Cardano

Price analysis 5/25: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE, DOT, AVAX, SHIB

Bitcoin and the major altcoins remain stuck in a range as traders search for the next factor that will start a directional move.

Bitcoin (BTC) has been struggling to sustain above $30,800 since May 16, suggesting that demand dries up at higher levels. Similarly, U.S. equity markets have not ceased to decline due to uncertainty regarding the number of rate hikes that will be needed to bring inflation under control

As the crypto bear market deepens, analysts are becoming extra bearish on their projections for the extent of the fall. Trader and analyst Rekt Capital said that Bitcoin could be at risk of falling to $19,000 to $15,500 before a bottom is formed.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

However, Arcane Research recently pointed out that buying when Bitcoin’s Fear and Greed Index reaches a score of 8 had resulted in an average median 30-day return of 28.72%. Interestingly, the index hit 8 on May 17.

Could Bitcoin slide further and pull altcoins lower or is it time for a recovery? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin rose above the downtrend line on May 23 but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels. The price turned down and dipped to the strong support at $28,630 on May 24 but a minor positive is that the bulls successfully defended this level.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are again attempting to push and sustain the price above the downtrend line. If they succeed, the BTC/USDT pair could rally to the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($31,286).

In downtrends, the bears tend to sell the rallies to the 20-day EMA. Hence, this level may act as a stiff resistance. The bulls will have to clear this hurdle to suggest that a bottom may be in place.

On the downside, $28,630 is the important support to keep an eye on because a break below it could result in a drop to the May 12 intraday low at $26,700.

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) dipped below the uptrend line on May 24 but the bulls bought at lower levels and pushed the price back above the uptrend line. This suggests that bulls are trying to defend the uptrend line with vigor.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, the bears have not given up and they are again attempting to pull the price below the uptrend line on May 25. If bulls thwart this attempt, the ETH/USDT could rise to the overhead resistance at $2,159.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price breaks and sustains below the uptrend line, it will suggest advantage to bears. The pair could then decline to $1,903. A break and close below this support could pull the pair to the May 12 intraday low at $1,800.

BNB/USDT

BNB climbed above the 20-day EMA ($323) on May 24 but the long wick on the May 25 candlestick suggests that the bears are attempting to defend the overhead resistance at $350.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish 20-day EMA and the relative strength index (RSI) near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears.

If bulls push the price above $350, the advantage could tilt in favor of the buyers. Such a move could clear the path for a potential rally to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($368) and later to $413.

Conversely, if the price turns down and breaks below $320, it will suggest that bears are aggressively selling at higher levels. The BNB/USDT pair could then slide to $286.

XRP/USDT

The bulls are defending the immediate support at $0.38. Although Ripple (XRP) bounced off $0.39 on May 24, the bulls could not sustain the higher levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are again attempting to sink the price below the support at $0.38 but the long tail on the candlestick suggests strong buying at lower levels. If the demand sustains at higher levels, the bulls will attempt to push the price above the downtrend line and challenge the 20-day EMA ($0.46).

On the contrary, if the price turns down from the current level or the downtrend line, the bears may again try to sink the XRP/USDT pair below $0.38. If they can pull it off, the pair could drop to the vital support at $0.33.

ADA/USDT

Cardano (ADA) has been trading in a tight range between $0.49 and $0.56 since May 19. This suggests that bulls are attempting to form a higher low but are facing stiff resistance from the bears at higher levels.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price rebounds off the support at $0.49, the ADA/USDT pair may remain stuck in the range for a few more days. The bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.58) to indicate the start of a strong relief rally that may reach the breakdown level of $0.74.

Instead, if bears sink the price below the strong support at $0.49, the selling may intensify and the pair could slide toward the May 12 intraday low at $0.40.

SOL/USDT

Solana’s (SOL) attempt to rally on May 23 fizzled out at $54. The failure of the bulls to push the price to the 20-day EMA ($58) indicates that demand dries up at higher levels.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are trying to sink the price below the immediate support at $47. If they manage to do that, the SOL/USDT pair could drop to $43 and thereafter to the critical support at $37. The downsloping moving averages and the RSI near the oversold territory indicate advantage to sellers.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off $47, the bulls will try to propel the pair above the 20-day EMA and challenge the breakdown level at $75.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been stuck inside a tight range between $0.08 and $0.09 for the past few days. The bulls tried to push the price above $0.09 on May 23 but failed. This may have attracted selling by the bears who are trying to sink the price below the immediate support at $0.08.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they succeed, the DOGE/USDT pair could slide to the crucial support at $0.06. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because a break and close below it could resume the downtrend. The pair could then drop to $0.04.

On the contrary, if the price rebounds off $0.08, the pair may continue to trade inside the range for a few more days. The bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the psychological level of $0.10 to indicate that the downtrend may be weakening.

Related: Singapore venture firm launches $100M Web3 and metaverse fund

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) has been clinging to the $10.37 level for the past few days. The bulls pushed the price above $10.37 on May 23 but could not sustain the higher levels. This suggests that bears are selling on rallies to the 20-day EMA ($11.23).

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears may try to pull the price to the immediate support at $9.22. If this support cracks, the DOT/USDT pair could drop to $8 and thereafter to $7.30. The bulls are expected to defend the zone between $8 and $7.30 aggressively.

On the upside, the buyers will have to push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA to indicate that the sellers may be losing their grip. The pair could then rally to the breakdown level at $14 where the bears may again mount a strong defense.

AVAX/USDT

Avalanche (AVAX) broke below the pennant formation on May 24 but the long tail on the day’s candlestick shows that bulls bought the dip. They tried to push the price back into the pennant but failed.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are trying to build upon their advantage and pull the price below the immediate support at $26.87. If they do that, the AVAX/USDT pair could slide to the crucial support at $23.51. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if they fail to do that, the downtrend could resume. The next support on the downside is $20.

To invalidate this bearish view in the short term, the bulls will have to push the price above the pennant and the 20-day EMA ($37.23).

SHIB/USDT

Shiba Inu (SHIB) attempted to break above the immediate resistance at $0.000013 on May 23 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows that bears continue to sell at higher levels.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The failure of the bulls to push the price higher could attract selling by aggressive bears who will try to pull the SHIB/USDT pair below the immediate support at $0.000010. If they manage to do that, the pair could slide to the May 12 intraday low at $0.000009.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off the support at $0.000010, it will suggest that bulls are buying on dips. That could keep the pair stuck inside the $0.000010 to $0.000014 range for a few more days.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Price analysis 5/23: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE, DOT, AVAX, SHIB

Bitcoin and the major altcoins have bounced off their immediate support levels, paving the way for a possible relief rally in the short term.

The United States equity markets are attempting a recovery after weeks of relentless selling. Along similar lines, on-chain monitoring resource Material Indicators expects the crypto market to recover, but they anticipate Bitcoin (BTC) to spend some time in a range before “a real breakout.”

The seven-day moving average of the on-chain transaction volume tracked by Glassnode hit a nine-month low on May 23. This suggests that Bitcoin’s lackluster price action in 2022 has led to reduced participation from traders.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

While signs of a short-term recovery are visible, a sustained recovery could be difficult because the macro conditions remain challenging. International Monetary Fund managing director Kristalina Georgieva wrote in a blog post that the global economy is witnessing its “biggest test since the Second World War.”

Could Bitcoin and altcoins overcome their immediate resistance levels and start a relief rally? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin held the $28,630 support on May 20, indicating that bulls are buying at lower levels. The buyers have pushed the price above the downtrend line, which is the first sign of a recovery.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If buyers sustain the price above the downtrend line, the BTC/USDT pair could rally to the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($31,758). The bears are likely to defend the 20-day EMA aggressively because a break and close above it could clear the path for a possible rally to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $34,823.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The bears will have to sink the price below $28,630 to clear the path for a possible retest of the crucial support at $26,700.

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) bounced off the uptrend line on May 21, indicating that bulls are buying the dips to this level. The buyers will now try to push the price to the overhead resistance at $2,159 where the bears may pose a strong challenge.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down from the overhead resistance, it could drop to the uptrend line. This is an important level to keep an eye on in the short term. If the price rebounds off the uptrend line, it could enhance the prospects of a break above $2,159. If that happens, the ETH/USDT pair could attempt a rally to $2,500.

On the other hand, if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance and breaks below the uptrend line, it will suggest that the pair may remain stuck between $2,159 and $1,700 for a few days.

BNB/USDT

The bulls have pushed BNB above the 20-day EMA ($324), which is the first sign that the downtrend may have ended.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If buyers sustain the price above the 20-day EMA, the BNB/USDT pair could rally to $350 and later to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($374). The bears may again attempt to stall the up-move in this zone. If the price turns down from this zone but rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will increase the possibility of a break above the 50-day SMA.

This bullish view will be invalidated in the short term if the price turns down and breaks below $320. That would indicate selling by the bears at higher levels. The pair could then gradually drop to $286.

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) is attempting a recovery after the bulls successfully defended the immediate support at $0.38 on May 19. The buyers will now try to push the price to the 20-day EMA ($0.47).

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping moving averages and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that bears have the upper hand. The sellers will attempt to defend the 20-day EMA with vigor. If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair could turn down from the overhead resistance and drop to the strong support at $0.38.

Conversely, if bulls push the price above the 20-day EMA, it could suggest a possible change in the short-term trend. The pair could then rise to the overhead zone between $0.50 and $0.55, which may act as a major obstacle.

On the downside, the bears will have to sink and sustain the price below $0.38 to open the doors for a possible retest of the May 12 intraday low at $0.33.

ADA/USDT

The bulls successfully defended the psychological level at $0.50 in the past few days, indicating demand at lower levels. The buyers will now try to push Cardano (ADA) above the 20-day EMA ($0.60).

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they succeed, the ADA/USDT pair could attempt a rally to the breakdown level of $0.74. The bears are likely to pose a stiff challenge at this level. If bulls arrest the subsequent decline at the 20-day EMA, it will suggest a change in sentiment from selling on rallies to buying on dips.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that bears continue to sell on rallies. The bears will then try to pull the price below $0.50 and retest the crucial support at $0.40.

SOL/USDT

The bulls purchased the dip to $47 on May 20 and are attempting to push Solana (SOL) toward the 20-day EMA ($61). The bears are expected to defend this level aggressively.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the SOL/USDT pair could drop to $47 where the bulls will attempt to stall the decline. If that happens, the pair may trade between $47 and $60 for a few days.

A break and close above the 20-day EMA will be the first indication that the bulls are back in the game. The pair could then rally to the breakdown level at $75. Alternatively, if the price turns down and breaks below $47, the pair could slide to the strong support at $37.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) is consolidating in a downtrend. The bulls defended the $0.08 support in the past few days and are attempting to push the price to the overhead resistance at $0.10.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down from $0.10, it will suggest that bears are trying to flip this level into resistance. If they succeed, the DOGE/USDT pair could continue its range-bound action for a few more days.

The buyers will have to propel the price above $0.10 to suggest that the downtrend may be weakening. The pair could then rally to $0.12.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below $0.08, the pair could retest the critical support at $0.06.

Related: Monero enters ‘overbought’ danger zone after XMR price gains 75% in two weeks

DOT/USDT

The bulls are attempting to push and sustain Polkadot (DOT) above the overhead resistance at $10.37. If they succeed, the price could rally to the 20-day EMA ($11.57).

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buyers will have to push the price above the 20-day EMA to indicate a potential change in the short-term trend. The DOT/USDT pair could then rally to the overhead resistance zone between $14 and $16 where the bears may mount a strong defense.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the trend remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The bears will then try to pull the pair below $9.22 and retest the crucial support at $7.30.

AVAX/USDT

Avalanche (AVAX) rebounded off the support line of the pennant, indicating that bulls are defending this level aggressively. The buyers will now try to push the price above the pennant.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they manage to do that, the AVAX/USDT pair could rally to the 20-day EMA ($39). This is an important level to watch out for because the bears are expected to defend it with vigor.

If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA but does not re-enter the pennant, it will suggest a possible change in trend. The buyers will then again attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at the 20-day EMA and push the pair toward $51.

On the contrary, if the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA and breaks below the support line, it will suggest that bears are active at higher levels. The pair could then slide to $23.

SHIB/USDT

Shiba Inu (SHIB) is attempting to rise above the immediate resistance at $0.000013 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears are attempting to stall the rally.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down from the current level, the SHIB/USDT pair could spend some more time inside the range between $0.000010 and $0.000014. The next trending move could start after the price breaks above or below the range.

If buyers propel the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.000014), the pair could attempt a rally to $0.000017. This level could again act as a stiff resistance.

Alternatively, if the price turns down and breaks below $0.000010, the pair could slide to $0.000009. This is an important level to keep an eye on because if it cracks, the next stop could be $0.000005.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Price analysis 5/20: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE, DOT, AVAX, SHIB

BTC and altcoins produced the occasional relief rally, but technical analysis suggests that the prevailing trend will remain bearish for some time to come.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) tight correlation with the legacy markets continues to be a drag, especially as the United States equity markets remain in a firm bear trend. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is on track for its eighth consecutive negative week and the S&P 500 is close to plunging into the bear market territory.

Celsius (CEL) CEO Alex Mashinsky believes that the short sellers on Wall Street are looking for any weakness in crypto companies to “short and destroy.” Mashinsky blamed “the Sharks of Wall Street” for bringing down Terra (LUNA) and trying to destabilize Tether (USDT) and Maker (MKR) and “many other companies,” including Celsius.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Bear markets, though painful in the short term, tend to be good buying opportunities for long-term investors. However, it’s important to remember thatwhen the next bull phase starts, not all coins will return to their former glory.

Every bull market generally has a new set of leaders; hence, traders should try to identify the cryptocurrencies that are leading the market rather than buying the laggards. Nic Carter put it nicely when he said that everything will not make a comeback and “some things die permanently.”

Could Bitcoin and altcoins break below their recent lows or will bulls defend the supports successfully? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin rebounded off the strong support at $28,630 on May 19 but the bulls could not push the price above the downtrend line. This suggests that bears have not yet given up and they continue to sell on rallies.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to pull the price below $28,630. If they manage to do that, the BTC/USDT pair could drop to the May 20 intraday low at $26,700. This is an important support for the bulls to defend because if they fail to do that, the pair could resume its downtrend. The next support on the downside is $25,000 and then $21,800.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off $28,630 and rises above the downtrend line, it will suggest strong accumulation at lower levels. The buyers will then try to push the price to the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($32,332). If bulls clear this hurdle, the pair could rise toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $34,823.

ETH/USDT

The bears pulled Ether (ETH) below the immediate support at $1,940 on May 18 and 19 but they could not capitalize on this move. The bulls bought the dip but could not push the price to the overhead resistance at $2,159.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Strong selling at higher levels has pulled the price to the uptrend line on May 20. If the ETH/USDT pair breaks below the uptrend line, the decline could extend to the crucial support at $1,700. The bears will have to sink the pair below this level to suggest the start of the next leg of the downtrend.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up from the current level or $1,700, it will suggest buying on dips. The pair will then make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at $2,159. If they manage to do that, it will suggest that the pair may have bottomed out.

BNB/USDT

BNB has been consolidating near the overhead resistance at $320 for the past few days. A tight consolidation near a stiff resistance indicates that bulls are not dumping their positions as they expect the recovery to continue.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bulls thrust the price above the overhead resistance zone between $320 and the 20-day EMA ($326), it will suggest that the BNB/USDT pair may have bottomed out. The pair could then start its northward journey toward the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($381).

Conversely, if the price turns down from the overhead resistance and breaks below $285, it will suggest that the bulls have given up and may be closing their positions. That could pull the pair to $265 and thereafter to the critical support at $211.

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) bounced off the $0.40 to $0.38 support zone on May 19 but the bulls could not clear the overhead resistance at $0.45. This suggests that while bulls are buying on dips, the bears have maintained their selling pressure near overhead resistance levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price continues lower and breaks below $0.38, the XRP/USDT pair could drop to $0.33. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break below it could resume the downtrend. The pair could then drop to $0.24.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off the support zone once again, the buyers will try to push the pair to $0.50. A break and close above this level will be the first indication that the pair may be bottoming out. The next stop on the upside could be the 50-day SMA ($0.64).

ADA/USDT

The bulls are attempting to defend the $0.50 support in Cardano (ADA) but the bears are in no mood to let go of their advantage and they continue to sell on every minor rally.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price slips and sustains below $0.50, the ADA/USDT pair could retest the critical support at $0.40. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because a break below it could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The pair could then drop to $0.33 and thereafter to $0.28.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up from the current level, the buyers will attempt to push the pair above the 20-day EMA ($0.63). If they manage to do that, it will suggest that the selling pressure could be reducing. The pair could then rise to the breakdown level at $0.74.

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) is in a strong downtrend. Attempts by the bulls to start a recovery on May 19 failed as bears continue to sell at higher levels. The bears pulled the price back below the psychological level at $50 on May 20.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price continues lower, the SOL/USDT pair could drop to $43. This level may act as a strong support but if bears pull the price below it, the next stop could be $37. If this level also cracks, the decline could extend to $32.

On the contrary, if the price turns up sharply from the current level or the support, it will suggest accumulation by the bulls. The buyers will then attempt to push the pair to the 20-day EMA ($64). A break and close above this level could open the doors for a possible rally to $75.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) bounced off the immediate support at $0.08 on May 18 but the recovery continues to face selling at higher levels. This suggests that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on every minor rise.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price continues lower and breaks below $0.08, the bears will fancy their chances and try to pull the DOGE/USDT pair below the May 12 intraday low at $0.06. If they manage to do that, the next leg of the downtrend could begin and the pair may drop to $0.04.

This negative view could invalidate in the short term if the price turns up from the current level or the support beneath and rises above the psychological resistance at $10. Such a move could open the doors for a recovery to the 50-day SMA ($0.12).

Related: Ethereum preparing a ‘bear trap’ ahead of the Merge — ETH price to $4K next?

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) slipped below $10.37 on May 18 but the bulls purchased this dip and tried to push the price back above the level on May 19. However, the bears stood their ground and are attempting to flip $10.37 into resistance.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price slips below $9.22, the DOT/USDT pair could retest the support zone between $8 and $7.30. The bears will have to sink and sustain the price below this zone to indicate the resumption of the downtrend. The next support on the downside is $5.

Conversely, if the price rebounds off the support levels, the bulls will attempt to push the price to the 20-day EMA ($12). This level may act as a strong resistance but if bulls overcome this barrier, it will suggest that the sellers may be losing their grip. The pair could then attempt a rally to the 50-day SMA ($16).

AVAX/USDT

Avalanche (AVAX) is in a downtrend. The price action of the past few days has formed a pennant, which usually acts as a continuation pattern.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price breaks below the support line of the pennant, the AVAX/USDT pair could retest the critical support at $23.51. A break and close below this level could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The pair could drop to $20 and thereafter to $18.

Alternatively, if the price rises from the current level, the buyers will try to push the pair above the pennant. If they manage to do that, the pair could pick up momentum and rise to the 20-day EMA ($42.35). The bulls will have to clear this barrier to challenge the breakdown level at $51.

SHIB/USDT

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has been stuck between $0.000010 and $0.000014 for the past few days, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears. This indicates that bulls are attempting to form a bottom but the bears are not allowing the rebound to sustain.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price rises above $0.000014, it will suggest that bulls have absorbed the supply. That could clear the path for a possible rally to $0.000017 where the bears may again pose a strong challenge. The bulls will have to clear this resistance to indicate a potential trend change.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price slips below $0.000010, the pair could drop to the May 12 intraday low at $0.000009. If this support cracks, the decline could extend to $0.000007 and then to $0.000005.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Cardano accelerator program Genius X ISPO nets $105 million in ADA

Cardano-based accelerator program Genius X continues to attract ADA delegators after the launch of its ISPO.

Cardano-based accelerator program Genius X has seen more than $105 million worth of ADA delegated to its initial stake pool offering (ISPO).

This comes after the firm’s decentralized automated market maker and liquidity management protocol Genius Yield completed its ISPO on May 10, with over 14,500 delegators staking 270 million Cardano (ADA) across four official stake pools, making it one of the biggest ISPOs within the Cardano ecosystem.

Genius Yield is a Cardano-based decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol that features a decentralized exchange with an order book. It integrates a liquidity provision model, which aims to mitigate market risk and eliminate impermanent loss.

Genius X will serve as the accelerator program arm of the company, providing early-stage blockchain startups with relevant tools, consulting services and investment to build blockchain-based companies within the ecosystem.

The Genius X ISPO has garnered significant support in the week following the ISPO launch on May 15. More than 205 million ADA ($105 million) has been delegated to four staking pools by nearly 14,000 participants.

Genius X investors will receive GENSX for delegated ADA staked in the four staking pools of the accelerator’s ISPO — GENS1, GENS2, GENS3 and GENSX.

Related: 3 reasons why Cardano can sink further despite ADA price bouncing 58%

Dr. Sothy Kol-Men, the managing partner of Genius, believes the high interest in the ISPO is heartening given the last fortnight of events in the cryptocurrency space, dominated by the collapse of algorithmic stablecoin and DeFi platform Terra:

“This is an endorsement from our community and investors that we are on the right path, building and releasing the necessary foundation to accelerate growth, support ambitious projects planning to leverage Cardano’s unique smart contracting architecture, and indeed, further promote adoption.”

An ISPO is the Cardano ecosystem’s crowdfunding equivalent of an initial coin offering (ICO). ADA stakers delegate tokens to pools and exchange staking rewards for a project’s native token. An ISPO is non-custodial, meaning investors can reclaim their delegated ADA at any stage.

The fundraising method has gained popularity given that investors continue to control their delegated funds to a given project, giving added peace of mind. The method contrasts a conventional ICO, in which investors part ways with a specific token to have a stake in a project or company.

Price analysis 5/18: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE, DOT, AVAX, SHIB

Ailing stock markets continue to impact crypto prices and technical analysis suggests BTC is at risk of falling below its recent $25,500 low.

On May 17, United States Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told the Wall Street Journal that the 50-basis-point rate hikes would continue until inflation is under control. Powell’s emphasis on a hawkish policy suggests that monetary conditions are likely to remain tight in 2022, which could limit the upside in risky assets.

On-chain market intelligence firm Glassnode said that historically, Bitcoin (BTC) has bottomed out when the price breaks below the realized price. However, barring the 2019 to 2020 bear market, during previous bear cycles, Bitcoin’s price stayed below the realized price for anywhere between 114 to 299 days. This suggests that if macro situations are not favorable, a quick recovery is unlikely.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

While the current decline in U.S. equity markets and Bitcoin has similarities with the crash in March 2020, the recovery may not follow the same trajectory because market conditions are different. In 2020, the Fed supported the markets with an unprecedented stimulus, but in 2022 the focus will remain on reducing inflation and monetary tightening.

Could Bitcoin and altcoins resume their downtrend or will lower levels attract buying? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin’s recovery failed to rise above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $31,721 suggesting that the trend remains negative and traders are selling on minor rallies.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The BTC/USDT pair could drop to the immediate support at $28,630. If the price rebounds off this level, the pair could consolidate between $28,630 and $31,721 for some time.

A break and close above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($32,979) will be the first sign of a potential change in trend. The pair could then rally to the 61.8% retracement level at $34,823.

On the other hand, if the price slips below $28,630, the bears will try to cement their position by pulling the pair below $26,700. If that happens, the negative momentum could pick up and the pair may slide to $25,000 and thereafter to $21,800.

ETH/USDT

Ether’s (ETH) failure to rise above the overhead resistance at $2,159 may have tempted short-term traders to book profits. That pulled the price below $1,940 but the bulls are attempting to defend the level.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price rebounds off $1,940 with strength, the ETH/USDT pair could again rise to $2,159. The bulls will have to push and sustain the price above $2,159 to clear the path for a rally to the 20-day EMA ($2,353). A break and close above this resistance will suggest that the markets have rejected the lower levels.

Conversely, if bears sustain the price below $1,940, the pair could decline to the crucial support at $1,700. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break below it could result in panic selling. The pair could then slump to $1,500 and later to $1,300.

BNB/USDT

The bulls have not been able to push BNB above the overhead resistance at $320. This suggests that bears have not given up and they continue to sell at higher levels.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price slips below $290, the BNB/USDT pair could drop to $265. This level is likely to act as a strong support but if bears pull the price below it, the next stop could be the critical level at $211. The bears will have to break this level to signal the start of the next leg of the downtrend.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off $265, it will suggest that bulls are attempting to form a bottom. That could keep the pair stuck between $320 and $265 for a few days. A break and close above $320 could suggest that the pair may have bottomed out.

XRP/USDT

Ripple’s (XRP) recovery failed to sustain above $0.45, indicating a lack of demand at higher levels. The bears will now attempt to pull the price below the immediate support zone at $0.40 to $0.38.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they do that, the XRP/USDT pair could drop to $0.33. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break and close below it could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The XRP/UDST pair could then plunge to the next support at $0.24.

On the other hand, if the price rises from $0.38 or $0.33, the bulls will again try to push the pair above $0.45. If they succeed, the pair could rise to the stiff overhead resistance zone at $0.50 to $0.55. The bulls will have to clear this hurdle to suggest that the downtrend may be over.

ADA/USDT

Cardano (ADA) has been stuck in a tight range between $0.61 and $0.51 for the past few days. This suggests a tough battle between the bulls and the bears.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price slips below $0.51, the ADA/USDT pair could slide to the support zone between $0.46 and $0.40. The bulls may mount a strong defense in this zone. If the price rebounds off this zone, the buyers will again try to push the pair above the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the pair could rise to $0.74.

Conversely, if the price breaks below $0.40, the selling could pick up momentum and the pair may extend its decline to $0.33 and then to $0.28.

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) is facing strong resistance near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $59, suggesting that the sentiment remains negative and bears are selling on minor rallies.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price breaks below the psychological level at $50, the pair could slip to $43 and thereafter to $37. The bulls are likely to defend this level with all their might because if the support gives way, the downtrend could resume. The next stop on the downside may be $32.

Alternatively, if the price turns up from the current level and rises above $59, the SOL/USDT pair could rally to the overhead resistance zone between the 20-day EMA ($67) and $75. A break and close above this zone could suggest that the downtrend may be over.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) continues to trade below the breakdown level of $0.10. This suggests a lack of urgency to buy at higher levels. Generally, sharp declines are followed by consolidations as bulls and bears battle it out for supremacy.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The failure of the bulls to push the price above $0.10 may attract another round of selling by the bears who will attempt to resume the downtrend. If the price dips below $0.08, the DOGE/USDT pair could drop to $0.06. If this support cracks, the decline could extend to the next support at $0.04.

On the contrary, if the price rebounds off $0.08, the pair may rise to $0.10 and remain stuck inside this range for a few days. The bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.10) to suggest that the downward momentum may be weakening.

Related: Aave price risks a 25% plunge as a classic bearish reversal pattern emerges

DOT/USDT

The bulls defended the $10.37 support on May 17 but the shallow rebound suggested a lack of demand at higher levels. The bears resumed their selling on May 18 and pulled the price below $10.37. Polkadot (DOT) could now drop to $8.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buyers are expected to aggressively defend the zone between $8 and $7.30. If the price rebounds off this zone, the DOT/USDT pair could again attempt a relief rally. The recovery could pick up momentum on a break above the 20-day EMA ($12.53).

Alternatively, if bears sink the price below $7.30, the selling could accelerate and the pair may signal the resumption of the downtrend. The pair could then plummet toward psychological support at $5.

AVAX/USDT

The buyers could not push Avalanche (AVAX) above the immediate resistance at $38. This suggests that demand dries up at higher levels.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will now fancy their chances and attempt to pull the price below the critical support at $29. If they succeed, the AVAX/USDT pair could retest the May 12 intraday low at $23.51. A break and close below this level could open the doors for a further decline to $20 and later to $18.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off $29, the bulls will again try to push the pair above $38. If that happens, the relief rally could reach the 20-day EMA ($45). The bears may again pose a strong challenge at this level.

SHIB/USDT

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has been consolidating inside the tight range between $0.000011 and $0.000014 for the past four days. Usually, such tight ranges resolve in a strong trending move.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price breaks below $0.000011, the bears will try to pull the SHIB/USDT pair to $0.000009. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because a break below it could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The pair could then decline to $0.000007 and later to $0.000005.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up and breaks above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.000014, the bulls will attempt to push the pair to the breakdown level at $0.000017.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Price analysis 5/16: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE, DOT, AVAX, SHIB

BTC and most altcoins are facing strong selling at the top of each rally, but the short-term downside could be limited since Bitcoin bulls keep buying each dip.

The selling in Bitcoin (BTC) is showing no sign of abating and Bitcoin has fallen for seven straight weeks for the first time ever. This indicates that the momentum remains strongly in favor of the bears. 

While the short-term sentiment remains bearish, institutional traders seem to be taking a longer-term approach on cryptocurrencies. Goldman Sachs and Barclays joined several other institutional investors in a $70 million Series A funding round by institutional trading platform Elwood Technologies.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

After the mayhem and volatility of the last week, crypto prices may attempt a relief rally in the next few days. It is unlikely to be a V-shaped recovery because the macro conditions are not supportive. During periods of high volatility and uncertainty, it might be a wise decision to cut down on the trading position size to keep risk under check.

What are the critical support and resistance levels that may indicate a potential change in trend when breached? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin turned down from $3,460, suggesting that bears are selling on minor rallies. The bears will now attempt to sink the price below the crucial support at $28,805 but the bulls are likely to have other plans.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If price rebounds off $28,805, the bulls will again try to push the BTC/USDT pair to the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($33,646). This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break and close above it could indicate that bulls are attempting a comeback. The pair could then rise to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($39,300).

Contrary to this assumption, if the price slips below $28,805, the pair could drop to $26,700. If this support cracks, the pair could resume its downtrend and the price may plummet to $25,000 and later to $21,800.

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) is facing stiff resistance at the breakdown level at $2,159, which suggests that bears continue to sell on rallies. The bears will now try to pull the price below the immediate support at $1,940.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they succeed, the ETH/USDT pair could drop to the critical support at $1,700. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if they fail to do that, the downtrend could resume and the pair may drop to $1,500.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up from $1,700, the pair could rise to $2,159 and remain range-bound between these two levels.

The first sign of strength will be a break and close above $2,159. That could clear the path for a rally to the 20-day EMA ($2,421). The bulls will have to overcome this barrier to indicate that the downtrend may be over.

BNB/USDT

BNB‘s strong recovery reached near the breakdown level at $320 on May 13 and 15 but the bulls could not clear this overhead barrier. This suggests that bears are attempting to flip the level into resistance.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The BNB/USDT pair could now drop to $265, which is likely to act as support. If the price rebounds off this level, the buyers will again try to drive the pair above $320. If they succeed, the pair could rally to $350 and thereafter to the 50-day SMA ($391).

Alternatively, if the price slips below $265, the pair could drop toward the strong support at $211. The bulls are expected to defend this level with vigor. A strong bounce off this support could keep the pair range-bound between $211 and $320 for the next few days.

XRP/USDT

The long wick on Ripple’s (XRP) May 13 candlestick suggests that bears are trying to pose a strong challenge near the breakdown level at $0.50. The failure to rise above this overhead resistance could have tempted short-term traders to book profits.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price continues lower and breaks below $0.38, the XRP/USDT pair could drop to $0.33. The bulls are expected to defend this level aggressively but if the support cracks, the bearish momentum could pick up and the pair may plummet to $0.24.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up from the current level or the support at $0.38, the bulls will try to push the pair above the $0.50 to $0.55 overhead zone. If they succeed, it will suggest that the markets have rejected the lower levels. That could clear the path for a potential rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.67).

ADA/USDT

Cardano’s (ADA) relief rally is facing selling near $0.61, suggesting that bears are not willing to let go of their advantage. The bears will try to pull the price below $0.46 and retest the May 12 intraday low at $0.40.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price breaks below $0.40, the selling could intensify further and the ADA/USDT pair may plunge to $0.33 and later to $0.28.

Conversely, if the price turns up from the current level or the support at $0.46, it will suggest that bulls are attempting to put in a bottom. The buyers will have to push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.68) to signal that the correction may be over. The pair could then rise to $0.74 and later to the 50-day SMA ($0.89).

SOL/USDT

Solana’s (SOL) bounce from $37 is facing stiff resistance at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $59. This suggests that bears continue to sell on minor rallies.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will now try to pull the price below the immediate support at $44. If they succeed, the SOL/USDT pair could retest the crucial level at $37. A break and close below this support could sink the pair to $32.

Conversely, if the price turns up from the current level or the support at $44, it will suggest that bulls are buying on dips. The bulls will then try to clear the overhead hurdle at $59 and push the pair to the 20-day EMA ($70). This level is likely to act as a stiff resistance.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin’s (DOGE) recovery could not rise above the breakdown level at $0.10, suggesting that the bears are trying to flip the level into resistance. If sellers succeed in their endeavor, the likelihood of a retest of $0.06 increases.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This is an important level for the bulls to defend because a break and close below it could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The DOGE/USDT pair could then drop to $0.04 where the bulls may again try to arrest the decline.

Alternatively, if the price turns up from the current level, the bulls will attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at $0.10 and the 20-day EMA ($0.11). If they do that, the pair could rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.13).

Related: Deus Finance’s dollar-pegged stablecoin DEI falls below 60 cents

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) climbed back above the breakdown level of $10.37 on May 13 but the recovery stalled near $12. This suggests that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bears sink the price below $10.37, the DOT/USDT pair could drift lower toward the minor support at $8. If this level cracks, the possibility of a break below $7.30 increases. The pair could then resume its downtrend and plummet toward the next strong support at $5.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off $10.37 or $8, the bulls will attempt to push the pair above the 20-day EMA ($13). If they manage to do that, it will suggest that the short-term trend may have turned in favor of the buyers. The pair could then attempt a rally to $16.

AVAX/USDT

Avalanche’s (AVAX) recovery is facing stiff resistance at $38. The shallow rebound following a sharp decline suggests a lack of aggressive buying by the bulls. This could embolden the bears who may try to build upon their advantage.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bears pull the price below $29, the selling could pick up momentum and the AVAX/USDT pair could drop to the critical level at $23. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because a break and close below it could result in a decline to $20 and thereafter to $18.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up from the current level or $29, it will suggest that bulls are buying at lower levels. That could increase the possibility of a relief rally to the 20-day EMA ($48) where the bears may again mount a strong defense.

SHIB/USDT

Shiba Inu’s (SHIB) rebound hit a wall at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.000014 on May 13 and 14, indicating that bears do not want to let go of their advantage.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will once again try to sink the price below the psychological level at $0.000010 and challenge the intraday low of $0.000009 made on May 12. A break and close below this level could signal the resumption of the downtrend. The SHIB/USDT pair could then decline to $0.000007, which is likely to act as a strong support.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off $0.000010, the bulls will attempt to push the pair to the breakdown level at $0.000017. The buyers will have to clear this hurdle to suggest that the bears may be losing their grip.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

Price analysis 5/13: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE, DOT, AVAX, SHIB

Traders are hopeful that Bitcoin can stage a relief rally within the $30,000 to $35,000 range, but selling at resistance could still keep BTC and altcoins in a strong bear trend.

Bitcoin (BTC) rebounded sharply after dropping near its realized price of $24,000 on May 12, suggesting some bulls went against the herd and bought the dip. According to on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, the exchange balances declined by more than 24,335 Bitcoin on May 11 and 12, indicating that bulls may have started bottom fishing.

However, macro investor Raoul Pal is not confident that a bottom has been made. In an exclusive interview with Cointelegraph, Pal said that if equity markets witness a capitulation phase, crypto markets are also likely to plunge before forming a bottom. He anticipates the current bear phase to end after the United States Federal Reserve stops hiking rates.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Bear markets are known for sharp relief rallies, which are used to lighten up long positions or initiate short positions. The price eventually turns down and makes a new low. Bottoms are only confirmed in hindsight. Therefore, investors may consider accumulating in phases rather than going all-in during a bear market.

Right now, investors want to know what important overhead levels that may act as resistance. Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin bounced off $26,700 on May 12 and formed a Doji candlestick pattern. This suggests that the selling pressure could be reducing. The recovery picked up steam on May 13 and bulls pushed the price above the psychological level at $30,000.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The relief rally may face resistance near $33,000 and again at the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($34,903). If the price turns down from the overhead resistance, the bears will make another attempt to sink the BTC/USDT pair below $26,700 and resume the downtrend.

If they manage to do that, the selling could accelerate and the pair may drop to $25,000 and later to $21,800.

Contrary to this assumption, if bulls arrest the next decline above $28,805, it will suggest accumulation on dips. That could enhance the prospects of a break above the 20-day EMA. If that happens, the pair may rally to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($40,210).

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) broke below the $2,159 support on May 11 and later slipped below the psychological level at $2,000 on May 12. The bulls bought the dip to $1,800, which has started a relief rally.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buyers will now attempt to push the price above the breakdown level at $2,159. If they succeed, the ETH/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to the 20-day EMA ($2,554). This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break and close above it will suggest that the decline may be over.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling near overhead resistance levels. The bears will then again try to sink the pair below $1,700.

BNB/USDT

BNB fell sharply on May 12 but the long tail on the day’s candlestick shows that bulls aggressively defended the critical support at $211. This started a relief rally that has reached the $350 to $320 resistance zone.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bulls drive the price above $350, it will suggest that the decline may be over. The recovery could thereafter reach $413. Such a move could indicate that the BNB/USDT pair may remain stuck inside a large range between $211 and $692.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the overhead resistance zone, it will suggest that bears are active at higher levels. The price could then gradually drift down to the crucial support at $211. The bears will have to sink the price below this level to start a new downtrend that may reach $175 and later $150.

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) nosedived to $0.33 on May 12 when buying emerged. The bulls are attempting a recovery that is likely to face stiff resistance at the psychological level at $0.50.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down from $0.50, the bears will again attempt to pull the XRP/USDT pair to $0.33. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because a break below it could result in a decline to $0.24.

Conversely, if buyers propel the price above $0.50, the pair could rally to the 20-day EMA ($0.56). A break and close above this level will suggest that the bulls are back in the game. The pair could then rise to the 50-day SMA ($0.70).

ADA/USDT

Cardano (ADA) plunged to $0.40 on May 12, which pulled the RSI into the deeply oversold territory. The buyers bought this dip and are attempting to start a relief rally.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The ADA/USDT pair could rise to the breakdown level at $0.74, which is an important level to keep an eye on. If the price turns down from this resistance, it will suggest that the bears have not yet given up and they are selling on rallies. The pair could then retest the strong support at $0.40.

Contrary to this assumption, if bulls propel the price above $0.74, it will indicate that the bears may be losing their grip. The pair could then rally to the psychological level at $1 where the bears are again expected to mount a strong defense.

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) has been in a strong downtrend for the past few days. The price dipped to $37 on May 12, which pulled the RSI deep into the oversold territory. This started a relief rally on May 13.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are likely to encounter selling in the zone between the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $59 and the 50% retracement level at $66. If the price turns down from this zone, the bears will attempt to resume the downtrend by pulling the pair below $37. If they can pull it off, the SOL/USDT pair could drop to $32.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price breaks above $66, the recovery could extend to the breakdown level at $75. The bulls will have to overcome this barrier to signal that the downtrend may be coming to an end.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) plummeted to $0.06 on May 12 but a minor positive is that the bulls purchased this dip. This started a relief rally which reached near the breakdown level at $0.10.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The long wick on the May 13 candlestick indicates that the bears are defending the $10 level aggressively. If the price turns down from this resistance, the bears will attempt to resume the downtrend by pulling the DOGE/USDT pair below $0.06. If they manage to do that, the next stop could be $0.04.

Alternatively, if bulls drive the price above $0.10, the pair could rise to the 20-day EMA ($0.12). This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break and close above it could suggest the start of a stronger recovery.

Related: 3 reasons why Cardano can sink further despite ADA price bouncing 58%

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) has been in a downtrend for the past several days. The buyers stepped in to arrest the decline near the strong support at $7 on May 12 as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buyers will now try to sustain the price above the breakdown level at $10.37. If they succeed, the DOT/USDT pair could rise to the 20-day EMA ($13.68). This level is likely to attract strong selling by the bears. If the subsequent decline halts at $10.37, it will indicate that the downtrend may be weakening.

Conversely, if the price turns down sharply from the current level or the 20-day EMA, it will increase the possibility of a retest at $7. Below this level, the decline could extend to $5.

AVAX/USDT

Avalanche (AVAX) broke below the crucial support at $32 on May 11 and bears tried to resume the decline on May 12. However, the long tail on the day’s candlestick suggests strong buying at lower levels.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls have pushed the price above the breakdown level at $32, which is the first sign of strength. If the AVAX/USDT pair sustains above $32, the bulls will attempt to push the price to the overhead resistance at $51. The bears are likely to defend this level with vigor.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $41.09, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and bears are selling on rallies. The pair could then again retest the strong support at $32 and later $23.

SHIB/USDT

Shiba Inu (SHIB) plunged below the psychological level at $0.000010 on May 12 but the long tail on the day’s candlestick suggests buying at lower levels. This resulted in a recovery on May 13.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The SHIB/USDT pair could rise to the breakdown level at $0.000017, which is likely to attract strong selling by the bears. If the price turns down from it, the bears will make another attempt to sink and sustain the pair below $0.000010.

Conversely, if bulls drive the price above $0.000017 and the 20-day EMA ($0.000018), it will suggest that markets have rejected the lower levels. The pair could then rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.000023).

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

3 reasons why Cardano can sink further despite ADA price bouncing 58%

A mix of fundamental and technical indicators suggests more pain for Cardano bulls ahead.

Cardano (ADA) pared a big portion of the weekly losses incurred during this week’s crypto market rout. 

ADA’s price reached an intraday high of $0.60 on May 13, a day after rebounding from its week-to-date low of $0.38 — a 58% rally.

The huge upside retracement appeared in the wake of similar price action in the crypto market with top cryptos Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) rebounding by 23% and 25.75% since yesterday’s lows.

The top ten crypto assets’ recovery in the past 24 hours. Source: Messari

But the sharp ADA recovery does not promise an extended upward continuation, at least according to the three factors discussed below.

Stock market crash far from over

First, the price action in the Cardano and similar crypto-assets has been in lockstep with U.S. equities, especially tech stocks.

Notably, the correlation coefficient between ADA and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was 0.93 on May 13, meaning that any major moves in stocks would likely steer Cardano in the same direction. 

The correlation between Cardano and Nasdaq Composite. Source: TradingView

Moreover, the chances of Nasdaq undergoing a sharp recovery are currently slim, as analysts highlight the overstretched valuations of the Big Tech stocks and their probability of crashing further in a higher interest-rate environment.

“The [ax] is hanging, rather, over high-growth tech companies,” opines Richard Waters, the Financial Times’ West Coast editor, adding:

“This is where valuations became most stretched, and where the market is having the most trouble finding its nadir.”

Simply put, Cardano’s persistent positive correlation with Nasdaq could result in more sharp declines in the ADA market, at least for the time being.

ADA’s “fifth wave missing”

Secondly, another hint of a potential Cardano price decline comes from a technical structure highlighted by Capo of Crypto, an independent market analyst.

The pseudonymous analyst notes that ADA could fall to the $0.30–$0.35 range next, given its possibility to paint the fifth and final wave of a bearish Elliott Wave setup, as shown in the chart below.

ADA/USD two-day price chart featuring bearish Elliott Wave setup. Source: Capo of Crypto/TradingView

The target range coincides with the support area from January 2021 that preceded a 850% bull run.

Descending channel breakdown 

Thirdly, Cardano has been breaking below its multi-month descending channel in another sign of weakness.  

ADA has been trending lower inside a range defined by two falling, parallel trendlines, underscoring traders’ current strategy of buying near the lower trendline and selling toward the upper trendline.

But on May 12, ADA/USD broke down below the lower trendline near $0.568, showing that traders ignored the buying opportunity.

Instead, buyers showed up near the $0.378-level to accumulate ADA, leading to the price rebound, as discussed above. However, the trading volume backing the recovery move was lower than during the selloffs, indicating a weakening rebound trend.

ADA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Simultaneously, the upside retracement move showed signs of further weakness after testing the descending channel’s bottom as resistance — a way of confirming the breakdown. If the bulls fail to flip the price ceiling to support, then ADA’s likelihood of continuing its prevailing downtrend will be much higher.

Related: Look out below! Ethereum derivatives data hints at further downside from ETH

Conversely, a decisive move above the channel’s lower trendline could have ADA then test its upper trendline near $1. 

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

DOGE gets more love on Twitter and Ether gets more hate: Data analysis

Sentiment analysis running across a year’s worth of tweets has found that Ether is Twitter’s least favorite cryptocurrency of five studied, while Dogecoin received the most affection.

Ether (ETH) has taken out the top spot on Twitter as the most hated of five cryptocurrencies studied, while the meme-token Dogecoin (DOGE) is the most liked.

The findings emerged from a new report by TRG Datacenters that analyzed a year’s worth of tweets between January 2021 and January 2022 concerning five of the most popular cryptocurrencies to figure out which digital assets were the most emotionally stirring on Twitter.

According to the analysis — which looked at Bitcoin (BTC), Cardano (ADA), Dogecoin, Ether and Litecoin (LTC) — Ether was firmly the most negatively associated, with 29% of all tweets containing a negative sentiment. The decision not to include Ripple, which has ardent fans but also very passionate critics, probably makes the study less comprehensive than it should have been.

The bulk of the criticism leveled at Ether concerned its speed compared to other layer 1 alternatives, as well as its energy costs. Peak Ether negativity from Crypto Twitter occurred when a bug caused Ethereum to briefly split into two chains in late August 2021.

Bitcoin was the second-most hated on Twitter, with a 27% total negativity score. Cardano followed a distant third with a 16% negative association. Meanwhile, Litecoin sat in fourth place with just 8% of all tweets having a negative angle.

The report collected data in such a way that negative sentiment tweets were analyzed based on the inclusion of the following phrases and the name of each cryptocurrency; “Hate,” “is a scam,” “disappointed with” “disappointed,” “dip in,” “bad,” “lost money with” “loss on.”

Dogecoin was the crowd favorite on the social media platform, with just 6% of all tweets concerning the popular memecoin containing some form of unfavorable sentiment. This means that 94% of all tweets concerning DOGE contain a positive slant, displaying the strength and cohesiveness of the token’s community on Crypto Twitter.

Dogecoin’s popularity was closely linked to the token’s healthy relationship with the social media platform’s new owner Elon Musk. Musk’s public decision to accept DOGE as payment for Tesla merchandise drove sentiment to all-time highs.

Chris Hinkle, chief technology officer at TRG Datacenters, drew attention to the different types of influence that Twitter has on the price of crypto assets:

“Meme stocks in particular appeared to be driven by retail investors. In the case of larger currencies such as Bitcoin, tweets have actually lagged price movements, implying some degree of institutional lean.”

“[This] means that small cap stocks and coins in general are experiencing a very real phenomenon of price fluctuations led by retail investors,” Hinkle added.

Related: Ice Cube backs DOGE and an ‘incredible and historical’ transaction

Hinkle went on to explain that the recent acquisition of Twitter by Musk may lead to a more retail-driven crypto market, claiming that Musk’s newfound influence may “perhaps pave the path for less algorithmic manipulation and the beginning of a new era of retail investors.”

Price analysis 5/11: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, DOGE, DOT, AVAX, SHIB

The implosion of the Terra ecosystem appears to be manifesting contagion that is negatively impacting Bitcoin and altcoins.

The crisis with Terra’s stablecoin TerraUSD (UST) and the freefall in Terra’s LUNA token has dented crypto sentiment further. Although Terraform Labs CEO Do Kwon announced a relief plan, the community does not seem too hopeful about the revival.

Another hindrance to a quick improvement in sentiment is that the United States Consumer Price Index soared 8.3% from a year ago, outpacing estimates by 0.2%. Although the numbers are a tad bit lower than March’s 8.5% print, the slow deceleration suggests no respite from more tightening by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Although the screen looks scary during capitulation, it also offers one of the best times to go against the herd and accumulate fundamentally strong cryptocurrencies at a bargain. Traders should not be in a hurry to catch a falling knife but wait for the price to stabilize and the capitulation to end before buying in a phased manner.

What are the key levels of Bitcoin (BTC) and major altcoins that could attract buyers? What are the key resistance levels on the upside that may suggest a potential trend change? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin fell sharply on May 9 and attempted a recovery from the psychological level at $30,000 on May 10. The long wick on the day’s candlestick shows that bears are not willing to ease off and they continue to sell on minor rallies.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears tried to build upon their advantage on May 11 but the bulls are defending the critical level at $28,805 with all their might. This is an important level to watch out for because if it cracks, the selling could intensify. The BTC/USDT pair could then slide to $25,000 and later to $20,000.

Although downsloping moving averages indicate advantage to sellers, the relative strength index (RSI) in the oversold territory suggests that a relief rally or consolidation is possible.

If the price rises from the current level, it could reach the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($36,214). This is an important level to keep an eye on because if the price turns down from it, the bears will again attempt to sink the pair below $28,805.

Alternatively, if bulls push the price above the 20-day EMA, the pair could rally to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($40,792).

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) has reached a strong support level at $2,159. The bulls are likely to mount a strong defense at this level because if the support cracks, the selling could pick up momentum.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the bounce sustains, the bulls will try to push the price to the 20-day EMA ($2,698). In a downtrend, the bears usually try to stall the relief rallies at the 20-day EMA; hence, this becomes an important level to watch out for.

If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that sentiment remains negative and traders continue to sell on rallies. The bears will then again attempt to sink the ETH/USDT pair below $2,159. If they succeed, the pair could plummet to $2,000 and later to $1,700.

BNB/USDT

BNB witnessed a sharp fall on May 9 and broke below the strong support at $320. The bulls tried to push the price back above the breakdown level on May 10 but the bears did not relent.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears resumed their selling on May 11 and pulled the BNB/USDT pair below the immediate support at $289. If sellers sustain the price below $289, the pair pick up momentum and plummet to $250 and later to $225. The buyers are expected to mount a strong defense in this support zone.

Alternatively, if the price turns up from the current level, the bulls will again try to propel and sustain the pair above $320. If they succeed, it will indicate that the markets have rejected the lower levels. The pair could then rise to $350.

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) witnessed a tough battle between the bulls and the bears near the $0.50 level. Although bears pulled the price below $0.50 on May 9, the bulls reclaimed the level on May 10.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears finally overpowered the bulls on May 11 and resumed the downtrend. The XRP/USDT pair dropped to the strong support at $0.40 where the bulls are attempting to arrest the decline.

If the price turns up from the current level, the bulls will again attempt to propel the pair above the overhead resistance zone between $0.50 and $0.55. Conversely, if the price slips below $0.40, the pair could witness further selling and drop to $0.34.

ADA/USDT

Cardano (ADA) tumbled below the strong support at $0.74 on May 9, indicating the resumption of the downtrend. The buyers attempted a recovery on May 10 but failed to hold onto higher levels.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The selling resumed on May 11 and the ADA/USDT pair dipped below the immediate support at $0.58. If the price sustains below this level, the pair could drop to the psychological level at $0.50 and thereafter to $0.40.

On the contrary, if the price rises from the current level, the bulls will try to push the pair back above the breakdown level at $0.74 and the 20-day EMA ($0.77). If they succeed, the recovery could pick up momentum and the pair may rally to the critical resistance at $1.

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) dropped and closed below the strong support at $75 on May 9. This signaled the start of the next leg of the downtrend. The bulls tried to trap the aggressive bears by pushing the price back above the breakdown level at $75 on May 10 but the bears held their ground.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The selling resumed on May 11 and the bears pulled the price below the psychological support at $50. If the price sustains below $50, the SOL/USDT pair could extend its decline to $44 and thereafter to $40.

Conversely, if the price turns up from the current level, the bulls will make another attempt to propel the pair above $75. If they manage to do that, the pair could rally to the 20-day EMA ($83).

This is an important level to watch out for because a break and close above it could signal that the bulls are back in the game. The pair could then rally to the 50-day SMA ($101).

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) broke below the support at $0.12 on May 9 and nosedived to the psychological level at $0.10. The buyers tried to start a recovery on May 10 but hit a wall at the breakdown level at $0.12.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears continued their selling and pulled the price below the crucial support at $0.10 on May 11. If the price sustains below $0.10, the DOGE/USDT pair could extend its decline to the strong support zone between $0.06 and $0.04. The bulls are likely to defend this support zone with vigor.

If bulls push the price back above $0.10 quickly, it will suggest strong accumulation at lower levels. The buyers will then try to drive the pair above the 20-day EMA ($0.12). If they succeed, it will suggest that the bears may be losing their grip.

Related: Avalanche drops 30% on fears Terra’s LFG will dump AVAX next

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) plunged to psychological support at $10 on May 9 and attempted a recovery on May 10 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows selling at higher levels.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The selling resumed on May 11 and bears pulled the price below the strong support at $10. If bears sustain the breakdown, it will suggest the start of the next leg of the downtrend. The DOT/USDT pair could then extend its decline to $7.

Conversely, if the price turns up from the current level and rises back above $10, it will indicate strong buying at lower levels. If bulls sustain the price above $10, the possibility of a rally to $14 increases.

AVAX/USDT

Avalanche (AVAX) plunged below the critical support at $51 on May 9 signaling the resumption of the downtrend. The buyers tried to push the price back above the breakdown level on May 10 but the long wick on the candlestick shows that bears flipped the $51 level into resistance.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The AVAX/USDT pair resumed its decline on May 11 and dropped below the crucial support at $32 but the long tail on the candlestick shows strong buying at lower levels. The bulls are expected to defend the $32 level aggressively because if the support gives way, the selling could intensify and the pair may drop to $18.

If the price rises from the current level, the buyers will again try to push the pair to the breakdown level at $51. A break and close above this level could be the first sign that the downtrend may be weakening.

SHIB/USDT

Shiba Inu (SHIB) had been declining gradually for the past few days. The momentum picked up on May 9 and the price slipped below the critical support at $0.000017. This signaled the resumption of the downtrend.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buyers bought the dip near $0.000013 and pushed the price back above the breakdown level at $0.000017 on May 10. However, the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows that bears are selling at higher levels and attempting to flip $0.000017 into resistance.

If the price sustains below $0.000013, the selling could intensify and the SHIB/USDT pair could decline to the psychological level at $0.000010. The buyers will have to push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.000020) to indicate that the selling pressure may be weakening.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.