Binance USD

Tether supply hits $80B for the first time since May 2022 — Stablecoin rivals stumble

The supply of USDT across cryptocurrency exchanges has dropped 28% in 2023, hinting at an overall decline in demand for stablecoins.

Tether (USDT) continues to benefit from the ongoing turmoil in the U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin industry, with its market capitalization growing significantly in Q1 2023 at other stablecoins’ expense.

Tether market cap reaches $80 billion

On April 6, the circulating market capitalization of USDT surpassed $80 billion for the first time since May 2022, with a gain of $15 billion so far in 2023.

USDT circulating market cap 12-month performance. Source: Messari

On the other hand, the market caps of its chief rivals, namely USD Coin (USDC) and Binance USD (BUSD), fell by about $12 billion and $9.4 billion, respectively.

USDC and BUSD circulating market cap year-to-date performance. Source: Messari

Tether benefits from non-U.S. status

Crypto traders opted for Tether given the growing concerns around USD Coin and Binance USD.

Notably, USDC’s market capitalization slipped due to its $3.3 billion exposure to the now-collapsed Silicon Valley Bank and additional exposure to Silvergate Bank, while BUSD suffered after New York regulators ordered Paxos to shut down the stablecoin’s issuance.

USDC weathered the crisis after the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation’s assurance that it would make depositors at the insolvent banks whole. As a result, the stablecoin recovered its dollar peg after losing it at the peak of the banking crisis in mid-March. 

USDC price performance YTD. Source: Messari

But a growing crypto crackdown in the U.S. has prompted investors to maintain distance from regional firms. For instance, Paxos confirmed that the Securities and Exchange Commission treats BUSD as an unregistered security.

On the other hand, Tether is a non-U.S. firm and has repeatedly assured that it has no exposure to insolvent U.S. banks. Nonetheless, it has faced scrutiny over its reserve assets and lack of proper audits for years, despite such issues becoming less of a concern among traders.

USDT supply drops across exchanges

Interestingly, the growth in the USDT circulating supply has coincided with a drop in its supply across exchanges.

Related: USDT issuer Tether has up to $1.7B in excess reserves, CTO says

Tether’s balance on exchanges has dropped 28% year-to-date to 12.88 billion USDT, according to Glassnode. In comparison, the aggregated stablecoin balance across exchanges has dropped by 41% YTD to $22.31 billion.

USDT vs. rival stablecoin balances across crypto exchanges. Source: Glassnode

The decline in stablecoin reserves coincides with a crypto market rally, suggesting that traders have been converting their crypto dollars to buy Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH).

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

BUSD deposits and withdrawals via OCBS suspended on Binance.US

Binance.US said it temporarily disabled the One Common Billing System and BUSD stablecoin pairs after halting Apple Pay and Google Pay deposits.

Amid the ongoing uncertainty around the global banking turmoil, Binance’s United States-based arm Binance.US is halting some services.

According to the Binance.US status dashboard, on March 31, the U.S. crypto exchange disabled Binance USD (BUSD) stablecoin pairs via the One Common Billing System, referred to as OCBS.

The affected services include BUSD crypto deposits and withdrawals or buying, selling and converting crypto options, the status notice says.

Binance.US said that the firm is currently investigating the issue, noting that the services are “suspended temporarily.”

Binance.US status dashboard. Source: Binance.US 

The OCBS and BUSD issues on Binance.US came shortly after the firm halted certain U.S. dollar deposit services on March 30. According to the dashboard, Binance.US temporarily suspended Apple Pay and Google Pay deposits due to the company “transitioning to new banking and payment service providers over the next several weeks.”

For up to 5% of Binance.US customers, the platform has also halted debit card deposits starting from March 30, 2023. “We are working to restore all services as soon as possible,” Binance.US stated.

Related: Kraken to suspend Plaid withdrawals and deposits via ACH Silvergate

The news comes amid Binance.US’ global affiliate, Binance, facing legal action from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). On March 27, the CFTC filed a suit against Binance and its CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao for alleged trading violations, arguing that the exchange failed to meet compliance obligations by not registering with the regulator.

Launched in September 2019 and headquartered in California, Binance.US operates as a separate entity from Binance, which is unavailable to U.S. users due to local regulations.

Catherine Coley, the first CEO of Binance.US, reportedly enlisted a former federal prosecutor and top cop at the CFTC to represent her in the U.S. government’s investigations into Binance.US. After leaving Binance.US in June 2021, Coley has remained silent about her whereabouts in media, and hasn’t posted anything on her Twitter.

Magazine: Unstablecoins: Depegging, bank runs and other risks loom

Binance replaces BUSD in SAFU fund with TUSD and USDT

Binance assured users that the change would not impact them in any way and that their funds would continue to be held in publicly verifiable addresses.

Cryptocurrency exchange Binance announced on March 17 that it has replaced the Binance USD (BUSD) holdings in its Secure Asset Fund for Users (SAFU) with TrueUSD (TUSD) and Tether (USDT). The move comes in response to Paxos’ recent move to stop minting new BUSD, which has led to the asset’s market capitalization falling. 

SAFU is an emergency insurance fund established by Binance in July 2018 to protect users’ funds in case of security breaches or other unforeseen events. Binance committed a percentage of trading fees to grow the fund, which was valued at $1 billion as of Jan. 29, 2022. SAFU’s wallets initially consisted of BNB (BNB), Bitcoin (BTC) and Binance USD — which has now been replaced by TUSD and USDT.

Binance assured users that the change would not impact them, their funds would continue to be held in publicly verifiable addresses, and BUSD would continue to be supported. The exchange added that it would closely monitor the fund to ensure that it remains sufficiently capitalized and top it up periodically as necessary using its own funds.

On Feb. 13, BUSD issuer Paxos Trust Company announced it would stop issuing new BUSD effective Feb. 21 in accordance with the directions of and in coordination with the New York Department of Financial Services.

Related: Coinbase disables trading for BUSD

Days after reports emerged that United States regulators were scrutinizing Paxos and BUSD, Binance minted nearly $50 million worth of TUSD. The transaction took place on Feb. 16, according to data from Etherscan, and came two days after Binance CEO Chanpeng Zhao mentioned in a Feb. 14 Twitter Space that Binance would look to “diversify” its stablecoin holdings away from BUSD.

With the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission also taking action against BUSD, some crypto community members have questioned whether stablecoins are the real issue at hand or if it’s actually about Binance, as the SEC didn’t take action against Paxos’ gold-backed stablecoin, Pax Gold (PAXG).


Coinbase disables trading for BUSD

Coinbase assured users that their BUSD funds would remain accessible and they could still withdraw funds at any time.

United States-based cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase announced on March 13 that it had suspended trading for the Binance USD (BUSD) stablecoin.

In its initial Feb. 27 announcement, Coinbase cited “listing standards” as being behind its decision. The February announcement read:

“We regularly monitor the assets on our exchange to ensure they meet our listing standards. Based on our most recent reviews, Coinbase will suspend trading for Binance USD (BUSD) on March 13, 2023, on or around 12pm ET.”

According to Coinbase’s Feb. 27 Twitter thread, the decision applies to Coinbase.com (simple and advanced), Coinbase Pro, Coinbase Exchange and Coinbase Prime. On March 13, Coinbase assured its customers that “your BUSD funds will remain accessible to you, and you will continue to have the ability to withdraw your funds at any time.”

Coinbase spokesperson explained to Cointelegraph at the time:

“Our determination to suspend trading for BUSD is based on our own internal monitoring and review processes. When reviewing BUSD, we determined that it no longer met our listing standards and will be suspended.”

Related: Coinbase CEO ponders banking features after Silicon Valley Bank crisis

On March 8, Coinbase introduced a new business solution called wallet-as-a-service (WaaS) to assist enterprises in offering Web3 wallets to their customers. WaaS provides customizable on-chain wallets through technical infrastructure, enabling enterprises to create and launch these wallets. Additionally, the wallet application programming interface provided by WaaS allows businesses to create wallets for simple customer onboarding, loyalty programs or in-game purchases.

On March 11, Coinbase assured customers that its staking services would continue and “may actually increase,” despite the recent crackdown by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission on staking services offered by centralized providers. 

Curve Finance trading volume reaches $7B historic high after USDC depeg

The DeFi protocol experienced record-breaking daily trading volume after the USDC depeg as crypto whales fight for assets.

Stablecoin swapping pool Curve Finance experienced the highest daily trading volume in its history, exceeding $7 billion in the 24 hours since the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) collapse triggered a wave of uncertainty across markets, causing USD Coin (USDC) to depeg from the U.S. dollar. 

Curve supports liquidity pools for major stablecoins, such as USDC, Tether (USDT), Frax (FRAX), Dai (DAI) and TrueUSD (TUSD). Fear, uncertainty and doubt have spread across crypto markets during the last few hours, resulting in unbalanced pools in the decentralized finance platform due to a sell-off of USDC — leading the stablecoin to fall below its $1 peg. 

USDC is the second-largest stablecoin, with a market cap of over $42 billion as of January 31, and serves as collateral for many stablecoin ecosystems. Its depeg immediately affected other stablecoins, such as the MakerDAO-issued DAI, down 5% at the time of publication.

To prevent panic selling, MakerDAO filed an “urgent executive proposal to mitigate risks to the protocol” on March 11, seeking restrictions on minting DAI using USDC. MakerDAO is one of the largest holders of the stablecoin, with over 3.1 billion USDC ($2.85 billion) in reserves collateralizing DAI. Crypto whales have reported severe losses and appear to be selling off assets in an attempt to preserve capital, Cointelegraph reported.

Circle, the company behind the USDC, disclosed on March 11 that $3.3 billion of its $40 billion reserves were stuck in the Silicon Valley Bank, which was shut down the day before by the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation. The watchdog also appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation as the receiver to protect insured deposits.

In comments to Cointelegraph, Dave Weisberger, co-founder and CEO of algorithmic-trading platform CoinRoutes, said the “fodder for a broader contagion event is there” and that “the spark could be materializing,” putting at risk many startups and tech companies in the country — a critical sector for the “sustained growth of the American economy.”

Circle’s USDC instability causes domino effect on DAI, USDD stablecoins

Following USDC’s depegging, three stablecoins — DAI, USDD and FRAX — also depegged from the U.S. dollar.

The stablecoin ecosystem felt an immediate effect as USD Coin (USDC) depegged from the U.S. dollar due to a subsequent sell-off after Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) did not process $3.3 billion of Circle’s $40 million transfer request. Given USDC’s collateral influence, major stablecoin ecosystems followed suit in depegging from the U.S. dollar.

Dai (DAI), a stablecoin issued by MakerDAO, lost 7.4% of its value due to USDC’s depegging. As of June 2022, $6.78 billion worth of DAI supply was collateralized by $8.52 billion worth of cryptocurrencies, confirms data from Statista.

DAI’s total crypto assets used for on-chain collateralization as of June 27, 2022. Source: Statista

Out of the lot, USDC represented 51.87% of DAI’s collateral, worth $4.42 billion. Other prominent cryptocurrencies include Ether (ETH) and Pax Dollar (USDP) at $0.66 billion and $0.61 billion, respectively.

As a result, DAI depegged from the dollar to momentarily touch $0.897. The stablecoin recovered to trade around the $0.92 mark at the time of writing, as shown below.

DAI to USD 1-day chart. Source: CoinMarketCap

USD Digital (USDD), a stablecoin issued by Tron, and fractional-algorithmic stablecoin Frax (FRAX) shared a similar fate due to adverse market sentiments. USDD responded to the USDC sell-off with a nearly 7.5% drop to trade at $0.925, while FRAX dipped even further to $0.885.

USDD to USD 1-day chart. Source: CoinMarketCap

Other popular cryptocurrencies, such as Tether (USDT) and Binance USD (BUSD), continue to maintain a 1:1 peg with the U.S. dollar.

Related: USDC investor shells out $2M to receive $0.05 USDT trying to evade crash

The entire depegging ordeal started after Circle announced that $3.3 billion of its funds were not processed for withdrawal by SVB.

SVB was shut down by the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation for undisclosed reasons. However, the California regulator appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation as the receiver to protect insured deposits.

BNB Chain hackathon winner accuses Binance of stealing AI-powered NFTs idea

Chatcasso won first prize in the BNB Chain hackathon for its AI-powered NFT creation tool.

Crypto exchange Binance has been accused of “blatantly” copying the winner of the BNB Chain hackathon after launching Bicasso — an AI-based nonfungible token (NFT) creation tool. Binance allegedly ripped off a tool created by Chatcasso just two months after awarding them first prize in a BNB Chain hackathon held in Seoul from Dec. 17–19, 2022.

On March 1, Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao announced the launch of Bicasso, an artificial intelligence (AI) product that can be used to “turn your creative visions into NFTs with AI.” However, community member “ggoma” believes Binance copied and promoted the Chatcasso project as its own.

Binance, on the other hand, dismissed the accusations of plagiarism. Speaking to Cointelegraph, a Binance spokesperson said Bicasso is an experimental project built by a small team at Binance as a test, and that NFTs and AI are common concepts worked on by many industry players.

Chatcasso won the first prize in the BNB Chain hackathon for creating an AI-powered tool for creating NFTs, receiving $5,000 in Binance USD (BUSD).

Chatcasso won first prize at the December 2022 BNB Chain hackathon in Seoul. Source: Twitter

However, ggoma was shocked to see Binance launch a similar platform within two months, stating:

“A big company like Binance copying everything down to the name? It’s not only unethical, but it’s also confusing for users. The names are so similar that it’s hard to tell them apart.”

In addition, ggoma shared screenshots of the two projects to showcase the similarities between the user interface and capabilities.

Screenshots showing similarities between Chatcasso and Bicasso platforms. Source: Twitter

Binance maintains that the similarities do not imply theft of ideas. The exchange’s spokesperson told Cointelegraph:

“Despite the similarities, after conducting an internal review, we’re confident that Bicasso was designed and developed independently more than two weeks before the BNB hackathon.”

Moreover, Binance and BNB Chain operate separately, and the Binance development team is not involved in BNB Chain hackathons, said the spokesperson.

Binance clarified to Cointelegraph that the Bicasso name was inspired by the OpenAI tool “Dall-E,” referring to the artist Salvador Dali, adding, “our team loved this concept.”

The entire episode has made ggoma skeptical of entering hackathons in the future, as he wondered if a market leader would rebrand innovative ideas at a later stage. “We hope that Binance realizes the impact of their actions and takes steps to right their wrongs,” ggoma added while warning builders that “there are companies out there who will try to take advantage of your hard work.”

Binance’s Bicasso became an instant hit among NFT investors as the AI-powered NFT generator recorded 10,000 mints in 2.5 hours.

Related: Binance launches anti-scam campaign after Hong Kong pilot run

CZ recently warned investors that a photoshopped image with misinformation was circulating on WeChat, a social media platform in China.

CZ further highlighted the importance of dismissing fear, uncertainty and doubt, advising investors to ignore false allegations that surface occasionally.

Is the SEC’s action against BUSD more about Binance than stablecoins?

The SEC’s enforcement action against BUSD raises questions about whether the regulatory body is focused on the stablecoin market or the crypto exchange Binance.

Binance branded stablecoin, Binance USD (BUSD), is a dollar-backed stablecoin issued by blockchain infrastructure platform Paxos Trust Company, and is the third largest stablecoin after Tether’s (USDT) and Circle’s USD Coin (USDC).

Paxos has claimed in the past that BUSD is fully backed by reserves held in either fiat cash or United States Treasury bills. BUSD was reportedly authorized and regulated by the New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS).

Paxos partnered with crypto exchange Binance in 2019 and launched the stablecoin, which received approval from the NYDFS. Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao has stated that the exchange licensed the Binance brand to Paxos, and BUSD is “wholly owned and managed by Paxos.”

However, on Feb. 12, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) issued a Wells notice to Paxos — a letter the regulator uses to inform companies of planned enforcement action. The notice alleged that BUSD is an unregistered security. After receiving a Wells notice, the accused is allowed 30 days to respond via a legal brief known as a Wells submission — a chance to argue why charges should not be brought against prospective defendants.

One day later, the NYDFS ordered Paxos to stop minting new BUSD, citing specific unresolved issues around Paxos’ oversight of its relationship with Binance regarding BUSD. Paxos then decided to cut ties with Binance due to regulatory scrutiny, saying they are working with the SEC to resolve the issue constructively.

Binance, on the other hand, hopes the SEC won’t file an enforcement action based on the BUSD saga, telling Cointelegraph:

“The U.S. SEC, hopefully, will not file an enforcement action on this topic. Doing so is not justified by the facts or law. Furthermore, it would undermine the growth and innovation of the U.S. financial technology sector.”

Paxos refused to comment on the issue, citing ongoing talks with the SEC. The company directed Cointelegraph to an internal email with Paxos co-founder Charles Cascarilla reiterating their earlier stance that BUSD is not a security.

The statement from Cascarilla noted that the precedents used to identify securities in the U.S. are known as the Howey test and the Reves test. He stated that BUSD does not meet the criteria to be a security:

“Our stablecoins are always backed by cash and equivalents–dollars and U.S. Treasury bills, but never securities. We are engaged in constructive discussions with the SEC, and we look forward to continuing that dialogue in private. Of course, if necessary, we will defend our position in litigation. We will share more information when we can.”

Tether — issuer of the largest stablecoin by market capitalization — didn’t directly respond to specific questions about stablecoins being classed as securities. However, a spokesperson from the firm told Cointelegraph that “Tether has good relationships with law enforcement globally and is committed to operating securely and transparently in compliance with all applicable laws and regulations.”

Are stablecoins the focus or are there bigger fish to fry?

Many crypto community members were baffled by accusations of BUSD being a security, and to see enforcement action against it. This is because BUSD is “stable,” maintaining a 1:1 peg to the U.S. dollar, limiting its usage for speculation.

Just days after the SEC action against BUSD, rumors started circulating about a similar Wells notice being sent to other stablecoin issuers, including Circle and Tether. Circle’s chief strategy officer, Dante Disparte, quashed such rumors and said that the stablecoin issuer had not received such a document.

Speaking to Cointelegraph earlier this month, some legal experts explained how stablecoins might be considered securities. Although stablecoins are supposed to be stable, Aaron Lane, a senior lecturer at RMIT’s Blockchain Innovation Hub, said buyers might benefit from various arbitrage, hedging and staking opportunities.

He further explained that, while the answer isn’t obvious, a case could be made regarding whether the stablecoin was developed to produce money or is a derivative of a security.

Some crypto community members have stated that the issue might not be just about stablecoins as much as it is about Binance, indicating that the SEC didn’t take action against Paxos’ gold-backed stablecoin called Pax Gold (PAXG.)

Carol Goforth, a university professor and the Clayton N. Little professor of Law at the University of Arkansas, told Cointelegraph that the issue might be more about Binance than the stablecoin itself:

“There are unique issues with regard to that particular crypto asset because of its ties to and relationship with Binance. It is possible that some of those unusual features are what the SEC is focusing on, but because part of that is a lack of transparency and accuracy in reported information.”

Goforth added that the price of the stablecoin is designed to be stable, which would appear to be the antithesis of an expectation of profits.

Nonetheless, “I can see a potential argument that stablecoins make fast transactions in other forms of crypto possible and this is, in fact, the biggest use of stablecoins to date, accounting for a disproportionately high trading volume as compared to market capitalization” Goforth said, stating:

“‘Profit’ could be argued to include the extra value obtained from the ability to make such trades, although that seems to be a bit of a stretch. (Expectation of profits is important because it is one of the elements of the Howey investment contract test).”

Just weeks after enforcement action against BUSD, the SEC filed a motion to bar final approval of Binance.US’ $1 billion bid for assets belonging to bankrupt crypto lending firm Voyager Digital. The SEC flagged the potential sale of Voyager Token (VGX), issued by Voyager, which “may constitute the unregistered offer or sale of securities under federal law.“

The series of enforcement actions by the SEC against various aspects of Binance’s business led many to believe that the regulator was going after the exchange rather than the stablecoin industry.

SEC’s jurisdiction under question

Amid the ongoing increase in enforcement actions in the crypto market, the SEC’s jurisdiction has also been questioned, especially regarding stablecoins. In a recent interview, Jeremy Allaire, the CEO of USDC issuer Circle, said that “payment stablecoins” are payment systems, not securities.

Allaire argued that SEC is not the suitable regulator for stablecoins and said, “there is a reason why everywhere in the world, including the U.S., the government is specifically saying payment stablecoins are a payment system and banking regulator activity.”

Coinbase — the first publicly listed crypto exchange on the Nasdaq — is fighting a securities battle of its own related to its staking products. It also questioned the SEC’s decision to get involved with stablecoins and claim they are securities.

2022 was a disastrous year for the crypto industry, seeing most crypto assets lose more than 70% of their valuation from their market highs. Outside the crypto winter, the collapse of crypto lending giants, exchanges and asset funds became a more significant concern. Many then questioned regulators for not ensuring investor security and enforcing regulations. In 2023, the tables have turned, with regulatory agencies coming out in full force against crypto firms. However, their approach and intentions are being questioned now that they have sprung into action.

Paxos is engaged in ‘constructive discussions’ with SEC: Report

The stablecoin issuer is currently facing a lawsuit from the SEC in which the financial regulator claimed BUSD was an unregistered security.

Stablecoin issuer Paxos was reportedly discussing the Binance USD (BUSD) stablecoin with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission following a Wells notice from the financial regulator.

According to a Feb. 21 Reuters report, Paxos chief executive officer Charles Cascarilla said the firm was “engaged in constructive discussions” with the SEC and would continue to speak in private. The report followed the stablecoin issuer facing a lawsuit from the SEC, in which the regulator alleged BUSD was an unregistered security.

Cascarilla reportedly said that Paxos would consider defending its position that BUSD was not a security through litigation. On Feb. 13, the New York Department of Financial Services — Paxos is licensed in the U.S. state — ordered the company to stop the issuance of BUSD. The firm announced that it would halt minting of the stablecoin starting Feb. 21.

An SEC spokesperson previously told Cointelegraph that it would not comment on the “existence or nonexistence of a possible investigation” with Paxos, but the regulator’s move was the latest in a series of crypto enforcement actions. The SEC announced it had reached an agreement with Kraken on Feb. 9, in which the firm agreed to stop offering staking services or programs to U.S. clients and pay $30 million.

Related: SEC lawsuit against Paxos over BUSD baffles crypto community

The NYDFS investigation against Paxos may have stemmed from a report from Circle, which reportedly sent in a complaint to the state regulator regarding Binance’s reserves. Following the news around BUSD, data from Binance suggested there had been a surge of withdrawals — roughly $2.7 billion in outflows between Feb. 12 and Feb. 13.

Paxos is engaged in ‘constructive discussions’ with SEC: Report

The stablecoin issuer is currently facing a lawsuit from the SEC in which the financial regulator claimed BUSD was an unregistered security.

Stablecoin issuer Paxos was reportedly discussing the Binance USD (BUSD) stablecoin with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission following a Wells notice from the financial regulator.

According to a Feb. 21 Reuters report, Paxos CEO Charles Cascarilla said the firm was “engaged in constructive discussions” with the SEC and would continue to speak in private. The report followed the stablecoin issuer facing a lawsuit from the SEC, in which the regulator alleged BUSD was an unregistered security.

Cascarilla reportedly said that Paxos would consider defending its position that BUSD was not a security through litigation. On Feb. 13, the New York Department of Financial Services — Paxos is licensed in the U.S. state — ordered the company to stop the issuance of BUSD. The firm announced that it would halt minting of the stablecoin starting Feb. 21.

An SEC spokesperson previously told Cointelegraph that it would not comment on the “existence or nonexistence of a possible investigation” with Paxos, but the regulator’s move was the latest in a series of crypto enforcement actions. The SEC announced it had reached an agreement with Kraken on Feb. 9, in which the firm agreed to stop offering staking services or programs to U.S. clients and pay $30 million.

Related: SEC lawsuit against Paxos over BUSD baffles crypto community

The NYDFS investigation against Paxos may have stemmed from a report from Circle, which reportedly sent in a complaint to the state regulator regarding Binance’s reserves. Following the news around BUSD, data from Binance suggested there had been a surge of withdrawals — roughly $2.7 billion in outflows between Feb. 12 and Feb. 13.