Crypto Exchanges

Market makers in the crypto industry: party planners or bartenders?

In the crypto economy “party,“ market makers are the dancefloor, the logistics team, the bartenders and all the bars that traders and participants can attend.

What is a market maker, and how do they differ in the crypto and traditional finance markets? At the European Blockchain Conference in Barcelona, Cointelegraph discussed the topic with key market makers in the crypto industry during one of the conference’s first panels.

Cointelegraph reporter Joseph Hall drew up the analogy that crypto market makers are much like cool bartenders at a very high-tech and unashamedly nerdy cocktail party. Their job is to keep the drinks flowing — provide liquidity and ensure everyone’s having a good time — while maintaining order in the market.

That means they secretly hope that no one gets too drunk, makes a fool of themselves and ruins everything. Ultimately, market makers are there to manage risk and make sure the bouncers kick out the likes of Sam Bankman-Fried and other bad actors. 

In essence, crypto market makers are the ultimate party planners, but instead of balloons, cake and a banging Spotify playlist, they use leverage algorithms and order books. The head of commercial strategy at a large crypto market maker, Stef Wynendaele, suggested “It’s a great definition, but it implies too much power to what a market maker does.”

“We’re actually the dance floor. We’re actually the music. We’re there to support, you know, the party. We’re there at all times. We’re there at 9 pm and we’re there at 5 am in the morning.”

Wynendaele suggested that market makers are the foundations of a thriving crypto economy and that they’re not, in fact “the bartender who controls who drinks or not.”

Stef Wynendaele of Keyrock talks during a panel discussion at the European Blockchain Conference. Source: Jose Val Bal

The bartender analogy works well for Patrick Heusser, the chief commercial officer at Crypto Finance. However, “Someone has to do the logistics,” he explained. “Someone has to make sure there is enough beer in the back and stuff for the drinks — and market infrastructure is super important for market makers.”

“Otherwise, you just have fancy flashing price screens, and if you can’t settle or if you’re not comfortable with settling certain trades with certain counterparties, the marketplace is not as attractive as it should be.”

So, if the crypto economy was a party, the market makers could be the dance floor, the music and the logistics.

Guilhem Chaumount, CEO of French market maker, Flowdesk, explained that we must remember that in the crypto space, “it’s there’s not one bar; it’s dozens of bars. Some of them are centralized or decentralized. They are open 24/7, 365. You have so many cocktails, 20,000 cocktails available. You don’t know what’s in them.”

Chaumont listens in during the panel discussion. Source: Jose Val Bal

On top of that, “The prices are not in U.S. dollars or euro and Bitcoin (BTC) and whatever crypto,” underlining the distinction between traditional finance (TradFi) market making and crypto market making.

For traditional finance, Chaumont explained, it’s mostly “proprietary trading firms operating off their balance sheet, trying to generate profit and loss.” There is a more technological approach in crypto because the assets are infinitely harder to price.

Murillo spent years in Tradfi before working in crypto. Source: Jose Val Bal

Following an extensive career in traditional finance, John Murillo, a chief dealing officer at B2Broker, explained how brokers pick market makers remains the same: “You just choose which party to attend because everyone has a party.“

“Our approach on crypto makers is no different than it was in my old days, where you assess counterparties, where you pick and choose who you want to connect and integrate. I think that’s the key to creating a reliable solution.“

In all, Chaumant summed up that market makers carry a “huge responsibility.“ He shared that while Bitcoin might have recently reclaimed $25,000, the industry will not recover without the aid and assistance of market makers. 

South Korea’s Kimchi premium turns to discount

The “Kimchi premium” has flipped to discount again, and that could be saying something about crypto market sentiment, at least in South Korea.

South Korea’s “Kimchi premium” has flipped to a discount again, meaning cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are now cheaper to buy on South Korean exchanges.

The phenomenon is named after the Korean dish kimchi. The Kimchi premium refers to when the price of Bitcoin (BTC) trades higher on South Korean exchanges than in other markets.

According to data from blockchain analytics provider CryptoQuant, the Korea Premium index has been shifting between the -0.24 and 0.01 range between Feb.17 and 19.

The Korea Premium index has been shifting between the -0.24 and 0.01 range between Feb.17 and 19. Source: CryptoQuant

At time of writing, CoinMarketCap showed BTC trading at $24,464 on Coinbase and $24,487 on Binance.

In comparison, Korean exchange Bithumb had it listed at $24,386, while one of the largest exchanges in South Korea, Upbit, was trading Bitcoin for $24,405.

It’s the same situation for the second-largest crypto by market cap, Ether (ETH).

At time of writing, data on CoinMarketCap showed ETH trading for $1,687 on Coinbase and $1,691 on Binance — but ETH was changing hands for $1,682 on Bithumb and $1,683 on Upbit.

According to Doo Wan Nam, chief operating officer of node validator and venture capital fund Stablenode, the Kimchi premium changing to a discount marks a drop in interest from Korean retail investors.

“Generally it means fall in interest in crypto from Korean retail, which ironically is generally a better time to buy cause you know you can always sell yours to Korean gamblers for 20% premium later when they FOMO,” he said.

Some traders try to profit by trading the price differences between various exchanges, a practice known as arbitrage.

Related: Korean regulators investigate banks over $6.5B tied to Kimchi premium

In the past, the size of the Kimchi premium has been tied to news, with notable dips recorded at times when bad news breaks about South Korean crypto exchanges. 

The premium disappeared in early 2018 when the South Korean government announced it was planning to crack down on cryptocurrency trading.

A 2019 paper from the University of Calgary found that the Kimchi Premium first occurred in 2016.

According to the researchers, between January 2016 and February 2018, South Korean Bitcoin exchanges charged an average of 4.73% more than their United States counterparts.

$740M in Bitcoin exits exchanges, the biggest outflow since June’s BTC price crash

Bitcoin price technicals, however, remain bearish with the BTC price eyeing a run-down toward $14,000 in Q4.

The amount of Bitcoin (BTC) flowing out of cryptocurrency exchanges picked up momentum on Oct. 18, hinting at weakening sell-pressure, which could help BTC price avoid a deeper correction below $18,000.

Bitcoin forming a “bear market floor”

Over 37,800 BTC left crypto exchanges on Oct. 18, according to data tracked by CryptoQuant. This marks the biggest Bitcoin daily outflow since June 17, wh traders withdrew nearly 68,000 BTC from exchanges.

Moreover, over 121,000 BTC, or nearly $2.4 billion at current prices, has left exchanges in the past 30 days. 

Bitcoin exchange netflow from all exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant

A spike in Bitcoin outflows from exchanges is typically seen as a bullish signal because traders remove the coins that they wish to hold from platforms. Conversely, a jump in Bitcoin inflows into exchanges is typically considered bearish given that the supply is immediately available for selling increases.

For instance, Bitcoin bottomed out locally at around $18,000 when its outflows from exchanges reached nearly 68,000 BTC on June 17. The cryptocurrency’s price rallied toward $24,500 in the following weeks.

This time, the massive uptick in Bitcoin outflows from exchanges surfaces as the BTC price downtrend pauses inside the $18,000–$20,000 range.

Interestingly, Bitcoin whales, or entities with over 1,000 BTC, have been mainly behind the coin’s strong foothold near the $18,000 level, according to several on-chain metrics.

For instance, the Accumulation Trend Score by Cohort notes that the wallets holding between 1,000 BTC and 10,000 BTC have been accumulating Bitcoin “aggressively” since late September.

Bitcoin accumulation trend score by cohort. Source: Glassnode

In addition, whales’ on-chain behavior shows that they have recently withdrawn 15,700 BTC from exchanges, the largest outflow since June 2022.

Bitcoin whale deposits and withdrawals volumes from exchanges. Source: Glassnode

“Bitcoin prices have shown remarkable relative strength of late, amidst a highly volatile traditional market backdrop,” noted Glassnode in its weekly review published Oct. 10, adding:

“Several macro metrics indicate that Bitcoin investors are establishing what could be a bear market floor, with numerous similarities to previous cycle lows.”

Positive BTC fund inflows

Meanwhile, Bitcoin-based investment vehicles have also seen the fifth week of consistent inflows, according to CoinShares’ weekly report.

About $8.8 million entered Bitcoin funds in the week ending Oct 14, which pushed the net capital received by these funds to $291 million on a year-to-date timeframe. CoinShares head of research  James Butterfill said the inflows imply a “net neutral sentiment amongst investors” toward Bitcoin.

Capital flows by asset. Source: CoinShares

On the flip side, Bitcoin’s technical outlook remains in favor of the bears, given the formation of what appears to be an inverted-cup-and-handle pattern on its three-day chart.

Related: Bitcoin price ‘easily’ due to hit $2M in six years — Larry Lepard

An inverted-cup-and-handle pattern forms when the price undergoes a crescent-shaped rally and correction followed by a less extreme, upward retracement. It resolves after the price breaks below its neckline and falls by as much as the distance between the cup’s peak and neckline.

BTC/USD daily price chart featuring inverted-cup-and-handle pattern. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin’s price could fall toward $14,000 if the inverted cup and handle play out as mentioned, in accordance with previous reports, or a 30% drop from current price levels. 

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Want to keep exchanges like Celsius from seizing your money? Be a ‘custody client’

Are your coins at risk of being seized by an exchange in the future? Here are some factors to consider related to using centralized exchanges.

Disgraced cryptocurrency lender Celsius Network asked a court this month to return assets to its “custody clients,” but not to its “earn-and-borrow” customers. Wondering how to keep yourself in the former group when the crypto exchange you’re using goes under? Here’s a summary.

What exactly is a “custody client?” It’s similar in principle to a savings account with a traditional bank — often repayable upon demand by the custodian. In this case, it’s Celsius that has a fiduciary responsibility.

This type of account is kept separate from an “earn-and-borrow” account. It includes coins that can be transferred, swapped or used as loan collateral, but they don’t earn rewards. Purchased or transferred coins will go to your custody account. It is estimated Celsius has approximately 74,000 custodian accounts.

Related: Celsius, 3AC demonstrated why more financial activity needs to be on-chain

In contrast, coins in your earn-and-borrow account will earn rewards but can’t be swapped or used as loan collateral. This applies to stakers and — obviously — borrowers.

The bankruptcy court has scheduled a hearing for Oct. 6. The argument Celsius put forward is that custody clients retained “beneficial ownership” of their coins, so they don’t form part of Celsius’ bankruptcy estate.

Financial Statement from Celsius Network’s Bankruptcy Filing

Celsius follows Voyager Digital and Hodlnaut, which, on Aug. 29, were put under interim judicial management — “intensive care” in insolvency speak. And they will not, in my view, be the last during this crypto winter. Crypto carnage is underway, but the question is: What key lessons can be learned from Celsius’ downfall? Are your coins at risk of being placed in the “wrong kind of account” in the future? Let’s examine.

Related: Hodlnaut cuts 80% of staff, applies for Singapore judicial management

Celsius, founded in the United States in 2017, claimed to have 2 million users across the world as of June 2022. It had raised substantial sums from investors, estimated at $750 million as of late 2021. The company’s business model drew some parallels to a traditional bank — using the concept of fractional reserving — receiving deposits from crypto investors searching for a yield and, subsequently, providing loans to earn a margin, profits if you like. But what factors and events possibly contributed to Celsius’ demise into its unenviable position — the insolvency abyss?

Firstly, it seems as though Celsius’ strategy relied upon a continuous bull market to keep liquidity flowing — more new users depositing on the platform to satisfy the rewards and withdrawals of existing users. A Ponzi-type structure? Perhaps. A strategy orchestrated by leadership — most definitely. They decided to bet on either black or red, compounded by overall poor investment decisions. According to numerous sources, Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky took control of Celsius’ trading strategy only a few months before its demise, often overruling experienced investment managers.

Related: Celsius CEO personally directed crypto trades months before bankruptcy

In addition, it often positioned itself as a high annual percentage yield (APY) provider relative to other decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms — particularly, its CEL tokens, where returns of 20% were being offered. This raises the question as to whether such rates were sustainable in a cyclical downturn. When lending out depositors’ crypto, it seems the risk profile of these borrowers was high — high in reference to credit and default risk. Traditional banks have had decades of experience and data to draw upon and refine their credit risk procedures before lending. I doubt Celsius had the same depth of expertise.

And then came the liquidity crunch came — similar to the run on the Northern Rock bank in the United Kingdom back in the 2008 financial crisis. Because of the concept of fractional reserving, no bank or lending institute is able to simultaneously satisfy withdrawal demands if a proportion of depositors all come calling at once. Celsius recognized this and thus froze withdrawals and trading activity as soon as the alarm bells rang.

On balance, whatever its fate, Celsius has contributed to the development and evolution of crypto and DeFi, akin to inventors whose ingenious inventions just fell short of commercial success. They played a vital role in the process and allowed others to succeed. Valuable lessons can be learned, and the teachings applied.

Related: Sen. Lummis: My proposal with Sen. Gillibrand empowers the SEC to protect consumers

Further mitigating factors reside in a series of crypto events — Terra’s LUNA Classic (LUNC) and TerraClassicUSD (USTC) crash and the BadgerDAO hack. Celsius had exposure to both, which culminated in a financial impact that punched holes in its balance sheet. Macroeconomic events of rising global inflation no doubt played a part. With a glut of “new money” printed by governments during the pandemic, its increasing velocity through the system coupled with supply chain issues only added more fuel to the crypto speculative bubble and bust.

So, what are three key lessons that can be learned from Celsius’ plight?

Firstly, whether you are a custody or earn-and-borrow account holder, it will come down to the facts — it’s not a matter of choice. While it will almost certainly boil down to a legal determination, in my opinion, the economic substance of your activity should be considered. Even then, I suspect Celsius will argue for a narrow definition of “custody” in this context, and don’t be surprised if there are clawback clauses. They have openly stated their intention to file a plan that will provide customers with an option to remain long crypto.

Secondly, it’s become a bit of a cliché, but the mantra of “not your keys, not your coins” rings true. The risks of custodial wallets are now apparent. Investors whose crypto is locked on a platform are more likely to suffer losses. Under insolvency laws, investors are classified as unsecured creditors, and even if they are a custody client, the probability is they will receive a fraction — if anything at all — of their portfolio value.

Related: What will drive crypto’s likely 2024 bull run?

Lastly, if an APY reward is too good to be true, then perhaps it is. In Celsius’ case, the problem was compounded by the offering of near sub-zero loan interest rates of 0.1% APY. Simple math suggests its business model was not robust at all.

Only time will tell what emerges from the rubble of this catastrophe. If history is to teach us anything, it is that bear markets are often the catalyst for attention to be focused on innovation and utility — the Web 1.0 and 2.0 dot.com era is testimony to this. Consolidation, mergers and acquisitions are definitely on the horizon, and with it will emerge the new Amazons and eBays of the cryptoverse.

Tony Dhanjal serves as the head of tax strategy at Koinly and is its PR and brand ambassador. He is a qualified accountant and tax professional with more than 20 years of experience spanning across industries within FTSE100 companies and public practice.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Learn from Celsius — stop exchanges from seizing your money

Are your coins at risk of being seized by an exchange in the future? Here are some factors to consider related to using centralized exchanges.

Disgraced cryptocurrency lender Celsius Network asked a court this month to return assets to its “custody clients,” but not to its “earn-and-borrow” customers. Wondering how to keep yourself in the former group when the crypto exchange you’re using goes under? Here’s a summary.

What exactly is a “custody client?” It’s similar in principle to a savings account with a traditional bank — often repayable upon demand by the custodian. In this case, it’s Celsius that has a fiduciary responsibility.

This type of account is kept separate from an “earn-and-borrow” account. It includes coins that can be transferred, swapped or used as loan collateral, but they don’t earn rewards. Purchased or transferred coins will go to your custody account. It is estimated Celsius has approximately 74,000 custodian accounts.

Related: Celsius, 3AC demonstrated why more financial activity needs to be on-chain

In contrast, coins in your earn-and-borrow account will earn rewards but can’t be swapped or used as loan collateral. This applies to stakers and — obviously — borrowers.

The bankruptcy court has scheduled a hearing for Oct. 6. The argument Celsius put forward is that custody clients retained “beneficial ownership” of their coins, so they don’t form part of Celsius’ bankruptcy estate.

Financial Statement from Celsius Network’s Bankruptcy Filing

Celsius follows Voyager Digital and Hodlnaut, which, on Aug. 29, were put under interim judicial management — “intensive care” in insolvency speak. And they will not, in my view, be the last during this crypto winter. Crypto carnage is underway, but the question is: What key lessons can be learned from Celsius’ downfall? Are your coins at risk of being placed in the “wrong kind of account” in the future? Let’s examine.

Related: Hodlnaut cuts 80% of staff, applies for Singapore judicial management

Celsius, founded in the United States in 2017, claimed to have 2 million users across the world as of June 2022. It had raised substantial sums from investors, estimated at $750 million as of late 2021. The company’s business model drew some parallels to a traditional bank — using the concept of fractional reserving — receiving deposits from crypto investors searching for a yield and, subsequently, providing loans to earn a margin, profits if you like. But what factors and events possibly contributed to Celsius’ demise into its unenviable position — the insolvency abyss?

Firstly, it seems as though Celsius’ strategy relied upon a continuous bull market to keep liquidity flowing — more new users depositing on the platform to satisfy the rewards and withdrawals of existing users. A Ponzi-type structure? Perhaps. A strategy orchestrated by leadership — most definitely. They decided to bet on either black or red, compounded by overall poor investment decisions. According to numerous sources, Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky took control of Celsius’ trading strategy only a few months before its demise, often overruling experienced investment managers.

Related: Celsius CEO personally directed crypto trades months before bankruptcy

In addition, it often positioned itself as a high annual percentage yield (APY) provider relative to other decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms — particularly, its CEL tokens, where returns of 20% were being offered. This raises the question as to whether such rates were sustainable in a cyclical downturn. When lending out depositors’ crypto, it seems the risk profile of these borrowers was high — high in reference to credit and default risk. Traditional banks have had decades of experience and data to draw upon and refine their credit risk procedures before lending. I doubt Celsius had the same depth of expertise.

And then came the liquidity crunch came — similar to the run on the Northern Rock bank in the United Kingdom back in the 2008 financial crisis. Because of the concept of fractional reserving, no bank or lending institute is able to simultaneously satisfy withdrawal demands if a proportion of depositors all come calling at once. Celsius recognized this and thus froze withdrawals and trading activity as soon as the alarm bells rang.

On balance, whatever its fate, Celsius has contributed to the development and evolution of crypto and DeFi, akin to inventors whose ingenious inventions just fell short of commercial success. They played a vital role in the process and allowed others to succeed. Valuable lessons can be learned, and the teachings applied.

Related: Sen. Lummis: My proposal with Sen. Gillibrand empowers the SEC to protect consumers

Further mitigating factors reside in a series of crypto events — Terra’s LUNA Classic (LUNC) and TerraClassicUSD (USTC) crash and the BadgerDAO hack. Celsius had exposure to both, which culminated in a financial impact that punched holes in its balance sheet. Macroeconomic events of rising global inflation no doubt played a part. With a glut of “new money” printed by governments during the pandemic, its increasing velocity through the system coupled with supply chain issues only added more fuel to the crypto speculative bubble and bust.

So, what are three key lessons that can be learned from Celsius’ plight?

Firstly, whether you are a custody or earn-and-borrow account holder, it will come down to the facts — it’s not a matter of choice. While it will almost certainly boil down to a legal determination, in my opinion, the economic substance of your activity should be considered. Even then, I suspect Celsius will argue for a narrow definition of “custody” in this context, and don’t be surprised if there are clawback clauses. They have openly stated their intention to file a plan that will provide customers with an option to remain long crypto.

Secondly, it’s become a bit of a cliché, but the mantra of “not your keys, not your coins” rings true. The risks of custodial wallets are now apparent. Investors whose crypto is locked on a platform are more likely to suffer losses. Under insolvency laws, investors are classified as unsecured creditors, and even if they are a custody client, the probability is they will receive a fraction — if anything at all — of their portfolio value.

Related: What will drive crypto’s likely 2024 bull run?

Lastly, if an APY reward is too good to be true, then perhaps it is. In Celsius’ case, the problem was compounded by the offering of near sub-zero loan interest rates of 0.1% APY. Simple math suggests its business model was not robust at all.

Only time will tell what emerges from the rubble of this catastrophe. If history is to teach us anything, it is that bear markets are often the catalyst for attention to be focused on innovation and utility — the Web 1.0 and 2.0 dot.com era is testimony to this. Consolidation, mergers and acquisitions are definitely on the horizon, and with it will emerge the new Amazons and eBays of the cryptoverse.

Tony Dhanjal serves as the head of tax strategy at Koinly and is its PR and brand ambassador. He is a qualified accountant and tax professional with more than 20 years of experience spanning across industries within FTSE100 companies and public practice.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Ethereum $1K price support in danger as Q2 comes to a close

The latest ETH plunge has triggered a bearish continuation setup, with an interim downside target 20% below the current prices.

Ethereum’s native token Ether (ETH) fell on the final trading day of Q2/2022, trading in sync with riskier assets amid persistent fears of higher inflation and rising interest rates. And it could result in further declines heading into Q3.

ETH price breakdown underway

ETH’s price plunged nearly 5% this June 30 to $1,044 following a four-day losing streak. The ETH/USD pair has also broken below its interim rising trendline support, which in conjugation with a horizontal trendline resistance to the upside, constitutes an “ascending triangle” pattern.

Ascending triangles are bearish continuation patterns when they occur after a sharp downtrend. Therefore, a breakdown out of an ascending triangle typically results in the price falling further lower, typically by as much as the structure’s maximum height.

Ether had been trending inside an ascending triangle since June 13, breaking below the triangle’s lower trendline on June 29 — a move that accompanied a spike in trading volumes, confirming traders’ conviction about a further downtrend.

ETH/USD daily price chart featuring “ascending triangle” setup. Source: TradingView

As a result, ETH’s downside target in Q3, led by the ascending triangle setup, comes to be near $835, almost 20% lower than June 3’s price.

Exchange reserves are rising

The bearish technical outlook is also boosted by an uptrend in the number of ETH on exchanges.

Notably, investors have deposited around 1 million Ether tokens across all crypto trading platforms since May 2022, according to data from CryptoQuant. As the amount of ETH rises in exchanges’ wallets, it indicates a growing selling pressure in the Ether market.

Ethereum exchange reserves. Source: CryptoQuant

Institutional investors have also been limiting their exposure in Ether by withdrawing capital from the dedicated investment funds, CoinShares noted in its weekly report.

Ether-focused investment products have witnessed $136.9 million worth of outflows in June. In 2022 so far, they have processed circa $450 million in withdrawals, confirming that traditional investors are very bearish on ETH.

Net flow into/out of crypto funds by assets. Source: CoinShares

ETH sharks and whales buy the dip

On the bright side, the decline in Ether’s prices across June has provided some of its richest investors the opportunity to “buy the dip.”

Related: ‘Can’t stop, won’t stop’ — Bitcoin hodlers buy the dip at $20K BTC

“Ethereum shark and whale addresses (holding between 100 to 100K $ETH) have collectively added 1.1% more of the coin’s supply to their bags on this -39% dip [since June 7],” noted Santiment, a crypto-focused data analytics platform, adding:

“Historical evidence points to this tier group having alpha on future price movement.”

Ethereum ‘whale’ holdings. Source: Santiment
ETH number of addresses holding 100+ coins. Source: Glassnode.

Additionally, smaller investors have also been showing a similar dip-buying sentiment, with a consistent increase in addresses holding at least 0.1, 1, and 10 ETH since the end of last year, data from Coinglass shows.

Ether’s price is currently down nearly 75% year-to-date.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.