulating supply and the coins that are locked up in escrow, a smart contract where a third party temporarily keeps an asset until a particular and agreed condition is met. The maximum supply is the upper limit on the number of tokens that can be created, while the circulating supply is the number of tokens that exist and are available for trade in the market.

All the cryptocurrency supply metrics are crucial for determining token distribution, demand and market capitalization. They can impact the price of a cryptocurrency and are essential criteria for investors who want to assess a project’s worth.

Unlike fiat currencies, which central banks can print at will, most cryptocurrency tokens have a predetermined supply that cannot be increased or decreased freely. A token’s supply can be released at once, but most cryptocurrencies are mined such as proof-of-work (PoW) coins or minted in the case of proof-of-stake (PoS) coins over time.

Some cryptocurrencies have a limited supply, like Bitcoin (BTC), which will only ever have a finite supply of 21 million coins. Other cryptocurrencies have a maximum supply but not a finite supply. Ether’s (ETH) supply, for example, is not hard-capped like Bitcoin, but the issuance of new coins was fixed at 1,600 ETH per day after the Merge occurred.

NFT ecosystem attempts a bounce back amid bearish market sentiment

Supporting the uptrend, the number of NFT holders grew 32.24% over the past three months, as evidenced by data from NFTGo.

Over the past two years, nonfungible tokens (NFTs) gave the crypto ecosystem the boost it needed to grab mainstream attention — owing to the involvement of prominent artists and celebrities. Despite the enormous losses suffered by NFT investors following the ongoing 10-month-long bear market, however, the ecosystem showed sustainable signs of a comeback in the last two weeks.

Since Sept. 12, the performance of blue-chip NFT collections witnessed a steady growth, inching back toward the 10,000 Ether (ETH) that was lost in mid-August 2022, according to data by NFTGo.

The performance of blue-chip NFT collections. Source: NFTGo

On Sept. 20, the market capitalization, which is derived from the floor price and the trading price of NFTs, spiked nearly 16.5% at roughly 11.25 million ETH.

Market capitalization of NFT collections. Source: NFTGo

Reciprocating the market cap breach of the 11 million ETH mark for the first time in three months, the number of NFT holders grew 32.24% along the same timeline, as shown above.

Ethereum Name Service (ENS) currently contributes the highest volume at 9.25%, which is followed by popular NFT collections such as Bored Ape Yacht Club and Otherdeed.

NFT market sentiment. Source: NFTGo

However, current market sentiment — calculated based on volatility, trading volume, social media and Google trends — remains cold as investors try to recoup their previous losses.

Related: Post offices adopting NFTs leads to a philately renaissance

NFT marketplace OpenSea launched the OpenRarity protocol to verify the rarity of NFTs within its platform.

The protocol aims to provide a reliable “rarity ranking” that would assist investors when considering purchasing NFTs.

Crypto recaptures $1 trillion market cap: BTC hits $22K, ETH ‘Giga mooning’

The total market capitalization for all of the cryptocurrencies has surged past $1 trillion in a day of big green candles.

Bye-bye, Monday blues, hello bullish news — the total crypto market capitalization has retaken the $1 trillion level. The crypto market cap is now almost as valuable as all the silver on the planet.

A price pump for Bitcoin (BTC) brought the world’s most decentralized cryptocurrency into the $22,500 range, while Ethereum (ETH) enjoyed a double-digit “Giga pump” to kiss the $1,500 mark. Their combined efforts have culminated in a 4.8% pump to the entire crypto market, lifting it to a recent high of $1.02 trillion.

Bitcoin reclaimed the meme-worthy target of $420 billion in market cap, while Ethereum is sitting pretty at a total market cap of $180 billion, having added more than $20 billion in the past 24 hours. As per the below graph, the last time that the crypto market crossed the $1 trillion level was on June 13.

Total crypto market cap for the past 3 months according to coinmarketcap.com/charts

A reminder on market capitalizations: In the case of Bitcoin and most mined cryptocurrencies, the “market cap” refers to the total value of all mined coins. For Bitcoin, it’s simple: multiply the total number of Bitcoin mined since January 3rd, 2009, (a little over 19,096,775) by the current price per Bitcoin, circa $22,000.i

The trillion dollar mark was welcome news to crypto advocates on Twitter. They were quick to celebrate the momentous milestone, while some, such as DonAlt, queried whether the new price levels could indicate a bullish reversal: 

Indeed, the beaten-down market is eager to bask in bullish news, given that the fear and greed index has sat at “extreme fear” or “fear” for months on end. 

Caution, fear and greed index still sits in extreme fear. Source: alternative.me

Nonetheless, before reaching for the champagne, spare a thought for the previous crypto market cap all-time high. It tipped the $3 trillion mark in quarter four of 2021, meaning $2 trillion has been lost. 

Related: Bitcoin hodling activity resembles previous market bottoms: Glassnode

The crypto market cap reached the same value as Apple’s stock in April 2021 before surpassing $3 trillion. However, Apple is currently valued at $2.4 trillion, while crypto sits at $1 trillion. Consequently, there are some ways to go for crypto to match one of the world’s biggest, and certainly among the most well-known, companies.

NFT hype evidently dead as daily sales in June 2022 dip to one-year lows

The NFT boom was supported by a healthy and bullish crypto ecosystem and positive investor sentiment. However, Bitcoin’s bear market has had an adverse impact on the crypto ecosystem.

Nonfungible tokens (NFTs) took center stage in the year 2021 as artists, influencers, A-list celebrities and the sports industry finally came across a fan engagement tool that empowered the general public to cash in on their success. However, the hype around NFT did not manage to stand its ground, as sales plummeted to one-year lows amid the ruthless bear market of 2022.

The NFT boom, which started in early 2021, upheld its glory until May 2022 — supported by a healthy and bullish crypto ecosystem and positive investor sentiment. However, Bitcoin’s (BTC) struggle to hold on to its all-time high prices had an adverse impact across the crypto ecosystem.

Number of daily NFT sales between June 2021-June 2022. Source: NonFungible

The NFT ecosystem recorded its worst performance of the year in June 2022 as the total number of daily sales fell down to roughly 19,000 with an estimated value of $13.8 million — a number which was recorded back in June 2021. 

Last year, however, daily NFT sales of a similar amount were considered impressive as the nascent ecosystem saw mainstream implementations across various use cases.

NFT market capitalization and trading volume. Source: NFTGo

As evidenced by data from nonfungible.com, the NFT ecosystem witnessed its highest number of daily sales of 224,768 NFTs on Sept. 24, 2021, worth $78.3 million. However, the biggest sale in terms of dollar value took place on May 1, 2022, when 118,577 NFTs were sold in a day for $780.4 million.

Some of the key factors negatively impacting the hype around NFTs are falling Ether (ETH) prices, a lack of secondary market demand and unrealistic gas fees. As a result, over the last three months, the NFT market capitalization suffered a drop of nearly 40% while losing over 66% of its trading volume, as shown by data from NFTGo.

Related: NFTs to appear on Facebook, cross-post with Instagram as Meta Web3 expansion continues

Amid the bear market, crypto entrepreneurs, including Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, are helping governments explore NFT use cases in ID-ing citizens. Social media giant Meta’s Facebook, too, recently announced plans to support NFTs for creators.

A Meta spokesperson revealed that the rollout of NFTs on Facebook would be gradual, beginning with select creators in the United States.

Bitcoin price recovers $31.5K, but traders say ‘scam’ price action will bring more downside

BTC price rallied back to a strong resistance level at $31,500, but traders caution that another whipsaw is the most likely outcome.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) short-term price action has been dominated by whipsaws that trigger around the $31,000 to $32,000 level and the June 6 reversal at this point triggered a quick sell-off that pushed the price down to $29,200.

Surprisingly, on June 7, the price rapidly reversed course as Bitcoin rallied back to $31,500, but given the current rejection at this level, traders are likely to proceed cautiously, rather than expect a quick surge to $35,000.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

Here’s what several analysts are saying about the short-term outlook for BTC and what support levels to keep an eye on moving forward.

A clear redistribution range

The range-bound trading currently impacting Bitcoin was addressed by crypto analyst and pseudonymous Twitter user il Capo of Crypto, who posted the following chart highlighting the “clean range” that BTC has been stuck in for nearly a month.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart. Source: Twitter

The analyst said,

“What is happening inside the range and what has happened at the range high, shows that this is [a] clear redistribution range. Clean break of the range low = last leg down confirmed = 21K–23K.”

Ongoing flip-flop price action

A slightly different outcome to the current market chop was suggested by crypto trader and pseudonymous Twitter user Phoenix, who posted the following chart lamenting the month-long range-bound trading for BTC and hinted that it will see more of the same.

BTC/USD 2-hour chart. Source: Twitter

Phoenix said,

“On our way towards a whole month inside a mini-range again to fully deploy the flip-flop-your-bias-non-stop-angry-pleb-and-gtfo. *Ppl fomoed the top, lows taken again after the nuke, up we go again?*”

Related: Coinbase balance drops by 30K BTC as Bitcoin price nurses 6% losses

A possible flush out to $20K

For traders trying to get some sense of where the bottom might be, market analyst and pseudonymous Twitter user Rekt Capital posted the following chart highlighting the 200-EMA (exponential moving average) as a key indicator to watch.

BTC/USD 1-week chart. Source: Twitter

According to Rekt Capital, the price history for Bitcoin shows that while it “tends to confirm uptrends when it breaks above the blue 50-week EMA,” on the flip side it “tends to confirm maximum financial opportunity when it reaches and breaks down from the black 200-week EMA.”

A closer look at the recent price action around these indicators was provided in the following chart posted by Rekt Capital to provide a better picture of what support level to look out for.

BTC/USD 1-week chart. Source: Twitter

Rekt Capital said,

“This area is ~confluent with the orange #BTC 200-week MA. In fact, $BTC would need to downside wick below the 200MA to reach the ~$20K area. Interestingly, downside wicking tends to occur below the 200MA to mark out generational bottoms.”

The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $1.24 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 46.4%.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.