insolvency

Getting funds out of FTX could take years or even decades: Lawyers

The complexities that come with digital assets, cross-border insolvency and competing jurisdictions could add years to the timeline.

While investors are eager to know when they will be able to get their funds back from the now-bankrupt crypto exchange FTX, insolvency lawyers warn it could take “decades.”

The crypto exchange, along with 130 affiliates filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the United States on Nov. 11.

Insolvency lawyer Stephen Earel, partner at Co Cordis in Australia, said it will be an “enormous exercise” in the liquidation process to “realize” the crypto assets and then work out how to distribute the funds, with the process potentially taking years, if not “decades.”

This is due to the complexities that come with cross-border insolvency issues and competing jurisdictions, he said.

Earel said unfortunately, FTX users are in the queue with everyone else including other creditors, investors and venture capital funders, warning those that have made “crypto to crypto trades” may not see a distribution “for years.”

Simon Dixon, founder of global investment platform BnkToTheFuture, who has been an active voice in the Celsius bankruptcy proceedings, noted that anyone who holds funds on FTX will become creditors, with a creditors committee to be established to represent their interests.

He stated that the remaining assets will eventually be available to creditors depending on what remains after bankruptcy costs.

These costs could be high given the time required to recover funds, according to Binance Australia CEO, noting that this means more legal and administrative fees that eat into customers’ returns.

Meanwhile, Digital Assets Lawyer Irina Heaver, partner at Keystone Law in UAE, told Cointelegraph that there are users in the Middle East also feeling the pain from the FTX collapse, as the region was the third largest user base of FTX.

Heaver explained that as FTX already received a license and regulatory supervision from the newly formed Dubai’s Virtual Assets Authority regulator (VARA), it presents major complications for the regulators as they already have a “huge regulatory failure” on their hands.

Heaver said that only “when and if” FTX moves into Chapter 11 bankruptcy procedures, creditors’ rights will be overseen by the legal system, with courts and bankruptcy administrators involved.

Related: Bankrupt crypto exchange FTX begins strategic review of global assets

Heaver advises people with substantial losses due to the FTX collapse to get legal advice and get together with “other injured parties.”

The recent FTX collapse has had significant consequences for investors across the world. It was recently revealed that the bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange may have “more than 1 million creditors.” According to a Reuters article published on Nov. 20, the bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange owes its biggest 50 creditors “nearly $3.1 billion.”

FTX is done — What’s next for Bitcoin, altcoins and crypto in general?

FTX is gone, and it looks like many centralized crypto platforms will fall with it. But is there a silver lining?

2022 was a tough year for crypto, and November was especially hard on investors and traders alike. 

While it was incredibly painful for many, FTX’s blowup and the ensuing contagion that threatens to pull other centralized crypto exchanges down with it could be positive over the long run.

Allow me to explain.

What people learned, albeit in the hardest way possible, is that exchanges were running fractional reserve-like banks to fund their own speculative, leveraged investments in exchange for providing users with a “guaranteed” yield.

Somewhere across the crypto Twitterverse, the phrase “If you don’t know where the yield comes from, you are the yield!” is floating around.

This was true for decentralized finance (DeFi), and it’s proven true for centralized crypto exchanges and platforms, too.

Who would have known that a few ill-timed bank runs would pull down the entire house of cards by proving that while exchanges appear to have high revenue and tons of tokens on their books, many are completely unable to meet user withdrawal requests?

They took your coins and collateralized them to fund highly speculative bets.

They locked your coins in centralized DeFi platforms to earn yield, some of which they promised to share with you.

They placed user funds, along with their own reserves, into illiquid assets that were hard to convert into stablecoins, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) when clients and platform users wanted to access their funds.

Not your keys, not your coins.

Never has the phrase rang truer.

Let’s explore a few things that are happening in the crypto market this week.

Investors withdrew a record number of coins from exchanges to self-custody

As Cointelegraph reported earlier this week, crypto investors panic-withdrew record amounts of Bitcoin, Ether and stablecoins from exchanges.

Separate reporting cited a sharp uptick in hardware wallet sales as investors realized the importance of self-custodying their portfolios.

If the number of insolvencies and “temporarily pausing of deposits and withdrawals” messages continue to pop up over the next few weeks, it seems likely that this trend of coins leaving exchanges and popping into hardware wallets will continue.

DEXs and DeFi saw an uptick in inflows, perhaps a sign of things to come

Cointelegraph also reported on the uptick in decentralized exchange (DEX) activity and inflow to DeFi occurring concurrently with the record outflows from exchanges. After the events of the past two weeks, trust in centralized exchanges and crypto companies could be broken, and the current and next wave of crypto investors could embrace the more Web3-focused DEX and DeFi protocols.

Perpetual exchange volume. Source: Token Terminal

Of course, what DeFi and DEXs need are a more transparent framework and processes that ensure user funds are safe and being used “properly.”

Related: DeFi platforms see profits amid FTX collapse and CEX exodus

A steady flow of bad news could present a nice opportunity

Currently, Ether’s price looks a bit soft from a technical analysis standpoint, and the recent news about the FTX thief holding the 31st largest Ether spot position, plus concerns over censorship, centralization, the United States Office of Foreign Assets Control enforcement on this “whale” and other Ethereum-based protocols that have exposure or bankruptcy proximity to FTX and Alameda could stir up a bit of FUD that impacts the altcoin’s price action.

Uncertainty on when the Shanghai upgrade will be enacted and investor concerns about when staked coins can actually be withdrawn are also interesting conversations that could turn short-term sentiment against Ether.

ETH/USDT 2-day chart. Source: TradingView

The thesis is pretty simple. ETH has held support around $1,200–$1,300 pretty well through all of the previous months of bearish market developments, but will the potential challenges mentioned above lead to a test of the level again?

Stakers are essentially spot long and earning yield, so at this juncture, opening a low-level short position with taking profits orders at $700–$600 could possibly be rewarding.

This newsletter was written by Big Smokey, the author of “The Humble Pontificator Substack” and resident newsletter author at Cointelegraph. Each Friday, Big Smokey will write market insights, trending how-tos, analyses and early-bird research on potential emerging trends within the crypto market.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.