Hedera

Bitcoin price turns $28K to support, opening the door for ETH, MATIC, HBAR and EOS to breakout

BTC, ETH, MATIC, HBAR and EOS are likely to pick up momentum if they cross above their respective overhead resistance levels.

The market witnessed a major banking crisis in March as Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank failed and Silvergate Bank entered liquidation as a result of dire financial distress. In Europe, the government brokered a forced takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS. Still, the United States equities markets and the European stock markets closed the month on a positive note.

The cryptocurrency market was also shaken by volatility, but Bitcoin (BTC) gained about 23% in March. Going forward, the picture looks encouraging for Bitcoin bulls in April and data from Coinglass suggests that the month has largely favored the buyers.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

Although altcoins reacted positively to Bitcoin’s rise, the rally has not been equal across the board. This suggests that market participants have been selective in their purchases. As a result, traders might focus on the movers rather than the laggards.

Let’s study the charts of five cryptocurrencies that look positive in the near term. If they break above their resistance levels, they may offer short-term trading opportunities.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin is facing stiff resistance at the $29,000 level but the bulls have not allowed the price to lose ground. This suggests that the bulls are being patient, anticipating a move higher.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day exponential moving average ($27,012) is trending up and the relative strength index (RSI) is above 61, indicating that the buyers are in control. The bullish momentum is likely to pick up after buyers overcome the obstacle at $29,200. That could start a rally to $30,000 and subsequently to $32,500.

Conversely, if the price turns down sharply from the current level, it will suggest that the short-term traders are selling. The BTC/USDT pair may slump to the 20-day EMA, which is an important level to keep an eye on.

If this support gives way, the pair could slide to the breakout level of $25,250. This is a make-or-break level for the pair because if it collapses, the selling could intensify and the decline could extend to the 200-day simple moving average ($20,424).

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Buyers pushed the price above the overhead resistance at $28,868 but could not sustain the higher levels. This suggests that bears are trying to keep the price below $28,868. If bears sustain the price below the 20-EMA, the pair may start its fall toward $27,500 and then to $26,500.

On the upside, a break and close above $28,868 will indicate that the bulls have overpowered the bears. That could signal the start of the next leg of the up-move. The target objective from the break above the $26,500 to $28,868 range is $31,236.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) turned down from the overhead resistance of $1,857 on April 1 but the bulls are not giving up much ground. This suggests that the buyers are not rushing to the exit.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The upsloping 20-day EMA ($1,748) and the RSI in the positive area suggest that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If bulls drive the price above $1,857, the ETH/USDT pair may make a dash to the psychologically important level of $2,000.

The bears are likely to mount a strong defense at this level but if bulls overcome this barrier, the next stop could be $2,200. This positive view will invalidate in the near term if the price plunges below the 20-day EMA and the horizontal support at $1,680.

ETH/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The four-hour chart shows that the pair turned down from the overhead resistance of $1,857, and the bears pulled the price below the 20-EMA. This suggests that the short-term bulls may be closing their positions. The pair could next fall to $1,743 and thereafter to $1,680.

Contrarily, if the price turns up and rises back above the 20-EMA, it will suggest that the break may have been a bear trap. A strong bounce off the current level could enhance the prospects of a rally above the overhead resistance.

Polygon price analysis

Polygon (MATIC) has been trading near the 20-day EMA ($1.11) for the past few days. Generally, a tight consolidation near an overhead resistance resolves to the upside.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If buyers thrust the price above the 20-day EMA, the MATIC/USDT pair will attempt a rally to $1.25 and thereafter to $1.30. The bears are expected to guard this zone vigorously because if they fail, the pair could soar to $1.57.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below $1.05, it will suggest that the bears are back in the driver’s seat. The pair may then fall to the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of $0.97, which is an important level to watch out for. If this support cracks, the pair may plummet toward $0.69.

MATIC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are trying to sustain the price below the 20-EMA. If they succeed, the pair could skid to $1.05 and then to $1.02. This is an important zone for the bulls to defend because if it gives way, the pair may continue its downward move to $0.94.

On the other hand, if the price turns up from the current level, it will suggest that every minor dip is being purchased. That will increase the likelihood of a break above the minor resistance at $1.15. The pair may then ascend to $1.25.

Related: Bitcoin copying ‘familiar’ price trend in 2023, two more metrics show

Hedera price analysis

Buyers foiled several attempts by the bears to sink and sustain Hedera (HBAR) below the 200-day SMA ($0.06) between March 9 to 28.

HBAR/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($0.06) has started to turn up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that buyers have the upper hand. The HBAR/USDT pair is likely to continue its northward march to the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone. Sellers are likely to defend this zone with all their might but if buyers bulldoze their way through, the pair may start a new uptrend.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears are selling on relief rallies. The pair may then retest the crucial support at the 200-day SMA. A break below this level will open the doors for a possible drop to $0.04.

HBAR/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls started a strong recovery from the support near $0.06 but the relief rally is facing strong resistance in the zone between the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.07 and the 61.8% retracement level of $0.08.

On the downside, the bulls are trying to defend the support at the 20-EMA. If the price rebounds off it, the pair may rally to $0.09 and then to $0.10. Conversely, if the price plummets below the 20-EMA, it will suggest that bears are still in the game. The pair could then descend to the support near $0.06.

EOS price analysis

EOS (EOS) is trying to complete a bullish cup and handle formation. Buyers pushed the price above the 20-day EMA ($1.15) on March 29, starting a comeback.

EOS/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA has started to turn up gradually and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating a minor advantage to the bulls. The ETH/USDT pair is likely to rise to the overhead resistance zone between $1.26 and $1.34.

Sellers are likely to defend this zone aggressively but if bulls overpower the bears, the pair may start a new uptrend. The pattern target of the reversal setup is $1.74.

On the contrary, if the price turns down from the overhead zone, it will indicate that bears are selling on rallies. The pair could then slide to the 20-day EMA and later to the 200-day SMA ($1.05). A break below this level will suggest that the bears are back in command.

EOS/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The four-hour chart shows that the bears are protecting the $1.22 level with vigor but a minor positive is that the bulls have not allowed the price to dip below the 20-EMA. This shows strong demand at lower levels.

The upsloping 20-EMA and the RSI in the positive territory indicate that bulls have a slight edge. If buyers propel the price above $1.22, the pair could rise to $1.26 and thereafter to $1.34.

Contrarily, if the price slumps below the 20-EMA, it will suggest that short-term traders may be booking profits. The pair could then drop to $1.14 and later to $1.06.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Inside the World Economic Forum: Circle, Ripple reflect on Davos 2023

A handful of cryptocurrency industry players who took part in workshops at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting paint a picture of increased collaboration within the space in 2023.

Key figures from the wider cryptocurrency space painted a picture of increased dialogue and collaboration at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos.

Cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology remained but a small part of the projects and initiatives discussed and workshopped at the annual WEF conference high in the Swiss Alps. However, an increased number of sessions focused on the sector suggests that the wider world is looking for synergies between traditional finance and decentralized finance.

This theme emerged from a number of interviews conducted by Cointelegraph during January’s conference in Davos. Senior executives from XRP issuer Ripple and USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin firm Circle highlighted the importance of embracing solutions and systems that are creating tangible utility and value.

Circle and Ripple had a bird’s eye view of the wider crypto and blockchain conversation in Davos, given their participation outside the WEF conference at a myriad of crypto-focused events like Blockchain Hub Davos and GBBC’s Blockchain Central.

More than a Ripple

Ripple’s team rented out office space in Davos to conduct meetings and business during the WEF conference. Cointelegraph met Ripple’s APAC managing director, Brooks Entwistle, inside their Davos hub to discuss the firm’s involvement at this year’s conference.

Entwistle painted an interesting picture as an individual who has been to past WEF Annual Meetings in different roles for different companies and organizations from as early as 2009. The presence of crypto and blockchain industry participants has come to the fore in recent years, as Entwistle explained:

“What you notice over time is the crowd changes, the promenade changes and, certainly with crypto over the past few years, that has been the case. In May [2022], you could not walk down the promenade without being offered a Bitcoin pizza.”

However, the prolonged downturn across conventional and cryptocurrency markets, coupled with seismic events like the collapse of FTX late last year, has made a noticeable mark on the number of crypto ecosystem participants that set up shop at the conference in 2023.

The likes of FTX, who had a stall at the conference last year, were nowhere to be seen. Instead, blockchain infrastructure providers like Filecoin and Hedera had a notable presence, alongside the likes of Circle. Other firms maintained a presence outside the conference at their own event, like CV Labs’ Blockchain Hub and, at Davos’ Hotel Europe, GBBC’s Blockchain Central.

Related: TradFi and DeFi come together — Davos 2023

But Entwistle drew a silver lining around the decreased number of crypto stalls along the promenade, suggesting that more fruitful dialogue has been possible at the WEF conference:

“It’s definitely more muted now, but we’re actually having a really good WEF. With some of the noise and hype gone, the conversations and ability to go deep present more of an opportunity.”

Ripple’s APAC head highlighted his belief that progress was being made in terms of dialogue and understanding of crypto given that the number of panels within the event had increased from two sessions in 2022 to seven in 2023, stating:

“If you think about the two parallel tracks, the industry pushing the agenda outside on the street, around Davos and around the region and then what’s going on inside. That infiltration over time, why it’s important, why regulators and banks need to talk about it, and why it should be a broader topic than just what’s happening at a night cap here or a panel there along the promenade.”

Whether there should be more representation from the crypto and blockchain ecosystem inside WEF is a more complex question to consider. Entwistle believes topics with a broad reach outside of the crypto ecosystem need wider representation with projects, protocols and tools that offer value and insights into vexing global issues. He added:

“You need all those different forms represented, but I also think we have to use those slots wisely, use the panels wisely when you do get in front of this group and make sure that people understand real-world utility.”

Entwistle said the “general thrust” of crypto conversations inside the WEF Annual Meeting was focused on why the industry exists and what it’s building. For Ripple, that has been cross-border payments and liquidity provision. Other crypto proponents have been driving conversations around blockchain-based CBDCs and carbon credit initiatives.

While a more specific discourse took place at the WEF Annual Meeting, conversations and business between TradFi and DeFi flowed freely along the Davos promenade. Cointelegraph moderated a number of panels during the week, one of which involved mainstream banks Bpifrance and Arab Bank discussing TradFi’s relationship with the industry.

A key takeaway was the fact that both these traditional financial institutions were offering cryptocurrency custody services for private clients, clearly showing that TradFi is already exposed to the asset class. Regulatory and process controls remain hurdles, but the industries are already cross-pollinating on their own terms.

What remains to be seen is whether the cryptocurrency and blockchain space will continue to camp out along the promenade in the years to come. Entwistle thinks that may well be the case, given the proximity and ability for the sectors to intermingle, stating, “I would expect that Web3, crypto, blockchain, if we do our job and convince the world that we are actually needed, and we certainly believe we are, that we’ll have a place at the table for a long time here.”

Coming for Circle

Cory Then, Circle’s vice president of global policy, said he’d seen a lot of idealistic individuals trying to cooperate and marshall resources in a way that would benefit the world economy. 

Speaking to Cointelegraph after moderating a panel at Hotel Europe, Then highlighted the importance of exploring the role of blockchain-based payments systems like Circle with regard to the future of finance and global payments:

“We’re out there talking to policymakers, we’re talking to traditional companies outside of tech, who are looking at using USDC as a payment solution, we’re talking to tech companies, to figure out how we might integrate with the work that they’re doing. We’re talking to humanitarian organizations.”

According to Then, Circle has had hundreds of conversations with policymakers from the European Union, the United Kingdom, Japan, Singapore, Mexico and more as USDC continues to become more readily available as a stablecoin solution.

Key drivers around adoption were focused on how decentralized payment systems can help large swaths of unbanked people around the world. Then said that stablecoins can improve financial systems and inclusion in areas that are largely unserviced by banks and financial institutions:

“You have a phone. You download a personal wallet onto that phone. And next thing you know, you have access to a payment mechanism that is quite reliable and you can get U.S. dollars or you can get Euro coins.”

Then suggested that continued utility offered by protocols, platforms and institutions in the sector and less “betting on price fluctuations” would drive further inclusion.

Driving collaboration in a fragmented world

Brett McDowell, chairman of Hedera, also gave his perspective having been involved both inside the WEF conference and along the promenade in Davos. 

Hedera’s institutional, open-source decentralized network is used by a variety of enterprises, universities and Web3 organizations globally. The proof-of-stake blockchain platform’s “performance-optimized” Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) smart contracts allow for the creation of diverse Web3 applications and ecosystems.

McDowell told Cointelegraph that the impression of fragmentation between the WEF conference and the crypto and blockchain ecosystem was understandable, but highlighted his own experience of continued collaboration:

“As someone who was privileged to be on both sides of the fence this week for those conversations with leaders of the industry and the World Economic Forum directly, the conversation is a lot more fluid than it looks.”

McDowell said that the WEF’s ability to assemble stakeholders from different industries that might otherwise be separated from one another was invaluable, bringing policymakers to the table alongside private and public enterprises. He added:

“The WEF has unparalleled convening power. Blockchain and crypto is really about building trust layers, anchoring truth and then using cryptography to ensure truth over time on immutable ledgers. That’s why it’s about trust and it starts with relationships.”

The environmental, social and governance (ESG) framework, a focus of the WEF, is another sector that could leverage the many applications of blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies. As McDowell explained, “This is trust technology. It’s the perfect backbone for ESG applications at scale and that is what we need, we need network effects.”

The Hedera chairman said that the WEF was actively considering blockchain-based tools and applications to tackle topics like climate change and power digital economies and tokenization of assets.

The organization might still be at a stage where it is learning about the power of these relatively new technologies, but the growing discourse inside the World Economic Forum emerged as a positive takeaway from Davos 2023.