Binance Coin

Price analysis 3/27: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, MATIC, DOGE, SOL

The crypto market corrected on news of the CFTC suing Binance and its CEO, Changpeng Zhao, but technical charts reveal a silver lining.

The news and events related to the banking crisis in the United States and Europe have led to a migration of funds into investments considered less risky. According to the Financial Times, the U.S. money market funds in March witnessed an inflow of $286 billion

Along with money market funds, a portion of the money may also have seeped into the crypto industry. The increased demand could be one of the reasons for Bitcoin’s (BTC) strong performance in March.

The big question in crypto investors’ minds is whether the recovery will continue or if it is time to book profits in Bitcoin.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Bitcoin hodlers seem to be confident in the long-term story and are not getting lured into selling their holdings after the recent rally. According to Glassnode data, the percent of Bitcoin supply that has remained dormant since March 2021 has hit a new all-time high.

If the banking crisis is contained, it may lead to a short-term correction in Bitcoin and altcoins, but any further problems in the legacy banking system may continue to attract investments into Bitcoin. Let’s study the charts to find out the critical support and resistance levels in Bitcoin and altcoins.

S&P 500 index price analysis

The S&P 500 index (SPX) is trading inside a descending broadening wedge pattern. The bulls tried to push the price above the wedge on March 22 but the bears held their ground.

SPX daily chart. Source: TradingView

Buyers pushed the price above the 20-day exponential moving average (3,964) on March 27, but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows that bears are in no mood to relent. Sellers will try to sink the price below the 200-day simple moving average (3,931). If they succeed, the index could drop to 3,800.

Contrarily, if bulls defend the moving averages, it will suggest demand at lower levels. The bullish momentum could pick up after buyers thrust the price above the resistance line of the wedge. The index could then skyrocket to 4,200.

U.S. dollar index price analysis

Buyers pushed the U.S. dollar index (DXY) above the 20-day exponential moving average (103) on March 15 but could not build upon the breakout. This shows that bears are selling on rallies.

DXY daily chart. Source: TradingView

The index could drop to the strong support at 100.82, where the bulls will try to arrest the decline. If the price rebounds off this level and rises above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the index may oscillate between the 200-day SMA (106) and 100.82 for some more time.

A break below the 100.82 level will be a huge negative as that will complete a bearish head and shoulders (H&S) pattern. The index could then plummet to 95. On the upside, a break above the 200-day SMA could push the price to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 108.43.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin has failed to rise above $29,000 in the past few days, but the bulls continue to hold strong. They have not allowed the price to even dip to the breakout level of $25,250.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The upsloping 20-day EMA ($26,062) and the relative strength index (RSI) in the positive territory indicate the path of least resistance is to the upside.

If bulls drive the price above $29,000, the BTC/USDT pair may quickly climb to $32,500. This level may witness aggressive selling by the bears, but if buyers overcome this barrier, the pair could soar to $40,000.

This positive view could invalidate in the near term if the price breaks below $25,250. The emboldened bears will then try to sink the pair to the 200-day SMA ($20,219).

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) bounced off the 20-day EMA ($1,705) on March 25 but the bulls could not challenge the overhead resistance at $1,857. This shows that bears are selling on relief rallies.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will again try to sink the price below the 20-day EMA and the horizontal support at $1,680. If they can pull it off, the ETH/USDT pair may fall to $1,600. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if this support cracks, the pair may tumble to the 200-day SMA ($1,435).

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bulls continue to buy on minor dips. The pair could then rally to the stiff overhead resistance of $1,857. If this hurdle is crossed, the pair may jump to $2,000 and thereafter to $2,200.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) bounced off the 20-day EMA ($317) on March 25, but the bulls could not clear the downtrend line, indicating that bears are selling on every minor rally.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears have pulled the price below the 20-day EMA. If they manage to sustain the lower levels, the BNB/USDT pair could plummet to the 200-day SMA ($290). This is an important level to watch out for because if it yields, the pair may nosedive to $265.

The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the downtrend line. That will indicate aggressive buying at lower levels. The pair may then attempt a rally to the $338-to-$346 resistance zone.

XRP price analysis

The bulls flipped the moving averages into support and tried to resume the recovery in XRP (XRP). However, the higher levels are attracting aggressive selling, as seen from the long wick on the March 27 candlestick.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will once again try to pull the XRP/USDT pair to the moving averages. If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA ($0.41), it will suggest that buyers are accumulating at lower levels. The bulls may then make one more attempt to clear the overhead zone. If that happens, the pair may rally to $0.65 and eventually to $0.80.

On the other hand, if the price slips below the moving averages, it will suggest that the bears are back in control. The pair could then plunge to $0.36.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) slipped below the 200-day SMA ($0.36) and reached the 20-day EMA ($0.35) on March 25. The bulls tried a recovery on March 26, but the bounce lacked strength.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to sustain the price below the 20-day EMA. If they manage to do that, it will indicate that the recent rally above the 200-day SMA may have been a bull trap. The ADA/USDT pair may first slide to $0.32 and then to $0.30.

Conversely, if the price turns up and breaks above the 200-day SMA, it will suggest demand at lower levels. The bulls will then make one more attempt to push the price to the neckline of the inverse H&S pattern.

Related: Why is Bitcoin price down today?

Polygon price analysis

Polygon’s (MATIC) shallow bounce off the strong support at $1.05 on March 25 suggests a lack of aggressive buying by the bulls. The bears are trying to strengthen their position by yanking the price below $1.05.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bears sustain the breakdown, the MATIC/USDT pair may slump to the 200-day SMA ($0.97). This is an important level to keep an eye on because if it gives way, the sentiment will turn negative and the pair could tumble to $0.69.

If bulls want to prevent this decline, they will have to quickly push the price back above the 20-day EMA ($1.13). That will increase the likelihood of a rally to the strong overhead resistance zone between $1.25 and $1.30.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been swinging between the 200-day SMA ($0.08) and the horizontal support of $0.07 for the past few days.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish 20-day EMA ($0.07) and the RSI just below the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. This suggests that the DOGE/USDT pair may spend some more time inside the range. The longer the time spent inside the range, the stronger will be the eventual breakout from it.

If the price collapses below $0.07, the pair could extend its decline to $0.06 and then to the vital support near $0.05. Instead, if the price breaks above the 200-day SMA, the pair may soar to the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) broke below the 20-day EMA ($20.93) on March 24. Buyers tried to push the price back above the 20-day EMA on March 25 and 26, but the bears held their ground. This suggests that the bears are trying to flip the 20-day EMA into resistance.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price sustains below $20, the SOL/USDT pair could retest the immediate support at $18.70. This level may attract buying, but if bulls fail to propel the price above the 20-day EMA, the prospects of a fall to $15.28 increase.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up from the current level and rises above the downtrend line, it will indicate that the downtrend may have ended. The pair could first rise to $27 and later attempt a rally to $39.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Price analysis 3/24: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, MATIC, SOL, DOT, LTC

Bitcoin and altcoins could see profit-taking and risk-off positioning as the weekend approaches and investor concerns about Deutsche Bank arise.

European stock markets fell on March 24 on renewed fears that the banking crisis could rear its ugly head once again. The latest selling was triggered after Deutsche Bank’s credit default swaps, which offer protection to the buyer against specific risks, soared on March 23 without any known catalyst. That pulled down the shares of the German lender by 11%. 

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde attempted to calm the markets, saying that the euro area baking sector was strong due to the regulatory reforms introduced after the global financial crisis. That could be one of the reasons for the solid recovery in the United States equities markets from the intraday lows.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Although the banking crisis has been positive for Bitcoin’s (BTC) price, the trend may pause if the contagion spreads. During times of panic, traders sell assets to curtail risk. At that time, if Bitcoin does not break below the $25,000–$20,000 support zone, it will suggest that the bear phase is over.

Could Bitcoin and most major altcoins witness a minor correction? What are the important support levels to keep an eye on? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin formed an inside-day candlestick pattern on March 23, indicating uncertainty among buyers and sellers. The bulls want to extend the up-move, but the bears are in no mood to relent. That has kept the price within a small range.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Generally, a tight consolidation near a local high is a sign that traders are not booking profits in a hurry because they anticipate the uptrend to continue. The rising 20-day exponential moving average, or EMA ($25,595), and the relative strength index, or RSI, near the overbought zone indicate that bulls are in command.

If the price rebounds off $26,500 with strength, the bulls will again try to start the next leg of the rally. That could propel the price to $30,000 and then to $32,500.

The $25,250 support remains the key level because a break and close below it may indicate a bull trap. The BTC/USDT pair could then collapse toward the 200-day simple moving average, or SMA ($20,095).

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) rose above the overhead resistance of $1,842 on March 23, but the bulls could not sustain the breakout as seen from the long wick on the candlestick.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are trying to strengthen their position by pulling the price toward the 20-day EMA ($1,693). This remains the key level to watch out for on the downside.

If the price rebounds off this level, it will suggest that traders continue to view the dips to the 20-day EMA as a buying opportunity. The bulls will then again try to clear the overhead barrier and catapult the price to $2,000.

This positive view will be negated in the near term if the price plunges below the 20-day EMA. That could tug the price to $1,600 and then to $1,461.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) bounced off the 20-day EMA ($316) on March 23, but the bulls are struggling to sustain the relief rally. This shows that the bears are pouncing on every minor recovery.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Sellers will try to tug the price below the 20-day EMA. If they do that, the BNB/USDT pair could drop to $300 and then to the 200-day SMA ($289). The bulls are expected to fiercely defend the zone between the 200-day SMA and $265.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying the dips. The pair could pick up momentum above $346, and the next stop on the upside is $400.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) formed consecutive inside-day candlestick patterns on March 22 and 23, indicating indecision among buyers and sellers.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A minor positive for the bulls is that they have successfully defended the 200-day SMA ($0.40) for the past three days. This suggests that the 200-day SMA could now act as the new floor.

Sometimes, after a sharp move, the price tends to consolidate for a few days before resuming a trending move. In this case, buyers will have to thrust the price above $0.51 to signal the start of the next leg of the uptrend. On the downside, a break below the moving averages may result in a retest of $0.36.

Cardano price analysis

The bulls have been sustaining Cardano’s ADA (ADA) above the moving averages since March 21 but have failed to reach the neckline of the inverse head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern. This suggests selling by the bears near $0.39.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($0.34) is trying to turn up, and the RSI is just above the midpoint, indicating a slight advantage to the bulls. If the price turns up from the 20-day EMA, the likelihood of a rally to the neckline increases. A break above the H&S pattern indicates the start of a new potential up-move.

Contrarily, if the price slips below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears are trying a comeback. A break and close below $0.30 may accelerate selling and yank the price to $0.24.

Dogecoin price analysis

The bulls have been trying to push Dogecoin (DOGE) above the 200-day SMA ($0.08), but the bears have not let their guard down.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will next try to pull the price to the strong support at $0.07. A strong bounce off this level will suggest that the DOGE/USDT pair may remain stuck between the $0.07 to the 200-day SMA for a while longer.

A break and close above the 200-day SMA will be the first indication that the bulls have overpowered the bears. That may start an up-move toward the stiff overhead resistance zone of $0.10 to $0.11. Conversely, if the $0.07 support cracks, the pair may plummet to $0.06.

Polygon price analysis

Polygon’s MATIC (MATIC) has been trading below the 20-day EMA ($1.14) since March 20. This suggests that the bears are trying to flip the 20-day EMA into resistance.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A minor positive in favor of the bulls is that the bears have not been able to sink the price below the strong support zone of $1.05 and the 200-day SMA ($0.96). This suggests strong buying at lower levels.

If buyers push the price above the 20-day EMA, the MATIC/USDT pair may rise toward the overhead resistance at $1.30. Such a move will suggest that the pair may continue its range-bound action between $1.05 and $1.30 for some more time. A break above or below this range could start the next trending move.

Related: BTC price centers on $28K as Deutsche Bank shares follow Credit Suisse

Solana price analysis

The price action in Solana’s SOL (SOL) has narrowed down further and is now stuck between the moving averages. This suggests indecision among the bulls and the bears about the next directional move.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flat 20-day EMA ($21.17) and the RSI near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears.

To gain the upper hand, buyers will have to drive the price above the overhead resistance zone between the downtrend line and $27.12. If they do that, it will signal a potential trend change. The SOL/USDT pair may then attempt a rally to $39.

On the contrary, if the price breaks below the 20-day EMA, the bears will try to drag the pair to the crucial support zone between $18.70 and $15.28.

Polkadot price analysis

Polkadot’s DOT (DOT) has been trading close to the 200-day SMA ($5.98) for the past few days. The failure of the bulls to achieve a strong rebound off important support indicates a lack of demand at higher levels.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This increases the risk of a break below the 200-day SMA. If that happens, the DOT/USDT pair could slide to $5.15. This is an important support to keep an eye on because a break below it will open the doors for a probable retest of $4.22.

This short-term bearish view will be invalidated if the bulls push and sustain the price above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $6.85. If this level is taken out, the pair could reach the neckline of the developing H&S pattern.

Litecoin price analysis

Litecoin (LTC) is making a strong comeback. The momentum picked up after the bulls pushed the price above the 20-day EMA ($85) on March 22.

LTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The RSI has climbed into positive territory, and the 20-day EMA has started to turn up, indicating that bulls have the upper hand. Buyers will try to challenge the overhead resistance at $106 where the bears may mount a strong defense. If bulls clear this hurdle, the LTC/USDT pair may rally to $115 and subsequently to $125.

Conversely, if the price once again turns down from $106, it will suggest that bears are not willing to relent. That could pull the price down to the 20-day EMA. A break below this support will hint at a possible range formation in the short term.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Price analysis 3/22: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, MATIC, SOL, DOT, SHIB

Technical charts are beginning to suggest that BTC is at the end of its bear market cycle, and traders believe this could yield positive results for most altcoins.

Bitcoin (BTC) has been sustaining above the $25,000 level for the past few days, increasing the likelihood that the bear market may have ended. Generally, in the initial stages of a new bull phase, several analysts remain in a state of disbelief and expect the resumption of the downtrend.

Another group of traders continues to wait for the dip to buy at lower levels, but the price does not oblige. Finally, the traders sitting on the fence throw in the towel and buy, and that is when the correction is likely to happen. Such a pullback shakes out the weak hands and transfers the asset into the hands of investors with conviction.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

When a new trend is getting established, certain events tend to cause a knee-jerk reaction, but it is unlikely that the trend is reversed. In Bitcoin’s case too, a drop to trap the aggressive bears is possible, but there is a low possibility that the bear market will resume.

What are the important levels to watch out for on the upside and the downside in Bitcoin and altcoins? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

After a two-day consolidation, Bitcoin has risen above the $28,500 overhead resistance on March 22. This suggests that the bulls have asserted their dominance.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The upsloping 20-day exponential moving average, or EMA ($25,180), and the relative strength index, or RSI, in the overbought zone indicate the path of least resistance is to the upside. A break above $28,500 will clear the path for a possible rally to the $30,000–$32,500 resistance zone.

In case of a correction, the first support to watch on the downside is $25,250. If the price rebounds off this level, it will suggest that the neckline of the head and shoulders (H&S) pattern has flipped into support.

The problem will arise if the $25,250 level cracks, as that may trigger the stops of several bulls. The BTC/USDT pair could then nosedive to the 200-day simple moving average, or SMA ($20,020).

Ether price analysis

Ether’s (ETH) bounce off $1,717 suggests that the bulls are purchasing the minor dips and not waiting for a deeper correction to buy. However, buyers failed to overcome the obstacle at $1,842, indicating that bears are protecting this level with all their might.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Usually, a tight consolidation near a local top suggests that the bulls are not closing their positions in a hurry as they anticipate another leg higher. The rising 20-day EMA ($1,679) and the RSI in the positive territory indicate that bulls have a slight edge.

If buyers thrust the price above $1,842, the ETH/USDT pair may jump to $2,000 and later attempt a rally to $2,200. This bullish view will invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and plunges below the 20-day EMA. The pair may then fall to $1,600.

BNB price analysis

The failure of the bulls to push BNB (BNB) above $346 in the past few days shows that the bears are fiercely guarding the level. That may have resulted in profit-booking by the short-term bulls, which has pulled the price toward the 20-day EMA ($314).

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment has turned positive and traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity. The bulls will then make one more attempt to clear the hurdle at $346. If they succeed, the BNB/USDT pair could soar toward $400.

On the other hand, if the price plummets below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest the start of a deeper correction toward the 200-day SMA ($288). The pair may then oscillate between $280 and $346 for a few days.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) skyrocketed above the 200-day SMA ($0.40) and the stiff overhead resistance of $0.43 on March 21, indicating a buying stampede.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

After the sharp rally, traders seem to be booking profits near $0.50. That has resulted in a pullback to the breakout level of $0.43. If bulls flip this level into support, the XRP/USDT pair may again try to rise above $0.50. If that happens, the pair could soar to $0.56. A break and close above this level will indicate the start of a potential new uptrend.

Conversely, if the price continues lower and breaks below the $0.43 support, it will suggest that traders are rushing to the exit. That could trap the aggressive bulls and sink the pair to the 200-day SMA.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano’s ADA (ADA) surged above the moving averages on March 21, indicating that lower levels are attracting buyers.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, the bears have not yet given up and are trying to halt the recovery at $0.39, as seen from the long wick on the March 21 and 22 candlesticks. The onus is on the bulls to flip the moving averages into support. If they manage to do that, the ADA/USDT pair could rally to the neckline of the developing H&S pattern.

Contrarily, if the price turns down and slips below the moving averages, it will indicate that higher levels continue to attract sellers. The pair could then descend to $0.30.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been trading between $0.07 and the 200-day SMA ($0.08) for the past few days. This suggests indecision among the bulls and the bears about the next directional move.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint suggest that the range-bound action may continue for some more time. The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the 200-day SMA. That could open the doors for a possible rise to $0.09 and later to $0.10.

If bears want to gain the upper hand, they will have to sink the price below the support at $0.07. The DOGE/USDT pair may then slump to $0.06 and subsequently to the crucial support at $0.05.

Polygon price analysis

Polygon’s MATIC (MATIC) has been swinging above and below the 20-day EMA ($1.15) for the past few days, indicating a lack of direction. The bulls are buying on dips, while the bears are selling the rallies.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flat 20-day EMA ($1.15) and the RSI just below the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. This suggests that the MATIC/USDT pair may consolidate between $1.05 and $1.30 for a while.

The longer the price consolidates in the range, the stronger the eventual breakout from it will be. If bulls force the price above $1.30, the pair may accelerate to $1.57 and thereafter to $1.75. Alternatively, if the price breaks below the 200-day SMA ($0.96), it will suggest that bears are back in command. The pair could then tumble to $0.69.

Related: Why is Cardano price up today?

Solana price analysis

Buyers tried to push Solana’s SOL (SOL) above the downtrend line on March 20, but the bears held their ground. A minor positive in favor of the bulls is that they did not allow the price to dip below the 20-day EMA ($21.18).

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The RSI is in positive territory, indicating a slight advantage to buyers. If bulls thrust the price above the downtrend line, it will signal a potential trend change. The SOL/USDT pair could first rise to $27.12 where the bears may again mount a strong defense. If buyers overcome this hurdle, the pair could pick up momentum and rally to $39.

Contrarily, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears are trying to gain the upper hand. The pair may then slide to $15.28.

Polkadot price analysis

Polkadot’s DOT (DOT) bounced off the 200-day SMA ($6) on March 21, indicating that the bulls are trying to flip the level into support.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish 20-day EMA ($6.18) and the RSI near the midpoint signal a balance between supply and demand. This balance will tilt in favor of the buyers if they propel the price above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $6.85. The DOT/USDT pair could then climb toward the neckline of the developing H&S pattern.

The bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to protect the overhead resistance and sink the price below the 200-day SMA. If they do that, the pair may again slump to $5.15.

Shiba Inu price analysis

Shiba Inu (SHIB) is getting squeezed between the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern and the psychological support at $0.000010.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This tight-range trading is unlikely to continue for long, and a breakout looks imminent. The price has been clinging to the downtrend line, which suggests that the SHIB/USDT pair is likely to climb above the channel. There is a minor resistance at $0.000012, but if this level is crossed, the pair may rise toward $0.000016.

This positive view will be negated in the near term if the price turns down and plunges below the $0.000010 support. That could pull the pair down to $0.000008.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Price analysis 3/20: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, MATIC, DOGE, SOL

Bitcoin continues to trade near $28,000, signaling a strong demand from investors even as the legacy banking system struggles with unprecedented volatility.

The takeover of the ailing Credit Suisse bank by UBS boosted European equity markets on March 20, but not everyone is happy with the deal. According to the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority, the value of additional tier-one (AT1) bonds will be written to zero, which will wipe out $17 billion worth of investments for AT1 bond investors.

Among the turmoil in the global banking sector, Bitcoin (BTC) has shone brightly, as traders seem to have shifted their focus to the alternative available to the legacy banking system. Another thing working in favor of Bitcoin is that it has decoupled from the United States equities markets and is behaving as an uncorrelated asset class.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Bitcoin’s solid rally in the past few days has boosted trader sentiment. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has soared into the greed zone with a score of 66/100. The next trigger for the markets will be the rate hike decision by the Federal Reserve on March 22.

Could Bitcoin reach $30,000 and pull altcoins higher, or is a correction likely in the near term? Let’s study the charts to find out.

S&P 500 index price analysis

The S&P 500 index (SPX) rallied from 3,808 on March 13 and rose above the 200-day simple moving average, or SMA (3,935), on March 16, but the bulls could not clear the hurdle at the 20-day exponential moving average, or EMA (3,962).

SPX daily chart. Source: TradingView

A positive sign is that the bulls purchased the dip below the 200-day SMA and are again attempting to overcome the obstacle at the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the index could rally to 4,100 and then to 4,200.

The bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to halt the recovery at the 20-day EMA and sink the price back toward the support zone between 3,800 and 3,764. If this zone gives way, the selling could intensify, and the index may plummet toward 3,600.

U.S. Dollar Index price analysis

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been trading near the 20-day EMA (104) for the past few days, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears.

DXY daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bears sustain the price below 103.44, the index may slip to the next support at 102.50. Buyers will try to defend this level, but if they fail in their endeavor, the index could tumble to the vital support at 100.82.

Alternatively, if the price turns up and breaks above 105.10, it will clear the path for a possible rally to the 200-day SMA (106). The bulls may encounter strong selling in the resistance zone between the 200-day SMA and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 108.43.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) has been holding above the breakout level of $25,250 since March 17, which is a positive sign. After a one-day correction on March 18, the price continued its northward march on March 19, indicating that the bulls are in no mood to book profits.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The rising 20-day EMA ($24,463) and the relative strength index, or RSI, near the overbought territory indicate that bulls remain in control. The next major resistance is in the zone between $30,000 to $32,500.

If the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance, the key level to watch out for is $25,250. If the price rebounds off this level with strength, it will suggest that bulls have flipped $25,250 into support. The level will thereafter act as a floor during future declines.

Ether price analysis

Buyers pushed Ether (ETH) above the $1,800 resistance on March 18 and 19 but could not sustain the higher levels. This shows that bears are trying to stall the recovery.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A minor positive in favor of the bulls is that they have not allowed the price to slide back below the $1,743–$1,680 support zone. The rising 20-day EMA ($1,654) and the RSI above 61, suggest that the path of least resistance is to the upside.

If buyers propel and sustain the price above $1,850, the ETH/USDT pair may start its journey toward $2,000 and subsequently to $2,200.

This positive view will invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and plummets below the 20-day EMA. That may trap the aggressive bulls, resulting in long liquidations. The pair could then slump to $1,461.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) formed an inside-day candlestick pattern on March 19 and 20, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are mounting a strong defense above $340, but the bulls have not given up much ground. The upsloping 20-day EMA ($311) and the RSI near the overbought zone give a slight edge to the bulls. If buyers kick the price above $350, the BNB/USDT pair may rally to $400.

On the contrary, if the price breaks below $325, the pair could drop to $318. A strong rebound off this level will suggest that the bulls have flipped the level into support, while a break below $318 may sink the pair to the 200-day SMA ($288).

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) reached the 200-day SMA ($0.40) on March 19, but the bulls could not overcome this barrier, as seen from the long wick on the candlestick.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The XRP/USDT pair continues to swing between the 200-day SMA and the horizontal support at $0.36. The flattish 20-day EMA and the RSI near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. This indicates that the range-bound trading may continue for a while longer.

On the upside, a break and close above the 200-day SMA will indicate that bulls have overpowered the bears. The pair could first climb to $0.43 and later to $0.51. This positive view will be negated if the price turns lower and plunges below $0.36. The pair could then tumble to the support line of the channel.

Cardano price analysis

The bears are defending the 200-day SMA ($0.36) on Cardano’s ADA (ADA) while the bulls are buying the dips to the 20-day EMA ($0.34).

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This tight range may not remain for long. If buyers push the price above the 200-day SMA, the ADA/USDT pair could attempt a rally to the neckline of the developing head-and-shoulders pattern. The bears are expected to defend the neckline with vigor because a break and close above it will signal a potential trend change.

On the contrary, if the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the pair could drop to the immediate support at $0.31 and next to $0.30.

Related: Paris Blockchain Week 2023: Latest updates by Cointelegraph

Polygon price analysis

Polygon’s MATIC (MATIC) has been trading near the 20-day EMA ($1.16) for the past few days. The 20-day EMA has flattened out and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The $1.30 resistance is an important level to watch out for. If buyers clear this hurdle, the MATIC/USDT pair could soar to $1.57. This level may witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears. If bulls come out on top, the pair may extend its up-move to $1.75.

The crucial level to watch on the downside is the 200-day SMA ($0.96). If the price breaks and sustains below this level, it will suggest that bears have seized control. The pair could then nosedive to $0.69.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) rose above the 20-day EMA ($0.07) on March 17, but the bulls could not push the price above the 200-day SMA ($0.08). This shows that the bears are unwilling to let go of their advantage.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flat 20-day EMA and the RSI near the midpoint suggest range-bound action in the near term. The boundaries for the range could be the 200-day SMA on the upside and $0.07 on the downside.

If bulls kick the price above the 200-day SMA, it will suggest that the markets have rejected the lower levels. The DOGE/USDT pair could then rally to $0.09 and thereafter to $0.10. Alternatively, a break below $0.07 could clear the path for a retest of $0.06.

Solana price analysis

Solana’s SOL (SOL) turned down from the 200-day SMA ($22.7) on March 18 but rebounded off the 20-day EMA ($20.98) on March 19. This suggests solid demand at lower levels.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Buyers pushed the price above the 200-day SMA, and the SOL/USDT pair has reached the downtrend line. If bulls push and sustain the price above the downtrend line, it will point to a potential trend change. There is a minor resistance at $27.12, but it is likely to be crossed. The pair may then attempt a rally to $39.

The first support on the downside is the 20-day EMA and then $18.70. If both these levels fail to hold, the pair may retest the vital support at $15.28.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

These 5 cryptocurrencies may continue to surprise to the upside

Bitcoin, ETH, BNB, STX, and IMX remain strong on the charts, increasing the likelihood of more gains in the near term.

Bitcoin (BTC) is on track to close the week with gains of more than 23%. The banking crisis in the United States and Europe seems to have boosted buying in Bitcoin, indicating that the leading cryptocurrency is behaving as a safe haven asset in the near term.

All eyes are on the Federal Reserve’s meeting on March 21 and 22. The failure of three banks in the U.S. has increased hopes that the Fed will not hike rates at the meeting. The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 38% probability of a pause and a 62% probability of a 25 basis points rate hike on March 22.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

Analysts are divided on the consequences of the current crisis on the economy. Former Coinbase chief technology officer Balaji Srinivasan believes that the U.S. will enter a period of hyperinflation, while pseudonymous Twitter user James Medlock believes otherwise. Srinivasan has bet $2 million with Medlock and another person that Bitcoin’s price will reach $1 million by June 17.

Although anything is possible in crypto markets, traders should be prudent in their trading and not get carried away with lofty targets.

Let’s study the charts of Bitcoin and altcoins that are showing signs of the resumption of the up-move after a minor correction.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin soared above the $25,250 resistance on March 17, completing a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.

Usually, a breakout from a major setup returns to retest the breakout level but in some cases, the rally continues unabated.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The rising 20-day exponential moving average ($24,088) and the relative strength index (RSI) in the overbought territory indicate advantage to buyers. If the price breaks above $28,000, the rally could pick up momentum and surge to $30,000 and thereafter to $32,000. This level is likely to witness strong selling by the bears.

Another possibility is that the price turns down from the current level but rebounds off $25,250. That will also keep the bullish trend intact.

The positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price plummets below the moving averages. Such a move will suggest that the break above $25,250 may have been a bull trap. That could open the doors for a possible drop to the psychologically critical level of $20,000.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The four-hour chart shows that the BTC/USDT pair is facing profit-booking near $27,750 but a positive sign is that the pullback has been shallow. Buyers will try to drive the price above $28,000 and resume the uptrend. The pair could then climb toward $30,000.

On the other hand, if the price turns down and slumps below the 20-EMA, it will suggest that the traders are rushing to the exit. That may pull the price down to the important support at $25,250 where the bulls and the bears may witness a tough battle.

Ether price analysis

The bulls conquered the $1,800 resistance on March 18 but could not sustain the higher levels. This shows that the bears are protecting the $1,800 level on Ether (ETH) with vigor.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The critical support to watch on the downside is the zone between $1,680 and the 20-day EMA ($1,646). If the price rebounds off this zone, it will signal that the sentiment has turned positive and traders are buying on dips.

Buyers will then again try to resume the uptrend and drive the price toward the next target objective at $2,000. This level may prove to be a major hurdle for the bulls to cross.

Contrarily, if the price turns down and slumps below the moving averages, it will suggest that the bulls are losing their grip. The ETH/USDT pair may then drop to $1,461.

ETH/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The four-hour chart shows that the pair bounced off the support at $1,743. This suggests that the bulls are buying the shallow dips and are not waiting for a deeper correction to get in. Buyers will next try to kick the price above $1,841. If this level is taken out, the pair may sprint toward $2,000.

Contrarily, if the price turns down and plunges below $1,743, short-term traders may book profits. The pair could then slide to the next important support at $1,680.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) rose above $338 on March 18, which invalidated the bearish H&S pattern. Usually, when a bearish pattern fails, it attracts buying from the bulls and short covering by the bears.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The onus is on the bulls to keep the price above the immediate support at $318. If they manage to do that, the BNB/USDT pair could first climb to $360 and thereafter dash toward $400. The upsloping 20-day EMA ($309) and the RSI near the overbought territory indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside.

If bears want to gain the upper hand, they will have to yank the price back below the moving averages. This may not be an easy task but if completed successfully, the pair could tumble to $280.

BNB/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The four-hour chart shows that the bulls are buying the dips to the 20-EMA. The bears tried to halt the recovery at $338 but the bulls have pierced this resistance. Buyers will try to push the pair to $346. If this level gives way, the pair may continue its uptrend.

Alternatively, if the price turns down and breaks below 20-EMA, it will suggest that the short-term bulls may be booking profits on rallies. The pair could then slump to $318 where the buyers may step in to arrest the decline.

Related: Peter Schiff blames ‘too much gov’t regulation’ for worsening financial crisis

Stacks price analysis

Stacks (STX) rallied from $0.52 on March 10 to $1.29 on March 18, a sharp run within a short time. This suggests aggressive buying by the bulls.

STX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The STX/USDT pair is witnessing profit-booking near $1.29 but a positive sign is that the bulls have not ceded much ground to the bears. This suggests that minor dips are being bought. Typically, in a strong uptrend, corrections last for one to three days.

If the price turns up and breaks above $1.29, the pair could resume its uptrend. The next stop on the upside is likely to be $1.55 and then $1.80.

The first sign of weakness on the downside will be a break and close below $1. That could clear the path for a drop to the 20-day EMA ($0.84).

STX/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The pair has corrected to the 20-EMA. This is an important level for the bulls to defend if they want to resume the up-move. If the price rebounds off the 20-EMA, the pair could retest the overhead resistance at $1.29. If bulls overcome this barrier, the next leg of the uptrend may begin.

Conversely, if bears sink the price below the 20-EMA, the pair could slide to $1 and then to the 50-simple moving average. A deeper correction may delay the resumption of the up-move and keep the pair stuck inside a range for a few days.

Immutable price analysis

Immutable (IMX) skyrocketed above the overhead resistance of $1.30 on March 17, which completed the inverse H&S formation. This suggests the start of a potential new uptrend.

IMX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, the price may retest the breakout level of $1.30. If the price rebounds off this level with strength, it will suggest that the bulls have flipped the level into support. Buyers will then try to kick the price above $1.59 and resume the uptrend. The IMX/USDT pair may then rally to $1.85 and later to $2. The pattern target of the reversal setup is $2.23.

This positive view could be negated in the near term if the price slips below the moving averages. Such a move will suggest that the break above $1.30 may have been a bull trap. The pair could then drop to $0.80.

IMX/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The pair is witnessing a mild correction, which is finding support at the 20-EMA. Buyers are trying to clear the overhead hurdles at $1.59 but the bears are not relenting. If the price breaks below the 20-EMA, the pullback could reach $1.30.

Another possibility is that the price rebounds off the 20-EMA. That will indicate solid demand at lower levels and enhance the prospects of a break above $1.59. If that happens, the pair may resume its uptrend.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Price analysis 3/17: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, MATIC, SOL, DOT, SHIB

Bitcoin has risen above $25,000, and if bulls flip this level into support during the next pullback, it will signal the start of a new up-move to $32,000.

After a recovery on March 16, the United States equities markets are again down on March 17. Investors remain concerned about the vulnerability of banks in the U.S. and Europe. A silver lining for cryptocurrency investors is that Bitcoin (BTC) has remained decoupled from the equities markets and has risen to its highest level since Jan. 12.

Galaxy Digital founder and CEO Michael Novogratz said in an interview with CNBC that the U.S. and the globe will face a credit crunch as banks lend less to rebuild capital. He said investors should be long on Bitcoin and crypto because these are the times for which it was created.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Quantitative tightening seems to be giving way to a period of quantitative easing. The banks have already borrowed $150 billion from the Federal Reserve, which is more than the amount borrowed during the 2008 financial crisis.

Analysts pointed out that the Fed has added $300 billion to its balance sheet in a week, second only to the $500 billion pumped after the March 2020 crash. The QE in 2020 triggered a rally in Bitcoin that took it from about $4,000 to $69,000.

Will history repeat itself? Could Bitcoin and altcoins sustain higher levels? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) bulls purchased the dip to $24,000 on March 15 and pushed the price above the strong overhead resistance of $25,250 on March 17. This completes an inverse head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

There is no major resistance between the current level and $32,000, hence the bulls may find it easy to cover this distance in a short time. The bears may mount a strong defense at $32,000, but if bulls overcome it, the BTC/USDT pair could extend its uptrend to the pattern target of $35,024.

The rising 20-day exponential moving average, or EMA ($23,298), and the relative strength index, or RSI, near the overbought zone indicate that bulls are in command.

If bears want to regain control, they will have to quickly reverse direction and sink the pair below the moving averages. Until then, the bulls are likely to view the dips as a buying opportunity.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) rebounded off the moving averages on March 16, indicating that traders are buying on dips.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls will try to push and sustain the price above the $1,743–$1,780 resistance zone. If they succeed, the ETH/USDT pair could accelerate toward the psychologically important level of $2,000. This is the final hurdle above which the pair will signal the start of a potential uptrend.

The bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to halt the up-move in the overhead zone and pull the pair back below the moving averages. That could trap the aggressive bulls, and the pair may then collapse to $1,461.

BNB price analysis

The long tail on BNB’s (BNB) March 15 candlestick shows that the bulls are buying the dips to the 20-day EMA ($302). This signals a change in sentiment from selling on rallies to buying on dips.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The relief rally picked up momentum on March 17 and skyrocketed the price above the overhead resistance at $318.

Buyers are trying to strengthen their position further by kicking the price above $338. If they do that, the negative H&S pattern will be invalidated. The BNB/USDT pair could first rally to $360 and later to $400.

On the downside, a break below the 20-day EMA will indicate that bears are back in the driver’s seat.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) has been consolidating inside the tight range between the 50-day simple moving average, or SMA ($0.38), and the support at $0.36.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Generally, tight-range trading is followed by an increase in volatility. The bulls will try to catapult the price above the 50-day SMA. If they can pull it off, it will signal the start of a stronger recovery to $0.42. This level may again act as a formidable resistance, but if crossed, the rally could reach $0.51.

This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and plummets below $0.36. The pair could then slump to the strong support zone between $0.32 and $0.30.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano’s ADA (ADA) is stuck between the 50-day SMA ($0.36) and the strong support at $0.29. The bulls are trying to push the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.34).

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they manage to do that, the ADA/USDT pair could climb to the 50-day SMA. This level may attract sellers who will try to stall the recovery. If the price turns down sharply from this level, the range-bound action may continue for some more time.

Alternatively, if bulls drive the price above the 50-day SMA, the pair could rally to the neckline of the inverse H&S pattern. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break and close above it may signal the start of a new uptrend.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) rebounded off the $0.07 level and has reached the downtrend line. This suggests that bulls are buying on minor dips.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A break and close above the downtrend line will be the first sign that the correction may be over. The 50-day SMA ($0.08) may act as a resistance, but it is likely to be broken. The DOGE/USDT pair could then start its rally to $0.09 and thereafter to $0.10.

Sellers are expected to defend the $0.10–$0.11 zone with all their might because a break above it will open the doors for a possible rally to $0.16. On the downside, a slide below the $0.07 support will tilt the advantage back in favor of the bears.

Polygon price analysis

Polygon’s MATIC (MATIC) turned up from $1.07 on March 15, indicating that the bulls are trying to flip the $1.05 level into support.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($1.16) is flattening out and the RSI is near the midpoint, suggesting a balance between supply and demand. If bulls propel the price above the 50-day SMA ($1.22), the MATIC/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to $1.30. This level may act as a minor hurdle, but it is likely to be crossed. The next stop may be $1.42.

On the other hand, if the price turns down sharply from the 50-day SMA, it will suggest that bears continue to sell on rallies. The pair may then oscillate between the 50-day SMA and $1.05 for a while longer.

Related: Betting on turmoil: Deribit launches Bitcoin volatility futures

Solana price analysis

Solana’s SOL (SOL) rebounded off $18.70 on March 16, which shows that the bulls are not waiting for a deeper decline to buy.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The relief rally has reached the moving averages, which are likely to offer strong resistance. If the price turns down and breaks below $18.70, it will suggest that the SOL/USDT pair may remain range-bound between the 50-day SMA ($22.21) and $15.28 for some time.

The pair will indicate a potential trend change after the bulls thrust the price above the downtrend line. That could start a rally to $27.12.

Polkadot price analysis

Polkadot’s DOT (DOT) plunged below the 20-day EMA ($6.09) on March 15, but the bears could not maintain the lower levels. Buyers purchased the dip and pushed the price back above the 20-day EMA on March 16.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are trying to build upon their advantage by pushing the price above the overhead resistance at the 50-day SMA ($6.41). If this level is scaled, the DOT/USDT pair could rise to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $6.85.

This level should again act as a strong resistance, but if bulls flip the moving averages into support during the next pullback, it will suggest that bulls are buying on dips. That will increase the possibility of the pair forming an inverse H&S pattern.

Contrarily, if the price once again turns down from the 50-day SMA and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will indicate a few days of range-bound action.

Shiba Inu price analysis

Shiba Inu (SHIB) rebounded off the $0.000010 support on March 16, indicating that the bulls are trying to start a reversal.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The recovery is facing resistance in the zone between the 20-day EMA ($0.000011) and the downtrend line of the descending channel. The bears will again attempt to sink the price below the $0.000010 support. If they succeed, the SHIB/USDT pair may slip to the support line of the channel.

Contrarily, if bulls thrust the price above the channel, it will suggest that the corrective phase may be over. The 50-day SMA ($0.000012) may also offer stiff resistance, but if this level is cleared, the SHIB/USDT pair could climb to $0.000014 and then to $0.000016.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Price analysis 3/15: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, MATIC, SOL, DOT, SHIB

Credit Suisse has pulled the U.S. equities markets lower, but a positive sign is that Bitcoin and select altcoins are holding near their local highs.

The United States equities markets tumbled on March 15 after Saudi National Bank, Swiss bank Credit Suisse’s largest investor, said it would not be able to provide any more funding to Credit Suisse due to regulatory limitations.

Investors are nervous because Credit Suisse, which has large U.S. and global operations, warned on March 14 that it had found “certain material weaknesses” in its financial reporting processes for 2021 and 2022. Shares of Credit Suisse plummeted to an all-time low on March 15.

After the events of the past few days, the S&P 500 has given back all its gains for the year and is trading flat. In comparison, Bitcoin (BTC) is holding on to a large part of its gains and is up nearly 47% in 2023.

Trezor Bitcoin analyst Josef Tětek believes the banking crisis could be positive for Bitcoin, as it could emerge as a safe-haven asset.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Capriole founder and CEO Charles Edwards said that Bitcoin has formed a “bump and run reversal pattern,” which has a target objective of $100,000 and higher. However, Edwards cautioned traders that the pattern could fail, hence it should not be used for building a trading or investment plan.

Could Bitcoin and altcoins rise above their overhead resistance levels and start the next leg of the up-move? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

The bulls propelled Bitcoin (BTC) above the overhead resistance of $25,250 on March 14 but the long wick on the candlestick shows that bears are not ready to surrender without a fight. Strong selling pulled the price back below $25,250.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day exponential moving average, or EMA ($23,012), has started to turn up, and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the positive territory, indicating an advantage to buyers.

If the bulls do not give up much ground from the current level, the possibility of a break and close above $25,250 increases. If that happens, the BTC/USDT pair will complete a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern. That will signal a potential trend change. The pair may then sprint toward $32,000.

If bears want to slow down the bullish momentum, they will have to quickly pull the price back below the moving averages.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) soared above the overhead resistance at $1,743 on March 14, but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels. This suggests that the bears are trying to protect the level.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price consolidates between $1,743 and the 20-day EMA ($1,588), it will suggest that the sentiment has turned positive and traders are buying on dips. That will improve the prospects of a break and close above $1,743. The ETH/USDT pair is then well-positioned for a strong rally toward the psychological level of $2,000.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and breaks below the moving averages, it will indicate that the ETH/USDT pair may consolidate in a large range between $1,743 and $1,352 for some time.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) turned down from the strong resistance near $318. This suggests that the bears are trying to defend the zone between $318 and $338.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A minor positive in favor of the buyers is that they have not allowed the price to break back below the 50-day simple moving average, or SMA ($306). The shallow pullback shows that every minor dip is being purchased.

The bulls will make one more attempt to catapult the price above the overhead zone. If they do that, the BNB/USDT pair can soar toward $400. Contrarily, if the price breaks below the 50-day SMA, the pair may slide to the 20-day EMA ($296). A break below this level will signal an advantage to the bears.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) turned down from the 50-day SMA ($0.38) and formed a Doji candlestick pattern on March 14, indicating indecision among the bulls and the bears.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The uncertainty resolved to the downside on March 15, and the price slipped to the strong support at $0.36. If this level is taken out, the XRP/USDT pair could decline to the support line of the channel near $0.32.

On the other hand, if the price stays above $0.36, the bulls will again try to overcome the obstacle at the 50-day SMA and $0.40. If they can pull it off, the pair may pick up momentum and climb to $0.43.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano’s ADA (ADA) accelerated on March 14 and reached the 50-day SMA ($0.36), but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows that the bears are aggressively selling on rallies.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears tugged the price back below the 20-day EMA ($0.34) on March 15, which has cleared the path for a possible retest of $0.30. Buyers are likely to protect this level with all their might because the next support is way lower at $0.27.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds from the current level of $0.30, it will suggest that traders are buying on dips. That may keep the ADA/USDT pair range-bound between the 50-day SMA and $0.50 for a few days.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin’s (DOGE) recovery has reached the downtrend line where the bears are mounting a strong resistance.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping 20-day EMA ($0.07) and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that bears are in control. Sellers are trying to yank the price below the immediate support at $0.07. If this support collapses, the DOGE/USDT pair may descend to $0.06.

On the contrary, if the price rebounds off the current level, it will suggest that lower levels are attracting buyers. The downtrend line remains the key level on the upside because a break above it could start a relief rally to $0.10.

Polygon price analysis

The relief rally for Polygon’s MATIC (MATIC) is facing stiff resistance at the 50-day SMA ($1.22), which pulled the price below the 20-day EMA ($1.16) on March 15.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The MATIC/USDT pair could plummet to the strong support at $1.05. This is an important level to watch out for because if it cracks, the pair may retest the $0.94 support. A break below this level will open the gates for a potential drop to $0.69.

Another possibility is that the price rebounds off the $1.05 support. If that happens, the bulls will again try to drive the price above the 50-day SMA. If they succeed, the likelihood of a break above $1.30 increases.

Related: 4 signs the Bitcoin price rally could top out at $26K for now

Solana price analysis

The bears are trying to halt the rally in Solana’s SOL (SOL) at the 50-day SMA ($22.40), but the bulls are trying to keep the price above the immediate support at $19.68.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This suggests that the bulls will again try to push the price to the downtrend line. This is a vital resistance to keep an eye on because a break and close above it will signal a potential trend change. There is a minor resistance at $28, but it is likely to be crossed. The SOL/USDT pair may then surge toward $39.

Instead, if the price continues lower and falls below $19.68, it will suggest that the bears have not yet given up. The pair may then slump to the strong support at $15.28.

Polkadot price analysis

Buyers tried to drive Polkadot’s DOT (DOT) above the 50-day SMA ($6.42) on March 14, but the bears did not relent. This suggests that higher levels are attracting sellers.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages have flattened out, and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating a status of equilibrium between the bulls and the bears. If the price breaks and sustains below the 20-day EMA ($6.07), the DOT/USDT pair may swing between the 50-day SMA and $5 for a few days.

If buyers kick the price above the 50-day SMA, the pair could pick up momentum and soar toward the neckline of the inverse H&S pattern. On the downside, the bears will have to sink the pair below $5 to indicate a comeback.

Shiba Inu price analysis

Shiba Inu (SHIB) is trading inside a descending channel pattern. The bulls tried to push the price above the channel, but the bears held their ground.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will again try to pull the price below the psychological support at $0.000010. If they manage to do that, the SHIB/USDT pair could fall toward the support line of the channel. The bulls are likely to defend the $0.000008–$0.000007 zone with all their might.

If the price rebounds off this level, it will suggest that the pair may consolidate inside the large range between $0.000018 and $0.000007 for some more time.

In the near term, a break above the 50-day SMA ($0.000012) will tilt the advantage in favor of the bulls. The pair could then attempt a rally to $0.000014 and then to $0.000016.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Binance CEO announces recovery funds conversion from BUSD to ‘native crypto’

Binance CEO says with recent “changes” in stablecoins and banks, the company’s recovery fund will be converted from BUSD to native cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin.

The failure of three major crypto-friendly banks — Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank — caused the USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin to fall to as low as $0.87 from its $1 peg. 

Amid the concern mounting around stablecoins, Binance co-founder and CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao tweeted on March 13 that with the “changes in stablecoins and banks,” the exchange will be converting the remaining $1 billion funds in its Industry Recovery Initiative to “native crypto.“

The native cryptocurrencies listed by CZ included Bitcoin (BTC), BNB (BNB) and Ether (ETH). He then posted links to the hash ID for the BTC and ETH transactions, saying $980 million took 15 seconds to move with a $1.98 transaction fee. 

In response to the move by the Binance co-founder, Crypto Twitter had mixed reactions. Some praised the decision, calling it “pure gold,” and offered a suggestion to use alternative currencies to peg stablecoins: 

However, others questioned the move to sell the Binance USD (BUSD) stablecoin and convert the fund to more “volatile” assets. 

On March 10, Circle, the company behind USDC, disclosed it had around $3.3 billion tied up at the failing SVB, which caused the initial depegging event. However, by March 13, USDC had bounced back toward its $1 peg — currently hovering around $0.99. 

Related: Breaking: Silicon Valley Bank UK arm acquired by HSBC for one pound

Circle also has an undisclosed amount of reserve funds stuck in Silvergate, another United States-based crypto-friendly bank that went bankrupt. 

The instability surrounding USDC caused a domino effect on other stablecoins such as Dai (DAI), USDD and FRAX, which also slipped from their $1 peg.

Since the events began unfolding on March 10, the crypto space has been on edge as to what will happen next. Twitter users have claimed that there is “nobody left to bank crypto companies.” 

Price analysis 3/10: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, MATIC, SOL, DOT, SHIB

The February U.S. jobs report was a mixed bag, which seems to have provoked interest from a few bulls in BTC and altcoins.

Bitcoin (BTC) led a sharp sell-off in the cryptocurrency markets on March 9 as the woes at Silvergate Bank and Silicon Valley Bank dented investor sentiment

In addition, crypto-specific news of a suit filed by New York Attorney General Letitia James against cryptocurrency exchange KuCoin for selling securities and commodities without registration increased uncertainty about the future of crypto sector regulation.

The selling momentum continued on March 10 and pulled Bitcoin below the $20,000 mark. Several other cryptocurrencies have also broken below their important support levels.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

But a minor positive in favor of the bulls is that February’s jobs report was a mixed bag. Although nonfarm payrolls rose 311,000 for the month, above estimates of an increase of 225,000, the average earnings rose less than anticipated. That reduced expectations of a 50 basis point rate hike in the Federal Reserve’s March meeting from 68% on March 9 to 42% on March 10.

What are the important levels on the upside that will signal a sustained recovery in Bitcoin and altcoins? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin sliced through the $21,480 support on March 9 with ease. The selling continued on March 10 and the price broke below the crucial support at $20,000.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The fall of the past few days has sent the relative strength index (RSI) into the oversold zone. This suggests that the selling may have been overdone in the near term and a recovery may be possible.

During a sharp fall, markets usually tend to overshoot on the downside. The same may have happened here. The bulls will try to start a rebound off the current levels but may face strong resistance at higher levels.

The bears will try to flip the $21,480 level into resistance. If that happens, the BTC/USDT pair may turn down and retest the $20,000 support. If this level breaks down, the next stop could be $18,000.

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) witnessed aggressive selling on March 9, which pulled the price below the strong support at $1,461.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The ETH/USDT pair could next drop to $1,352 where the bulls are likely to mount a strong defense. If the price turns up from $1,352, the recovery may hit a brick wall at $1,461. If the price turns down from this level, it will increase the possibility of a fall to $1,200.

If bulls want to prevent the decline, they will have to quickly push the price back above $1,461. Such a move will suggest strong buying at lower levels. The pair may then reach the 20-day exponential moving average ($1,565).

BNB/USDT

BNB (BNB) turned down from the 20-day EMA ($294) on March 8 and broke below the solid support of $280. This move completed a bearish head and shoulders (H&S) pattern.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Typically, the price returns to retest the breakdown level from the pattern. If the price turns down from $280, it will suggest that bears have flipped the level into resistance. That may send the BNB/USDT pair tumbling toward $245 and thereafter to the pattern target of $222.

Contrarily, if bulls drive the price above $280, the pair could reach the 20-day EMA. This level may again attract strong selling but if bulls absorb the supply and do not allow the pair to slip below $280, it will suggest the start of a recovery.

XRP/USDT

XRP (XRP) broke above the descending channel pattern on March 8 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows selling at higher levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears pulled the price back into the channel on March 9, which may have trapped the aggressive longs. The XRP/USDT pair has reached the solid support at $0.36. If this level gives way, the pair may reach the support line of the channel near $0.33.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off $0.36, the bulls will make one more attempt to push the pair above the channel. If they succeed, the pair may rally to the overhead resistance at $0.43.

ADA/USDT

Cardano (ADA) broke below the $0.32 support on March 8 and the bears thwarted attempts by the bulls to push the price back above the level on March 9.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The selling resumed on March 10 and bears pulled the price below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.30. This opens up the possibility of a further fall to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.27.

Buyers are currently trying to push the price back above $0.32. If they manage to do that, it will suggest solid demand at lower levels. The ADA/USDT pair may then rise to the 20-day EMA ($0.34). The bulls will have to clear this hurdle to indicate that they are back in the game.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) easily broke below the strong support near $0.07 which had not been breached convincingly since October 2022. This shows that bears are in complete control.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The RSI has dipped into the oversold zone, indicating that a minor consolidation or a relief rally is possible. The bulls are expected to defend the zone between $0.06 and $0.05 with all their might because a break below it could result in panic selling.

On the way up, buyers will face stiff resistance at $0.07 and again at the downtrend line. If the price turns down from this zone, the bears will again try to sink the DOGE/USDT pair below the vital support at $0.05.

MATIC/USDT

Polygon (MATIC) turned down sharply on March 8 and fell to the strong support of $1.05. Ideally, this level should have attracted aggressive buying but that did not happen.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This shows that traders sold aggressively. The incessant selling pulled the price below $1.05 on March 9 and the bears continued with their selling on March 10.

However, the long tail on the candlestick suggests solid buying near the support at $0.91. The bulls will try to push the price back above the breakdown level of $1.05. If they can pull it off, the MATIC/USDT pair may rise to the 20-day EMA ($1.17).

On the other hand, if the price turns down from the current level, it will suggest that bears are unwilling to let go of their advantage. That increases the risk of a fall to the crucial support zone between $0.74 and $0.69.

Related: Dogecoin hits 4-month lows vs. Bitcoin — 50% DOGE price rebound now in play

SOL/USDT

After a weak attempt to hold $19.68 on March 7, Solana (SOL) slipped below the support on March 8. This indicates that bears are back in the driver’s seat.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The SOL/USDT pair has a minor support at $15.28 where the bulls are again trying to arrest the decline and form a higher low. Any attempt to recover is likely to face strong selling at $19.68 and again at the resistance line. A break above this level will indicate a potential trend change.

On the downside, if the $15.28 level gives way, the pair may fall to $12.85 and then to the psychologically critical support at $10.

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) is in a strong corrective phase. The bears pulled the price below the important support at $5.56 on March 9.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The selling continued on March 10 but the long tail on the candlestick indicates strong buying near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of $5. This is a crucial level for the bulls to defend because a break below it may open the gates for a complete 100% retracement to $4.22.

Contrarily, if the price turns up and rises back above $5.56, it will suggest solid demand at lower levels. The DOT/USDT pair may then climb to the 20-day EMA ($6.14) where the bears may again mount a strong defense.

SHIB/USDT

Buyers tried to start a recovery in Shiba Inu (SHIB) on March 8 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows strong selling near the 20-day EMA ($0.000012).

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The SHIB/USDT pair turned down and fell below the $0.000011 support on March 9. The bulls are currently trying to defend the psychological level of $0.000010. If they succeed, the pair may start a relief rally to the 20-day EMA where the bulls may again face strong selling by the bears.

If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. That increases the likelihood of a break below $0.000010. If that happens, the pair may descend to $0.000008.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Price analysis 3/8: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, MATIC, SOL, DOT, LTC

The strength in the U.S. dollar suggests that the risky assets may remain under pressure in the near term, but Bitcoin and select are showing signs of resilience.

On March 7, United States Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned that interest rates might remain higher for longer than previously anticipated. This boosted expectations of a 50 basis point rate hike at the Fed’s March meeting to about 70%, from 30% a week earlier, according to FedWatch Tool data.

The U.S. dollar shot up and the S&P 500 plunged after Powell’s comments on March 7 but a minor positive in favor of the cryptocurrency investors is that Bitcoin (BTC) stayed relatively calm. The next trigger that could influence the markets is the February Jobs report to be released on March 10.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Although the macroeconomic environment is not favorable for risky assets, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience. This suggests that Bitcoin investors are not panicking and dumping their positions due to short-term uncertainty.

Will Bitcoin and the major altcoins continue lower or is a rebound around the corner? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

The bulls are finding it difficult to push Bitcoin back above the breakdown level of $22,800. This suggests a lack of aggressive buying at current levels. That could pull the price down to the crucial support of $21,480. This is the make-or-break level in the near term.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages have completed a bearish crossover and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the negative territory, indicating that bears are in command.

If the price breaks below $21,480, the bears will fancy their chances. They will then try to yank the price to the psychologically important level of $20,000. Buyers are expected to defend the zone between $21,480 and $20,000 with all their might because a break below it may witness aggressive selling.

If bulls want to prevent the sharp decline, they will have to quickly push the price back above the moving averages. That could signal a possible range-bound action between $21,480 and $25,250.

ETH/USDT

Buyers are trying to protect the $1,550 level on Ether (ETH) but a minor negative is that they have failed to achieve a strong rebound off it. This suggests that the bears are selling on every small recovery.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day exponential moving average ($1,599) has started to turn down and the RSI is in the negative zone, indicating that bears have the upper hand. If the $1,550 support cracks, the ETH/USDT pair may drop to $1,461.

This level may again attract strong buying by the bulls. If the price rebounds off this level with strength, it will suggest that the pair may consolidate between $1,461 and $1,743 for some time. Contrarily, a break below $1,461 will open the doors for a possible drop to $1,352. This level may again attract strong buying by the bulls.

BNB/USDT

BNB (BNB) bounced off the $280 support on March 6 and March 7 but the bears pounced at higher levels. This suggests that the sentiment remains negative and every minor recovery is being sold into.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the $280 gives way, the BNB/USDT pair will complete a bearish head and shoulders pattern. This negative setup may start a downward move to $245 where buyers will try to arrest the decline.

Another possibility is that the bulls sustain the current rebound. Such a move will indicate that the buyers are fiercely defending the $280 support. That may start a recovery to the 20-day EMA ($299).

The bears are expected to sell the rally to the 20-day EMA. If that happens, the pair may again slide to $280. On the contrary, a break above the 20-day EMA will be the first sign that suggests the bears may be losing their grip.

XRP/USDT

XRP (XRP) rebounded off the $0.36 support with strength and soared above the resistance line of the descending channel on March 8, a sign that the bulls are buying with full force.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If buyers sustain the price above the 50-day simple moving average ($0.39), it will suggest a potential trend change in the near term. The XRP/USDT pair may then start its march toward $0.43 where the bears are again likely to mount a strong defense. If the price turns down from this level, the pair may oscillate between $0.36 and $0.43 for a while longer.

Conversely, if the price turns down from the current level, it will suggest that the bears are not willing to let the bulls have their way. Sellers will then again try to pull the pair below $0.36 and clear the path for a possible drop to $0.33.

ADA/USDT

Cardano (ADA) bounced off $0.32 on March 7 but the bulls could not build upon this strength. This shows a lack of follow-up buying at higher levels.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are again trying to pull and sustain the price below $0.32 on March 8. If they manage to do that, there is another support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.30. If this level breaks down, the selling could intensify and the ADA/USDT pair may plummet to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.27.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up from the current level or $0.30, the pair may again attempt a recovery. The bulls will gain the upper hand after they propel the price above the moving averages.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been gradually grinding down toward the strong support near $0.07 but a minor positive is that lower levels are attracting buyers, as seen from the long tail on the March 6 and March 7 candlestick.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are trying to push the price toward the breakdown level of $0.08. This level is likely to attract strong selling by the bears. If the price turns down from $0.08, the DOGE/USDT pair may drop to $0.07 and remain stuck between these two levels for some time.

The bears may find it difficult to break the support near $0.07 but if they do, the pair could tumble to the next major support near $0.06. On the upside, a break and close above the downtrend line will signal the start of a possible recovery toward $0.10.

MATIC/USDT

Polygon (MATIC) has been trading in a tight range for the past few days, which resolved to the downside on March 8. The failure to start a recovery suggests that the bulls may be wary of buying at the current levels.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The MATIC/USDT pair could slide to the strong support at $1.05 where the bulls will try to protect the level. If the price rebounds off this support, the pair could pullback to the moving averages.

This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break and close above it may suggest that the correction may be over. The pair may not start a new up-move in a hurry but remain range-bound for a few days.

On the other hand, if the price turns down from the moving averages, it will suggest that bears continue to sell on rallies. The bears will then again try to sink the price below $1.05. If they succeed, the pair may slip to $0.90.

Related: Brace for BTC price volatility? Bitcoin ‘coin days destroyed’ metric jumps to 2-month highs

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) remains in a firm bear grip. The failure to start a rebound off the crucial support at $19.68 shows that buyers may not be jumping in to buy.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears have yanked the price below $19.68 on March 8. This indicates the start of the next leg of the correction. The bears will try to strengthen their position further by pulling the SOL/USDT pair toward the next major support near $15.

If bulls want to prevent this collapse, they will have to quickly push the price back above the 20-day EMA ($21.80). That may start a relief rally to the resistance line, where the bears may again pose a strong challenge.

DOT/USDT

Polkadot (DOT) turned down and broke below the support at $5.73 on March 8. This indicates that the bears are trying to solidify their position further.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

There is a strong support at $5.56 but if this level cracks, the DOT/USDT pair may enter a downward spiral. The next support is much lower at $4.80.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off $5.56, the pair could reach the 20-day EMA ($6.30). During downtrends, the bears try to sell on rallies to the 20-day EMA. If the price turns down from this level, the likelihood of a break below $5.56 increases.

If bulls want to make their presence felt, they will have to drive the price above the moving averages.

LTC/USDT

Litecoin (LTC) turned down and broke below the immediate support of $85 on March 7. This indicates the resumption of the correction.

LTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The LTC/USDT pair could first fall to the $81 support. The bounce off this level may face selling near the 20-day EMA ($92). If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the next stop could be the vital support at $75. This level is likely to attract solid buying by the bulls.

The farther the price moves away from the local top of $106, the longer it will take for the pair to resume its uptrend. The recovery is likely to pick up momentum after the price sustains above the moving averages.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.